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Fred Callaway

@fredcallaway.bsky.social

I study how people solve big problems with small brains. Starting at Dartmouth in 2026—I'm recruiting! https://fredcallaway.com

600 Followers  |  535 Following  |  74 Posts  |  Joined: 26.09.2023  |  1.9224

Latest posts by fredcallaway.bsky.social on Bluesky

Cognitive Science Graduate Admissions – Information about graduate admissions from the cognitive science faculty

We're excited to announce that Cognitive Science at Dartmouth is recruiting PhD students to work collaboratively with me, Steven Frankland, and Fred Callaway. Come study the principles and mechanisms that enable us to understand, plan, and act in the world! Info: sites.dartmouth.edu/cogscigrad/

23.10.2025 17:30 — 👍 54    🔁 39    💬 1    📌 0

Yes! @upenn.edu declines signing The Compact. I'm proud of this decision.

16.10.2025 17:18 — 👍 19    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0

That makes sense, thanks!

16.10.2025 12:22 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Against better judgment, I will ask a sincere question. Why is this best understood as trivializing rather than normalizing? I’m assuming it’s not literally the POS but instead using the term to describe common patterns of thought and behavior; is that right?

16.10.2025 01:28 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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1st Sharp Lab preprint! 🚨 We tested how anxiety affects task generalization—not how people generalize threat stimuli, but how they reuse action-outcome structures when planning in new contexts.

Worry makes people avoid reusing actions that co-occurred w/ threat!
📄: osf.io/preprints/ps...

🧵 1/12

13.10.2025 06:30 — 👍 32    🔁 11    💬 2    📌 1
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Forget modeling every belief and goal! What if we represented people as following simple scripts instead (i.e "cross the crosswalk")?

Our new paper shows AI which models others’ minds as Python code 💻 can quickly and accurately predict human behavior!

shorturl.at/siUYI%F0%9F%...

03.10.2025 02:24 — 👍 36    🔁 14    💬 3    📌 3
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New in @pnas.org: doi.org/10.1073/pnas...

We study how humans explore a 61-state environment with a stochastic region that mimics a “noisy-TV.”

Results: Participants keep exploring the stochastic part even when it’s unhelpful, and novelty-seeking best explains this behavior.

#cogsci #neuroskyence

28.09.2025 11:07 — 👍 95    🔁 36    💬 0    📌 3
Summary of design and results from our three studies. (A: Design) Each study used a similar experimental design, measuring both positive and negative demand in an online experiment, with three commonly-used task types (dictator game, vignette, intervention). Our experiments had ns ≈ 250 per cell. (B: Results) Observed demand effects were statistically indistinguishable from zero. The plot shows means and 95% confidence intervals for standardized mean differences derived from frequentist analyses of each experiment and an inverse variance-weighted fixed-effect estimator pooling all experiments (solid bars). Prior measurements of experimenter demand from a previous dictator game experiment (de Quidt et al., 2018; standardized mean difference from regression coefficient) and a meta-analysis primarily including small-sample, in-person studies (Coles et al., 2025; Hedge’s g statistic) are also shown for comparison (striped bars). The main text includes Bayesian analyses that quantify our uncertainty.

Summary of design and results from our three studies. (A: Design) Each study used a similar experimental design, measuring both positive and negative demand in an online experiment, with three commonly-used task types (dictator game, vignette, intervention). Our experiments had ns ≈ 250 per cell. (B: Results) Observed demand effects were statistically indistinguishable from zero. The plot shows means and 95% confidence intervals for standardized mean differences derived from frequentist analyses of each experiment and an inverse variance-weighted fixed-effect estimator pooling all experiments (solid bars). Prior measurements of experimenter demand from a previous dictator game experiment (de Quidt et al., 2018; standardized mean difference from regression coefficient) and a meta-analysis primarily including small-sample, in-person studies (Coles et al., 2025; Hedge’s g statistic) are also shown for comparison (striped bars). The main text includes Bayesian analyses that quantify our uncertainty.

We often hear from reviewers: "what about demand effects?" So we developed a method to eliminate them. Something weird happened during testing: We couldn’t detect demand effects in the first place! (1/8)

15.09.2025 17:18 — 👍 85    🔁 40    💬 3    📌 6
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<em>Child Development</em> | SRCD Journal | Wiley Online Library Cognitive development is associated with how predictable caregivers are, but the mechanisms driving this are unclear. One possibility is caregiver predictability initially shapes how infants gather i...

Happy to share "The Dynamics of Caregiver Unpredictability Shape Moment-to-Moment Infant Looking During Dyadic Interaction," out now in Child Development thanks to a large team of people I worked on this with! srcd.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirec...

06.08.2025 15:08 — 👍 27    🔁 10    💬 1    📌 1
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Evolving general cooperation with a Bayesian theory of mind | PNAS Theories of the evolution of cooperation through reciprocity explain how unrelated self-interested individuals can accomplish more together than th...

Our new paper is out in PNAS: "Evolving general cooperation with a Bayesian theory of mind"!

Humans are the ultimate cooperators. We coordinate on a scale and scope no other species (nor AI) can match. What makes this possible? 🧵

www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

22.07.2025 06:03 — 👍 92    🔁 36    💬 2    📌 2
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The Importance of Falsification in Computational Cognitive Modeling In the past decade the field of cognitive sciences has seen an exponential growth in the number of computational modeling studies. Previous work has indicated why and how candidate models of cognition...

@stepalminteri.bsky.social et al. made this point 8 years ago

www.cell.com/trends/cogni...

14.07.2025 19:35 — 👍 9    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
OSF

Centaur's performance may be largely driven by learning a good model of behavioral auto-regression—independent of the task. An important lesson for cognitive modelers: higher likelihood ≠ better account of behavior.

osf.io/preprints/ps...

14.07.2025 19:31 — 👍 21    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 0

If you include emotion recognition in "physiognomy", sure—but that's an unusual use of the term. If (1) people with PTSD have a different distribution of emotional responses and (2) emotional state can be inferred from facial expression, then it follows that one can infer PTSD from images.

14.07.2025 10:14 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Completely agree. I just think it’s in all of our interests if we are as precise as possible when criticizing irresponsible use of AI. The cultural bias point is a strong one. I’m less sure about the blanket statement that a statistical model can’t do what’s claimed here *in principle*.

13.07.2025 21:54 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

I must be misunderstanding you, but don’t people detect emotion (internal mental state) from facial expression all the time?

13.07.2025 19:45 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

preprint alert 🚨
1/ Can we accurately detect sequential replay in humans using Temporally Delayed Linear Modelling (#TDLM)? In our recent study, we could not find any replay and decided to dig deeper by running a hybrid simulation with surprising results. Link to preprint & details below 👇

16.06.2025 07:22 — 👍 55    🔁 27    💬 2    📌 2
Replay and representation dynamics in the hippocampus of freely flying bats - Nature Nature - Replay and representation dynamics in the hippocampus of freely flying bats

Our study is out in Nature!
Using wireless Neuropixels we recorded hippocampal activity in freely flying bats and uncovered replay and theta(less) sweeps, revealing striking differences from classic rodent models.

👉 www.nature.com/articles/s41...

09.07.2025 15:08 — 👍 122    🔁 32    💬 7    📌 4

I asked ChatGPT to respond to this critique. It replies:

"That’s a sharp observation—and honestly, a fair one. ChatGPT can sound overly agreeable or eager to please, much like..."

09.07.2025 16:34 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Feline Feces (lib catturd)
@kitttenn.bsky.social

M dashes (the long dash) are a dead giveaway. LLMs love using them for some reason, while actual human beings have no idea how to type that into the computer.
They also love sets of three, overtly parallel structure, and impersonal writing.
July 6, 2025 at 2:16 PM
1 quote
12 likes

Feline Feces (lib catturd) @kitttenn.bsky.social M dashes (the long dash) are a dead giveaway. LLMs love using them for some reason, while actual human beings have no idea how to type that into the computer. They also love sets of three, overtly parallel structure, and impersonal writing. July 6, 2025 at 2:16 PM 1 quote 12 likes

Stop spreading this garbage about em dashes in ACTUAL EDITED PROSE OH MY GOD.

Plenty of actual human beings know how to type em dashes! We’re called “writers” and “editors” — maybe you’ve heard of us?

06.07.2025 22:16 — 👍 5000    🔁 1010    💬 336    📌 651

After all these reports of authors adding language instructions for LLM reviews in their papers I wanted to check this myself and I downloaded the .tex source from one of these papers.

Here is an example.
(I will not share the identity of the paper)

05.07.2025 17:12 — 👍 388    🔁 125    💬 16    📌 33

Evidence for model-based meta-control? I look forward to reading!

05.07.2025 15:39 — 👍 8    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

🔥Hot Take: When you quote the middle of a sentence at the end of your sentence, the period should be *after* the quote, as in "the middle of a sentence". Don't put your punctuation in my mouth.

25.06.2025 00:08 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Super excited for this conference on mental health and adaptation to uncertainty. Remarkable how the organizers built a speaker lineup that is so interdisciplinary and yet so thematically focused. And the location certainly doesn't hurt...

www.fens.org/news-activit...

24.06.2025 12:42 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Comic. [block quote] “Far better an approximate answer to the *right* question, which is often vague, than an *exact* answer to the wrong question, which can always be made precise.” -John W. Tukey, The Future of Data Analysis (1962) [caption] Happy Approximate Birthday to John Tukey, author of my favorite statistics quote, who was born 110.000 years ago sometime this week.

Comic. [block quote] “Far better an approximate answer to the *right* question, which is often vague, than an *exact* answer to the wrong question, which can always be made precise.” -John W. Tukey, The Future of Data Analysis (1962) [caption] Happy Approximate Birthday to John Tukey, author of my favorite statistics quote, who was born 110.000 years ago sometime this week.

Tukey

xkcd.com/3104/

23.06.2025 22:36 — 👍 2928    🔁 430    💬 19    📌 16

Our latest @cccr.bsky.social survey reveals how unpopular the president’s most notable policy changes are with the American public. The survey also highlights the diversity of views within the GOP, related to their information diets, as well as US economic attitudes. cccr.wisc.edu/wp-content/u...

19.06.2025 17:44 — 👍 24    🔁 12    💬 0    📌 3

Compelling and thorough evidence for a very cool idea. Awesome paper.

10.06.2025 12:50 — 👍 6    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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I'm thrilled to announce that I will start as an Assistant Professor in Psychology & Cognitive Science at the University of Arizona in Jan 2026! My lab will investigate human planning and decision making through a combination of computational models, behavior, and fMRI (1/2)

05.06.2025 20:15 — 👍 59    🔁 5    💬 4    📌 2

Congrats Ari!

10.06.2025 12:23 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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📢 I'm happy to share the preprint: _Reward-Aware Proto-Representations in Reinforcement Learning_ ‼️

My PhD student, Hon Tik Tse, led this work, and my MSc student, Siddarth Chandrasekar, assisted us.

arxiv.org/abs/2505.16217

Basically, it's the SR with rewards. See below 👇

24.05.2025 15:23 — 👍 41    🔁 10    💬 2    📌 1

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