Kyiv Dialogue

📅 Conference | Resilience & Reforms in Ukraine at Wartime | 18–19 NOV in Berlin

Join us to discuss, connect & celebrate 20 years of Kyiv Dialogue together.

Save your spot: www.kyiv-dialogue.org/de/id-2025.h...

@boell.de @bertelsmannst.bsky.social @evzfoundation.bsky.social @dgoberlin.bsky.social

Russia’s war is spilling deeper into Europe. Drones over Poland, airspace breaches in Estonia, Airport forced to shut down.

In our latest issue, we unpack September’s escalation and the revived talk of a Ukraine no-fly zone – now available in English!

www.kyiv-dialogue.org/uk/novini/ne...

Ukraine Air War Monitor Vol. VIII - Kyiv Dialogue ukrainisch Ukraine Air War Monitor Vol. VIII is now available in English!

Russian missile stocks are growing. Russian ballistic missile production now exceeds the global annual output of modern interceptors that Europe can acquire.
What does that mean for Ukraine's defence and Europe's security?

Read our latest issue here: www.kyiv-dialogue.org/uk/novini/ne...

Russlands Raketenvorräte wachsen. Jährlich landen mehr ballistische Raketen im russischen Arsenal als Europa an Interceptoren weltweit beschaffen kann. Was bedeutet das für die Verteidigung der Ukraine und die Sicherheit Europas?

Jetzt lesen auf: www.kyiv-dialogue.org/de/news/news...

German version is available here: www.kyiv-dialogue.org/de/news/news...

All eyes on the Trump–Putin meeting in Alaska. While Putin may look open to talks, Russia’s air war on 🇺🇦 is at its most brutal: 6,300+ drones hit cities in July alone, and over 6,700 civilians killed or injured in 2025. New Air War Monitor Vol. VII: www.kyiv-dialogue.org/uk/novini/ne...

Monitor Vol. 7 ist jetzt online! Ab dieser Ausgabe in Co-Herausgeberschaft der Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung!

Wir blicken auf:
- Hintergründe zu Russlands Drohnenkrieg
- Herausforderungen der ukrainischen Flugabwehr
- Regionale Intensität der russischen Angriffe

www.kyiv-dialogue.org/de/news/news...

Recovery Starts Locally: Kyiv Dialogue hosts side-event at the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2025 - Kyiv Dialogue | Kyjiwer Gespräche Kyiv Dialogue hosted a roundtable on "Successful and Inclusive Recovery of Ukrainian Communities" in Rome.

Ukrainian recovery must start from the ground up — and that means funding, planning, and decisions must include those closest to the communities.

We hosted a roundtable on the sidelines of the URC2025 in Rome. Have a look: www.kyiv-dialogue.org/de/news/news...

YouTube video by The German Marshall Fund of the United States Local Stakeholders and Ukraine’s Resilience: Community-Level Engagement and EU Financial Support

Aligning international assistance with local priorities can significantly enhance recovery efforts.
We had the honour of chairing a joint event with GMF and ALDA on local resilience & recovery, EU's Ukraine facility, and local self-government. Rewatch the discussion here: youtu.be/qiOa3XUkIEA

🚨 Neu: Monitor Luftkrieg Ukraine – Vol. VI
Drohnen dominieren Russlands Luftkrieg, die Zahl nicht abgefangener Flugkörper hat sich mehr als verdoppelt und Russland verschärft seinen Luftkrieg gegen Zivilisten. Ausgabe VI ist jetzt verfügbar auf: www.kyiv-dialogue.org/de/news/news...

Read the full posting here: www.kyiv-dialogue.org/de/news/news...

We look forward to hearing from you!

📢 Join our team!
We are recruiting an expert on Ukrainian decentralization to support our advocacy efforts around the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2025 in Rome.
If you want to make the needs of communities and people heard in recovery planning, this is for you!

Spread the word!

a boy in a blue shirt is sitting at a desk in front of a computer monitor ALT: a boy in a blue shirt is sitting at a desk in front of a computer monitor

The Air War Monitor is a crowdfunded effort! To continue expanding and maintaining the Monitor, we rely on financial support. We appreciate every contribution to our crowdfunding campaign! european-exchange.org/en/donate.html end/

The full text is available for reading and download at:

kyiv-dialogue.org/de/news/news... 9/

The threat from 🇷🇺 ballistic missiles remains a challenge for Europe. To enhance deterrence capabilities, U.S. Tomahawks are initially being deployed in 🇩🇪, while the European Long-Range Strike Approach (ELSA) program concurrently develops domestic capabilities. 8/

In light of the growing Russian threat, Europe aims to improve its own air defense. Although Europe produces a variety of air defense systems, it will remain dependent on cooperation with the USA in this area for years to come. 7/ (infographic: www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...)

Ukraine is effectively countering with enhanced electronic warfare (EW) measures. This leads to a loss of precision in 🇷🇺 glide bombs, resulting in damage to buildings but rarely targeting specific Ukrainian positions. 6/

Suspension of U.S. satellite & recon data had significant consequences:
🚨Patriot air defense systems could not be used effectively
🚨ATACMS/HIMARS could not attack 🇷🇺 air defenses.
Without such deterrence, the now less threatened 🇷🇺 pilots dropped over 1,200 glide bombs in just one week in March. 5/

Cruise missiles & ballistic missiles are being used less frequently. In Feb, 🇷🇺 deployed 80 (in 2024: ~130 per month); Possible reasons include:
I. Production issues
II. Successful 🇺🇦 attacks on 🇷🇺 fuel depots
III. Deliberate restraint for coordinated large-scale attacks 4/

In addition to attack drones, Russia also employed drone decoys/cheap replicas. These mass drone attacks aim to overwhelm Ukrainian air defences to enable subsequent cruise missiles and ballistic rockets to destroy Ukrainian infrastructure. 3/

In February, Russia deployed a record number of drones (>3,700). Ukrainian air defense managed to intercept 98% of these drones, with approximately 42% being countered through electronic warfare measures (e.g., jamming). 2/

📢 Last week, we published the first English-language Ukraine Air War Monitor! It covers, among other topics:
- Recent Russian air war dynamics
- Glide bomb attacks & defense
- Dependencies on military aid
- The European Sky Shield Initiative (ESSI)
Here is a quick recap of key points 🧵 1/

Whether you're a policymaker, security expert, journalist, or Ukraine supporter, have a look and let us know what you think. You can reach us on all channels!

What you'll get:
- Data-driven insights on recent developments in Russia's air war
- how to support Ukraine's air defence, based on the actual needs on the ground.
- Background on current policy debates: this volume covers US dependency in weapon systems and air defense systems made in Europe

Introducing our Ukraine Air War Monitor: Your data-driven analysis of Russia's air war strategy and Ukraine's defence needs. Now available in English: www.kyiv-dialogue.org/de/news/news...

a cardboard box with a hole in it and a 10 cent coin in it ALT: a cardboard box with a hole in it and a 10 cent coin in it

Damit wir den Monitor weiter ausbauen und fortführen können, sind wir auf finanzielle Unterstützung angewiesen. 🙏 Wir freuen uns über jeden Crowdsourcing-Betrag!
www.european-exchange.org/en/donate.html

Spendenbescheinigungen können natürlich ausgestellt werden!

Wenn Ihr keine Ausgabe mehr verpassen wollt, lasst sie euch ganz bequem ins Postfach liefern.

Jetzt anmelden: www.kyiv-dialogue.org/de/newslette...

Die gesamte Ausgabe ist auf unserer Website abrufbar: www.kyiv-dialogue.org/de/news/news...

Die Bedrohung durch 🇷🇺 ballistische Raketen bleibt eine Herausforderung für Europa. Zur Steigerung der Abschreckungsfähigkeit beschloss die NATO 2024, zunächst US-Tomahawks nach 🇩🇪 zu verlegen und parallel durch das European Long-Range Strike
Approach (ELSA)-Programm eigene Fähigkeiten aufzubauen.

Angesichts der wachsenden russischen Bedrohung will Europa die eigene Flugabwehr verbessern. Zwar produziert Europa eine Vielzahl an Flugabwehrsystemen, wird jedoch in diesem Bereich noch jahrelang abhängig von der Kooperation mit den USA bleiben.