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juanitorduz

@juanitorduz.bsky.social

Applied Scientist | Math PhD | Open Source PyMC Labs https://juanitorduz.github.io

315 Followers  |  373 Following  |  116 Posts  |  Joined: 07.11.2024  |  1.8649

Latest posts by juanitorduz.bsky.social on Bluesky

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I got mail! I can’t not wait @vincentab.bsky.social I’ll try to do many of these examples by “hand” (learning by doing).

14.10.2025 12:22 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

💯

11.10.2025 17:59 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
7 reasons to use Bayesian inference! | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

7 reasons to use Bayesian inference!
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/10/11/7...

11.10.2025 13:54 — 👍 24    🔁 11    💬 1    📌 1

IMO 80% data science problem in the industry can be solved with a (good!) linear regression (I also consider GLM as just regressions with a link function)

11.10.2025 17:53 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 1

Exited about notebooks in 2026 🚀

04.10.2025 13:03 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Finally! Bayesian Hierarchical Modelling at Scale For a long time, Bayesian Hierarchical Modelling has been a very powerful tool that sadly could not be applied often due to its high computations costs. With NumPyro and the latest advances in high-pe...

I have not tried this myself but this great blog (and the corresponding GitHub repository) might be helpful florianwilhelm.info/2020/10/baye...

04.10.2025 10:51 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Thank you @patrickdoupe.bsky.social

03.10.2025 18:24 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Models in NumPyro - Dr. Juan Camilo Orduz

It was fun (painful 😅) to implement VAR(p) models from scratch juanitorduz.github.io/var_numpyro/

03.10.2025 18:22 — 👍 14    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0
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Festival der Riesendrachen
#Berlin

27.09.2025 17:59 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I'm learning causal inference “on the street” 😄

26.09.2025 06:04 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Reproducing Uber's Marketplace Optimization Uber allocates money across different regions and programs to incentivize riders and drivers to use Uber products. This incentive structure ultimately influences the market. This leads to the natural ...

Reproducing Uber's Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) based automated budget allocation system in JAX

gstechschulte.github.io/posts/2025-0...

25.09.2025 12:44 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Amazing! Thank you !!!

24.09.2025 16:14 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Hehe classic.

23.09.2025 18:04 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

💯

22.09.2025 17:04 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I went into the notebooks in detail and looks super interesting! I have never tried myself but now I’m very curious 🧐

18.09.2025 18:19 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Yay!

18.09.2025 17:09 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Kudos to @sethaxen.com for implementing the Pyro wrapper that makes this possible (shipped in sbi v0.25)!

And thanks to @juanitorduz.bsky.social sharing the cookie factory example—it's a great accessible example for hierarchical inference.

Everything runs in Colab 📊

18.09.2025 14:38 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Cool! Any plans to add NumPyro support? 😄

18.09.2025 16:50 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Normalizing Flows in PyTensor — PyTensor dev documentation

A nice primer on normalizing flows by PyMC/PyTensor devs Ricardo and Jesse. pytensor.readthedocs.io/en/latest/ga...

15.09.2025 20:39 — 👍 4    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
Scaling Probabilistic Models with Variational Inference

Here are the materials for the PyData Berlin 2025 talk on Stochastic Variational Inference with NumPyro:

- Slides: juanitorduz.github.io/html/intro_s...
- Notebook; juanitorduz.github.io/intro_svi/

13.09.2025 08:02 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Creating a LogStudentT distribution Hi everyone, What is the suggested way to use a LogStudentT variable, a la LogNormal? Is there a more straightforward way than implementing a new Distribution? The use-case is the following. I’d lik...

I think you can try with CustomDist. Here is an example discourse.pymc.io/t/creating-a...

13.09.2025 04:35 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

If you need support from the (JAX) community I suggest having some “good first issues” on the repo :)

31.08.2025 19:43 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Great! There is some “related” work with JAX

- github.com/py-econometr...
- github.com/py-econometr...

31.08.2025 19:42 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Yes 100% (easy to iterate with LLMs)! I found many bugs in dat pre-processing steps.

23.08.2025 18:42 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Thanks for the resources! I had the same wish :)

20.08.2025 06:51 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Nice! I’ll join :)

20.08.2025 06:39 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Way (way) faster! Conda is, for all practical applications, infeasible. Try micromamba for example. Very similar api (you can keep the environment.yml) and faster :)

15.08.2025 14:29 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Micromamba User Guide — documentation

Or even micromamba mamba.readthedocs.io/en/latest/us...

14.08.2025 21:06 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

I feel you, man, I really do.

05.08.2025 17:31 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

This goes to this week’s reading list 💪

21.07.2025 20:53 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

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