@benofranceschini.bsky.social
Geopolitical Analyst | Lecturer at SSML Pisa | Vice President at Il Caffè Geopolitico | Research and analysis on Africa, EU, Italian politics and Political Communication
#Trump deluso dopo un’ora al telefono con #Putin.
Mosca non tratta e bombarda Kiev.
Washington blocca i missili a difesa.
Europa? Divisa, ma deve ridurre la finestra di opportunità della #Russia
👉 L'analisi su 12:12 è online, iscriviti ora!
benofranceschini.substack.com/p/il-telefon...
Alta tensione nel Caucaso tra Russia e Azerbaijan.
La Turchia cerca di sfruttare l'occasione. Fonti turche riportano di un accordo sul Corridoio di Zangezur. Le ripercussioni riguardano anche Ucraina e UE.
Ne parlo oggi su 12:12.
👉 benofranceschini.substack.com
🇫🇷🇷🇺 #Macron chiama #Putin, primo contatto ufficiale dal 2022. Sul tavolo #Ucraina e #Iran: diplomazia parallela o segnale a Washington? La #Francia prova a restare in gioco.
🕑 L'analisi completa sulla newsletter 12:12 di oggi.
👉 benofranceschini.substack.com
#RDC e #Ruanda hanno raggiunto un’intesa per interrompere la guerra del #Kivu. A mediare #USA e #Qatar, ma la tregua ha basi instabili: mancano i ribelli di #M23 e tutto ruota attorno alle ambite risorse minerarie. Un mio articolo su Il Caffè Geopolitico.
ilcaffegeopolitico.net/999475/rdc-r...
#India and #Pakistan, two nuclear powers, are exchanging attacks and counterattacks, pushing each other to the brink of war just as the safety nets of the international system are being torn apart by geopolitical crises and the voluntary destruction of law and multilateralism.
06.05.2025 22:00 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Time is running out, and Europe must deal with internal divisions and Trump's Trojan horses. The risk in this accelerating systemic crisis is enormous. (9/9)
03.04.2025 12:29 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Trump is opening up to Moscow to pull it away from Beijing, but China will strengthen its influence over nations abandoned by the US. Europe faces an existential challenge: remain free or be swallowed by the ongoing systemic crisis. (8/9)
03.04.2025 12:29 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0For Europe, the risk is high: #EU countermeasures could harm its own member states. Without a united vision, strategic autonomy becomes impossible, and Europe risks being crushed between the imperialisms of the US, Russia, and China. (7/9)
03.04.2025 12:29 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Global actors must position themselves strategically in the short and medium term. Just look at #China, #Japan, and #SouthKorea discussing ways to create safeguards against US unpredictability! (6/9)
03.04.2025 12:29 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Global balances are shifting rapidly. Western alliances withstood #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine, but for Trump, realignment must go beyond history and be based on transactional relationships between individuals and narratives similar to his own. (5/9)
03.04.2025 12:29 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0The tariffs aim to bring back outsourced supply chains to the US, rebalancing federal finances. Trump sees the trade deficit as a weakness caused by the "predatory" approach of the rest of the world. A heavy blow to globalization. (4/9)
03.04.2025 12:29 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Trump is a businessman. Sometimes a salesman, sometimes a speculator or a gangster, but always a merchant. For him, foreign policy is a negotiating table where everything is up for trade, and everyone has a price. Those seeking favor in Washington should beware. (3/9)
03.04.2025 12:29 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0After the initial confusion, it's clear that the tariffs were set based on the US trade deficit with each country, though with a questionable calculation. Trump follows a long-term plan with short-term transactional measures. (2/9)
03.04.2025 12:29 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0The "Liberation Day" has arrived in the USA, and #Trump has unveiled the long-awaited #tariffs, hitting every corner of the Earth - including lands inhabited only by penguins and lichens. Three key takeaways on this strategy, but first, a premise. 🧵(1/9)
03.04.2025 12:29 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
My most recent from @economist.com
#ukraine #trump #america #zelensky #cartoon #satire
