Lach Tantau

#AFL round 3 predictions
Bombers vs.Power - Bombers by 2
Blues vs.Bulldogs - Blues by 10
Demons vs.SUNS - Demons by 6
Saints vs.Tigers - Saints by 29
Hawks vs.GIANTS - Hawks by 22
Crows vs.Kangaroos - Crows by 29
Eagles vs.Dockers - Dockeers by 20

Got a few categorical variables working for my random Forrest AFL model, namely venue and state. Interesting to note that by far the variable of most importance is my Elo team rating, which counts for upwards of 80% of variable importance (if I’m interpreting it correctly)

Go dees. The model and I will be on opposite sides of the couch for this one.

Ok initial Random Forrest is working, but not categorical features yet. predictions are a little wild right now, so going to stick to my Elo model until I'm happy. Keen to give this thing a run this season, but also thinking "if it ain't, broke don't fix it...."

The Universe doesn't care

Earthrise.

Taken #OTD 56 years ago.

In terms of seeing that we're all on this one single planet, it's one of the most important photos ever taken.

Lots of fun, but quite hard 😅

Very ominous…

AI chatbots outsmart scammers: world-first pilot with Australia's largest bank

Fair enough! This sort of stuff is being rolled out now to save you time: lighthouse.mq.edu.au/article/nove...

The key is to keep them on the line as long as possible. Give them hope and waste their time so they don’t scam someone else.

Everyone always gets a shock when I tell them that it’s super easy to tell what side the petrol tank is on #IYKYK

The hardest part so far has been data cleaning 🫠

Doing a Bond song speaks volumes

Good time to turn the cricket on!

What do you think the single most important predictor is for an #AFL match?

Yet to be determined… I like to keep things simple, so will something like smoothed scoring shots/goals/Elo rating (from current model) etc.

The power of powers…

Currently investigating a Random Forest #Python model for my 2025 #AFL predictions. Waddaya reckon?

Going to start using bsky more for my #AFL #Python predictions for 2025.