@patrickmcronin.bsky.social
Asia-Pacific Security Chair, Hudson Institute & Scholar in Residence, Carnegie Mellon University
emma-assets.s3.amazonaws.com/0oueb/20e163... My latest publication on US-North Korea and the U.S.-South Korea alliance
11.07.2025 15:03 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Patrick M. Cronin, βNorth Korea Diplomacy: Necessary, Likely, and Problematic,β Korea On Point, July 4, 2025, koreaonpoint.org/articles/art....
04.07.2025 15:29 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Our English-language panel discussion on prospects for U.S.-North Korean diplomacy and implications for South Korea at Korean Association of International Studies held this year in Yeosu www.youtube.com/live/AmUlhWO... #CheyInstitute #Hudson #KAIS #Trump #Kim #Lee
26.06.2025 13:27 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 010. On the 7th Anniversary of the Trump-Kim Singapore Summit
"...we characterized ourselves as the host side. We were not engaged in mediation or in negotiations. The Oriental version of it is that we made sure the tea cups were filled, but the conversation was entirely between them."
9. Nuclear Risks in NE Asia
βFor 80 years, the American security umbrella in Northeast Asia has been a key stabilizer for the relationships in a complicated part of the worldβ¦Can you imagine a Northeast Asia with five nuclear powers β Russia, China, North Korea, South Korea, and Japan?β
8. China's Maritime Dependence
ββ¦in the last 45 years, because China became a manufacturing superpower, it now depends on the maritime routes in a way which it never depended as heavily in its earlier phases of history. ... one-third of global trade flows through the South China Sea.β
7. Goldilocks
βWe certainly do not want America & China to go to war, but if they suddenly arrive at a condominium and split the Pacific...in spheres of influence or control, that is not necessarily an ideal outcomeβ¦it is...a Goldilocks syndrome that we have β not too hot, and not too cold.β
6. S China Sea
β[W]hat is really going on in the South China Sea?... Is it really the rocks & the sands...or is it really an extension of...strategic anxiety &...deterrence between the two superpowers? ... No SE Asian nation wants to allow itself to be a theatre for a proxy war again....β
5. Modus Vivendi
"[W]hat is the key ingredient that is missing in the US-China relationship? My assessment is a lack of strategic trust. ... it is our hope in my part of the world that you establish a modus vivendi... I hope it does not come across as wishful, but this is what we hope for.β
4. Taiwan Conflict?
βAll of us have...our versions of the One China policy. I think what everyone wants to avoid is a kinetic conflict & having interacted with the principals on both sides. The point I would emphasize is that a kinetic conflict across the Taiwan Straits is not inevitable."
3. Singapore's Role & Trade
ββ¦Singapore's role is to be that totally reliable, safe deposit box." "We have had aβ¦free trade agreement with America since 2004, and almost all the time, you have had a trade surplus, and it is growing. β¦we are not complaining....β
2. Three Dangers of Decoupling
βFirst, it will be inflationaryβ¦.. Secondβ¦you set the stage for a more disrupted, dangerous world because interdependence is reducedβ¦. The third point isβ that it "must mean a reduction in the speed of progress."
1. Multipolar World
ββ¦Pax Americana was a unique, incredible period of 80 years.β ββ¦this is the end of an era." and "what we do know from history is that the interaction between an old world order and a new world order is when things get hairy, when things get dangerousβ¦.β
youtube.com/watch?v=cNAtqZXs_jUβ¦
Singaporean worldview in ten soundbites from Foreign Minister of Dr. Vivian Balakrishnan at Hudson Institute on June 6, 2025
Defense & Aerospace Report Podcast βWashington Roundtableβ June 6, 2025
defaeroreport.com/2025/06/06/d...
My comments 34:30-49:00
34:30 Shangri-La Dialogue
40:00 Korean election
43:00 Taiwan, China, allies, shipbuilding, DF-5
#ShangriLaDialogue #Korea #Taiwan #Singapore #China
www.youtube.com/watch?v=RHmz...
My interview on Arirang News Inauguration Special on the outlook for US-South Korean relations as President Lee Jae-myung assumes office. My 10-minute segment of the live broadcast is from 1:35:50-1:44.50.
#LeeJaemyung #Korea #US
I sit down with Singapore Foreign Minister Vivian Balakrishnan this Friday at 3 pm EST; watch online or in person at Hudson Institute
#Singapore #ForeignMinister #ASEAN #US #IndoPacific #trade #security #technology
www.hudson.org/events/evolv...
My analysis of the #Korean election and the new #Lee_Jae_myong government & its implications for US-Korea relations with this "Washington Brief" #50 program moderated by Amb. Joseph DeTrani & panelist Alexandre Mansourov
www.youtube.com/watch?v=ViDw...
WashingtonBrief.org
washingtonbrief.org
US Beacon for Science May Be Dimming www.nytimes.com/2025/06/03/u...
#MarciaMcNutt: βWe are embarking on a major experiment in restructuring the innovative engine in America &China is the control."
@ardemp.bskyverified.social @rhuganir.bsky.social @mathias-unberath.bsky.social @insitro.bsky.social
defaeroreport.com/2025/05/30/d...
My comments from
~9:30 On defense, budget reconciliation and Asia
~14:30 On trade, steel, and strategic decoupling
~46:20 On US-China heading into Shangri-La Dialogue
~50:30 On driving away students and talent
#trade #China #tariffs #visas #SLD #steel #decoupling
"I have watched the demolition of the capacity to read & engage with books. We have...begun to lose our attachments to the meaning of words and sentences, which we once trusted to carry the precious freight of communicating..."
Nicole Krauss #reading #writing
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Delighted to discuss my recent report on "Strategic Alignment in an Era of Uncertainty: Next Steps for the US-South Korea Alliance" with Scott Snyer on KEI's "Eye on Korea" program
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Miuz...
Patrick M. Cronin, The Future of Nuclear Deterrence in the Indo-Pacific, May 19, 2025
perryworldhouse.upenn.edu/news-and-ins...
Defense & Aerospace Report Podcast βWashington Roundtableβ May 23, 2025
defaeroreport.com/2025/05/23/2...
open.spotify.com/episode/3llz...
This week's discussion with host Vago Muradian, Patrick Cronin, Jim Townsend, Dov Zakheim & Michael Herson
perryworldhouse.upenn.edu/news-and-ins... Nuclear deterrence cannot be taken for granted
19.05.2025 19:11 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
www.arirang.com/news/video/3...
Patrick M. Cronin and Go Myong-hyun, βTracking North Koreaβs Military Ambitions and Diplomatic Moves,β Arirang News program βWITHIN THE FRAME,β April 23, 2025
Patrick M. Cronin and Go Myong-hyun, βTracking North Koreaβs Military Ambitions and Diplomatic Moves,β Arirang News program βWITHIN THE FRAME,β April 23, 2025
#NorthKorea #satellites #Russia #Ukraine #China
www.youtube.com/watch?v=LkRe...
Historian Yuval Noah Harari asks, if rival national fortresses replace a liberal world order, how can they "peacefully resolve their economic & territorial disputes if there are no universal values or binding international laws?" #Melian_dictum #whodeterminesstrength
www.ft.com/content/06cc...
America lost a giant yesterday at a moment bereft of leadership.
Richard L. Armitage, former deputy secretary of state under President George W. Bush, died unexpectedly on Sunday April 13 at the age of 79. The cause of death was a pulmonary embolism.
armitageinternational.com/news/remembe...
defaeroreport.com/2025/03/28/d... todayβs Washington Roundtable
28.03.2025 23:39 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
