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Vitaly Portnikov

@portnikov.bsky.social

Ukrainian author and journalist. Espreso TV. Radio Liberty. Visegrad Insight Fellow. Ukrainian PEN

1,032 Followers  |  164 Following  |  523 Posts  |  Joined: 23.06.2024  |  1.7812

Latest posts by portnikov.bsky.social on Bluesky

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The “Spirit of Anchorage” Russian officials commenting in recent weeks on the Trump administration’s peace initiatives never fail to emphasize that any U.S.-Russia dialogue on ending the war in Ukraine must reflect the “Spirit...

But Trump is underestimating Putin. For the Russian president, any concession by his opponent is a sign of weakness — and a cue to press harder.
open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

07.12.2025 16:43 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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The Real Danger of the So-Called “Negotiation Process” The greatest danger of this so-called negotiation process is the disorientation of society — and not just Ukrainian society.

But in truth, the entire period from 1914 to 1945 was a single war period — with two massive eruptions. It wasn’t four years. It was thirty.

And now, we are living through a similarly extended wartime era in the history of Europe — and the world. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

03.12.2025 10:25 — 👍 5    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Putin and the War to the Last Ukrainian During a meeting with journalists in the capital of Kyrgyzstan, Bishkek, Russian President Vladimir Putin, as if responding to those who wish to “fight to the last Ukrainian”, said that his country is...

But now — from Putin himself — we know for sure that we need to stop not just the war, but the genocide approved and sanctioned in the Kremlin. That is why the pressure on Russia must increase open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

02.12.2025 10:18 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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New Peace Plan or an Old Plan of Humiliation Neither the fate nor the final content of the new “peace plan” proposed by U.S.

peace plans that humiliate Ukraine and reward Russia for its brutal and unprovoked aggression only encourage Putin to continue the war open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

24.11.2025 07:29 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Trump’s Peace Plan Is a Trap — But Not for Russia As expected, Ukrainians have once again been cornered into a false dilemma:

Because let’s be honest: if someone truly wants peace, they agree to a ceasefire.
Then they sit down to talk.
Putin has refused a ceasefire.
That refusal is not just a policy choice — it’s a signal. It tells us everything we need to know.

open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

23.11.2025 11:49 — 👍 8    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0
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What Will Trump Do The shift in Donald Trump’s rhetoric toward the Russian president and his aggression against Ukraine was received in Kyiv with optimism — but also with concern.

The longer Donald Trump refrains from such leadership, the clearer the risk that the world will slide toward large-scale war. In that scenario, given contemporary realities and technological changes, the U.S. risks becoming not just an arbiter but a battlefield. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

29.09.2025 17:14 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Putin’s Ultimatums and Trump’s Silence Vladimir Putin’s latest threats to use “military-technical means” — in plain language, war — against the West mark a calculated continuation of his policy of managed escalation.

The managed escalation is no longer about Ukraine alone. It is about remaking the balance of power, one humiliation at a time. And with each red line crossed, Putin’s confidence grows — matched only by the West’s silence. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

22.09.2025 14:49 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1
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Russia’s Asian Turn When I argue that the most important outcome of Russia’s war against Ukraine is not just territorial aggression, but a deliberate civilizational pivot from Europe to Asia, many see it as an exaggerati...

That is why I say — without exaggeration — that the frontline which will run for years between Ukrainian and Russian armies is not only a military boundary. It is also becoming the civilizational border of China. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

21.09.2025 15:09 — 👍 6    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Saudi Arabia and Pakistan: A Dangerous New Alliance The signing of a strategic cooperation agreement between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan is not just a diplomatic gesture.

Donald Trump’s return to the White House is itself a precondition for a major war. He is dismantling the system of alliances that for decades restrained chaos.
open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

19.09.2025 14:46 — 👍 5    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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The Kozak Illusion The information campaign surrounding the resignation of Dmitry Kozak from the Russian presidential administration once again exposes the vulnerability of both Ukrainian and Western media spaces to Kre...

The information campaign surrounding the resignation of Dmitry Kozak from the Russian presidential administration once again exposes the vulnerability of both Ukrainian and Western media spaces to Kremlin manipulation. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

18.09.2025 15:01 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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From Populist to Autocrat: Trump’s Roadmap Donald Trump, who publicly promises an Australian journalist to complain about him to the Prime Minister of Australia, may at first provoke only a condescending smile.

Which means that if it turns out the West lacks an effective judiciary—the judiciary, not just free media—then disobedient journalists will soon disappear not only from Trump’s press conferences but from America
open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

17.09.2025 10:12 — 👍 5    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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This isn’t an apocalypse. It’s a pause. Just a month ago, Trump expressed doubts that Putin wanted to end the war.

Putin made mistakes — classic Putin-style mistakes.
open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

27.07.2025 11:51 — 👍 7    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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The Empire Never Left I clearly warned that if the Russian Federation declared independence, it would inevitably lead to war — both on its own territory and across the entire former Soviet space.

And to restore the Soviet Union, Russia first and foremost needs Ukraine. We see it clearly — in the war now raging on Ukrainian soil. Without Ukraine, the Russian Federation does not see itself as a European power. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

26.07.2025 15:00 — 👍 8    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
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Why Russia Will Never Say Sorry I’m not surprised by how Moscow is behaving after the tragedy involving the Azerbaijani passenger aircraft.

From the Kremlin’s point of view, Azerbaijan is a territory that will eventually lose its statehood and become part of an empire that Russia is actively trying to resurrect. Not as a fantasy — as a concrete political project.
open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

25.07.2025 15:36 — 👍 5    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Ukraine’s Taiwan Card in the China Game This Thursday, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and European Council President António Costa will travel to China for the EU–China Summit.

I keep wondering whether this is due to political short-sightedness and incompetence — or if it’s simply the result of vested business interests,with certain circles eager to profit from deals with China, even if it means sacrificing Ukraine’s sovereignty and future open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

21.07.2025 09:09 — 👍 5    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Trump vs. Putin: When the Set Collapses Has Donald Trump Changed His Stance on Russia and Putin?

So yes — Trump’s frustration with the “set” he built around Putin is our opportunity. And it would be a sin not to take advantage of it. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

15.07.2025 09:07 — 👍 8    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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The Balkan Bucha This week, the world marks 30 years since the Srebrenica massacre — one of the darkest chapters in Europe’s modern history.

If the West again chooses “peace” over justice, we will end up like Bosnia — fractured, dysfunctional, forever haunted. If Russia is rewarded for its crimes, if Putin gets to dictate terms, then Bucha becomes our Srebrenica. And the world will forget us too.

open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

13.07.2025 09:27 — 👍 7    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

Today, the scale of Putin’s bombing campaign seems designed to push the West toward legitimizing the results of Russia’s crimes and annexations as well. But even if concessions to Putin turn Ukraine into another Bosnia, it won’t prevent another war. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...

11.07.2025 14:34 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Алиев-Пашинян: главное | Виталий Портников
YouTube video by Портников. Аргументы Алиев-Пашинян: главное | Виталий Портников

The main thing about the meeting between Ilham Aliyev and Nikol Pashinyan is that bilateral negotiations without mediators took place at all. And that there was no shadow of Putin behind both participants.

youtu.be/R9u-LK99Pq8

11.07.2025 13:57 — 👍 5    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Головна ціль обстрілів Путіна | Віталій Портников @gvlua
YouTube video by Віталій Портников Головна ціль обстрілів Путіна | Віталій Портников @gvlua

Putin wants not only to occupy more Ukrainian territory, but also to force the Ukrainians to surrender. This is the main goal of shelling peaceful Ukrainian cities.

youtu.be/K4qoyRc8nik

11.07.2025 08:04 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
«Новий підхід» до війни | Віталій Портников
YouTube video by Віталій Портников «Новий підхід» до війни | Віталій Портников

Marco Rubio's first meeting with Sergey Lavrov after Trump's disappointment with Putin ended with talks about some new approach to war

«Новий підхід» до війни | Віталій Портников
youtu.be/1ko_dyfrD_k

10.07.2025 14:02 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Vitalii’s Substack | Vitalii Portnikov | Substack My personal Substack. Click to read Vitalii’s Substack, by Vitalii Portnikov, a Substack publication. Launched 2 minutes ago.

Vitalii’s Substack
portnikov.substack.com?r=mrti1&utm_...

09.07.2025 21:44 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
Putin’s Summer Offensive Is Falling Apart | Portnikov Post
YouTube video by Portnikov Post Putin’s Summer Offensive Is Falling Apart | Portnikov Post

Russia’s summer offensive stalls across all fronts. Is Putin's grand plan collapsing before our eyes?

youtu.be/VIRF_7plq1Y

30.06.2025 09:26 — 👍 5    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Will Putin Meet Trump to End the Ukraine War? | Portnikov Post
YouTube video by Portnikov Post Will Putin Meet Trump to End the Ukraine War? | Portnikov Post

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said that Donald Trump is ready to come to his country to meet with Vladimir Putin to resolve the issue of ending the Russian-Ukrainian war. However, it is unlikely that Putin needs such a meeting.

youtu.be/wnjbBWN_9I8

27.06.2025 10:11 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Нові заяви Путіна: головне | Віталій Портников
YouTube video by Віталій Портников Нові заяви Путіна: головне | Віталій Портников

Putin continues to feign readiness for negotiations and insist on the legality of the occupation of Ukrainian territories. This is his tactic towards Trump.

youtu.be/mIWPjbhqe-4

19.06.2025 08:02 — 👍 6    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
Iran vs Israel: War Without Limits | Portnikov Post
YouTube video by Portnikov Post Iran vs Israel: War Without Limits | Portnikov Post

The second day of war in the Middle East marks a dangerous turning point. Iran threatens retaliation against Western forces, while proxy groups and missile strikes raise fears of a wider regional conflict.

youtu.be/3a4Ib0zT-Mo

15.06.2025 10:40 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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The Blogs: Ukraine, Israel, and the Drone Doctrine From the blog of Vitalii Portnikov at The Times of Israel

What Israel and Ukraine have demonstrated is not simply ingenuity. It is necessity. And the longer Western democracies fail to absorb this lesson, the more fragile their own security will become. blogs.timesofisrael.com/ukraine-isra...

13.06.2025 14:36 — 👍 8    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
Trump’s Gamble: Will the Middle East Explode? | Portnikov Post
YouTube video by Portnikov Post Trump’s Gamble: Will the Middle East Explode? | Portnikov Post

The world is on the brink of a major war in the Middle East, with rising tensions between the U.S., Iran, and Israel. As nuclear risks escalate and diplomacy collapses, global attention may shift away from Ukraine — just as authoritarian regimes like Russia stand to benefit.

youtu.be/maimk_RVPe0

12.06.2025 17:03 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Russia Won’t End the War — And This Is Why | Portnikov Post
YouTube video by Portnikov Post Russia Won’t End the War — And This Is Why | Portnikov Post

A top Russian negotiator revives threats of territorial losses for Ukraine if it rejects ultimatums.But behind this narrative lies a deeper obsession — a false imperial myth about “one people,”used to justify war,deny Ukrainian sovereignty,and rewrite history to suit propaganda

youtu.be/XA69VFre16o

12.06.2025 07:32 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
Putin’s “Security Council” and the Message to the Far Right | Portnikov Post
YouTube video by Portnikov Post Putin’s “Security Council” and the Message to the Far Right | Portnikov Post

Putin’s virtual meeting of Russia’s Security Council, framed as a response to Ukraine but focused on “traditional values.” Behind this rhetoric lies a deeper message: an appeal to the far right in the West and a warning — choose Russia as a partner, or face war.

youtu.be/75NUq9hLfC8

11.06.2025 10:34 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

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