Jeremy Page 裴杰

A nerve-wracking ceasefire holds between India and Pakistan—for now Tensions will simmer even as they step back from full-blown war

Just as India's showdown with Pakistan was spiralling out of control, it seems to be coming to a halt. After 4 days of fighting and some Pakistani nuclear signalling, they've agreed to a ceasefire. Will it hold? My story from Delhi with Cyril Almeida in Islamabad
www.economist.com/asia/2025/05...

This India-Pakistan showdown is dangerously different New weapons, new tactics, new risks

This India-Pakistan crisis looks unlike previous ones. With fighting at its worst since 1999, both are now hitting military targets in big cities far beyond Kashmir. They're using drones and other high-end weapons. And now the nuclear signalling has begun. My story www.economist.com/asia/2025/05...

The billionaire caught in the crossfire between America and China Our weekly podcast on China. This week, what the fate of the Panama ports deal means for Chinese business and global maritime trade

How a plan to sell two ports on the Panama Canal dragged Hong Kong's richest man into the US-China rivalry. On this week's Drum Tower podcast from The Economist, I join my colleague, Emma Irving, to explore why and how Xi Jinping might block the $23bn deal www.economist.com/podcasts/202...

Can India and Pakistan control a new cycle of escalation? India’s missile strike was the largest aerial attack on Pakistan in 50 years

Can India and Pakistan control a new cycle of escalation? Our take in this week's Economist on the biggest Indian aerial attack on its neighbour in more than 50 years. By @shashj.bsky.social in London, Cyril Almeida in Islamabad and me in Delhi. www.economist.com/asia/2025/05...

India and Pakistan are bracing for a military clash This one could be riskier than their last major crisis in 2019

Are India and Pakistan heading for war? For this week's Economist, Cyril Almeida and I looked at India's options for military strikes and Pakistan's likely response. The short version: this standoff could be more perilous than the last major one, in 2019 www.economist.com/asia/2025/05...

Tensions soar as India weighs how to hit Pakistan After the Kashmir attack, military action is possible but comes with huge risks

How will India respond to last week's Kashmir attack? For The Economist, I look at India's options for military strikes on Pakistan. Modi faces public pressure to go further than a 2019 airstrike. But some advisers want a calibrated response to avoid escalation. www.economist.com/asia/2025/04...

China hawks are losing influence in Trumpworld, despite the trade war “Restrainers” are taking over from “primacists”

What happened to the China hawks? For the latest Economist, I look at the waning influence of conventional China security hawks around Trump despite the trade war. His broader China goals are unclear but among advisers, homeland-focused "restrainers" are ascendant www.economist.com/china/2025/0...

The Panama ports deal is delayed, as China signals dissent Xi Jinping may be wanting to increase leverage over America

I did an update on the Panama ports deal for this week's Economist. The signing has been postponed amid more signs of Chinese dissent. But has Xi made a final decision to block it or is he trying to gain leverage for broader talks with Trump on trade, Taiwan etc? www.economist.com/china/2025/0...

India sees opportunity, as well as risk, in Trump’s trade war Narendra Modi hopes to strike a deal that will unleash growth

Why India sees opportunity as well as risk in Trump's trade war. Indian officials hope to benefit from higher tariffs on China, Vietnam, Bangladesh and quickly seal a trade deal with the US. But domestic resistance could be stiff. With @gavinjackson.bsky.social www.economist.com/asia/2025/04...

How China could take Taiwan without a fight Our weekly podcast on China. We examine how China is laying the psychological groundwork for a bloodless takeover of Taiwan, and whether it will work

In this week's Drum Tower podcast for The Economist, @aliceysu.bsky.social and I explore how China aims to capture Taiwan without even fighting a war. Might economic coercion, psychological warfare and political infiltration be enough? www.economist.com/podcasts/202...

IP25026 | American Consortium’s Purchase of Hong Kong-Owned Port Terminals Has Implications Far Beyond Panama SYNOPSIS The announcement that the American consortium BlackRock will be buying Hong Kong CK Hutchison’s port operations business has been heralded as a success in support of President Donald Trump’s ...

To learn more, check out this analysis lnkd.in/ea-cPB2v and other great work by @ibkardon.bsky.social who has been tracking China's overseas port network for years. Thanks also to Jacob Gunter at MERICS @merics.bsky.social and @zoe-liu.bsky.social at the Council on Foreign Relations @cfr.org.

The short story: China has many informal ways to intervene in a deal that could almost halve its overseas port network and reshape maritime trade in America's favour. But doing so would intensify scrutiny of that port network and private Chinese companies. Maybe carve a few ports out of the deal?

How far could Xi Jinping go to resist the Panama Canal port deal? For this week's Economist, I parse the latest signs of Chinese displeasure at BlackRock's planned purchase of 2 Panama ports and 41 others from Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison www.economist.com/china/2025/0...

This was a trip down memory lane for me, recalling my first trip from India to China in 1992 and my earlier postings in both. But we also chat about my eye-opening visit this month to a mega-factory opened near Delhi last year by Vivo, the Chinese company that makes India's top-selling smartphones

Could China and India become friends? Our weekly podcast on China. This week, amid geopolitical uncertainty, we examine what the thaw between the two countries could mean for the world

What if China & India became friends? I join @aliceysu.bsky.social on The Economist's Drum Tower podcast this week to discuss whether India & China can grow closer economically after their October border deal -- and what that might mean for Asia and the world. www.economist.com/podcasts/202...

The US-Russia dogfight to sell India fighter jets The Economist witnessed the first face-off between the world’s top stealth fighters

Might India take up Trump's new offer to sell it F-35 fighters? Could it pick Russia's Su-57 instead? And do either meet India's immediate needs? For the latest Economist, I went to India's biggest airshow to witness the contest over the world's top weapons importer www.economist.com/asia/2025/02...

China wants to avoid the UN censure that Russia faced after invading Ukraine, says @chongjaian.bsky.social of the National University of Singapore. Beijing also wants protection from any Western actions if it attacks or blockades Taiwan. And it's making rapid progress, esp. in the global south.

Five One-Chinas: The contest to define Taiwan - Lowy Institute As diplomatic stances on Taiwan become more contested and consequential, this world-first dataset details every UN member state’s position on the governments in Taipei and Beijing. It offers an origin...

Of 193 UN member states, 119 also now use China's preferred formula for backing its sovereignty claim over Taiwan. That's more than double the number in early 2023. For more details, check out this groundbreaking new study by @bherscovitch.bsky.social interactives.lowyinstitute.org/features/one...

China’s stunning new campaign to turn the world against Taiwan Seventy countries have recently backed “all Chinese efforts” to take the island

This week, I delve into China's stealthy campaign to win global support for its coercion of Taiwan. 70 countries have now backed "all" China's unification efforts, without saying they should be peaceful. Most adopted the new wording since mid-2023 www.economist.com/internationa...

As one former Indian foreign secretary told me: “The world has changed very fast... but we’re still doing what worked earlier and expecting the same result.” Food for thought with Modi due in Washington next week and China no doubt high on the agenda.

Why India isn’t winning the contest with China A series of setbacks suggest that new policies are needed

I wrote this week about why India isn't winning its contest with China in South Asia. Based on reporting from Sri Lanka, Bangladesh & elsewhere, the gist is that India needs to rethink its approach to the region -- and define what it stands for in its own backyard. www.economist.com/asia/2025/02...