@michaelle.bsky.social
Clinical Psych PhD Student, University of Michigan | EMA • Personality Pathology • Suicide | NSF GRFP Fellow, Columbia University Alum
Causal inference interest group, supported by the Centre for Longitudinal Studies Seminar series 20th October 2025, 3pm BST (UTC+1) "Making rigorous causal inference more mainstream" Julia Rohrer, Leipzig University Sign up to attend at tinyurl.com/CIIG-JuliaRohrer
Happy to announce that I'll give a talk on how we can make rigorous causal inference more mainstream 📈
You can sign up for the Zoom link here: tinyurl.com/CIIG-JuliaRo...
Had my first client as a clinical psych PhD student! It was a wonderful experience and such an honor.
Honestly this milestone is super underrated.
Hi bluesky friends! I plan to submit a symposium with @craiganthonyrs.bsky.social for APS 2026 on contextual psychopathology research from ECRs (students welcome!) Content area and methods are wide open. If you are interested or know someone who may be, message me and we'll chat further. 1/2
30.09.2025 16:05 — 👍 22 🔁 15 💬 1 📌 2
Me presenting at a lectern in the Crystal room at the Biltmore hotel
Presenters at the interpersonal SRP symposium
Me and Aidan in the Crystal conference room at the Biltmore in front of a projector
Me and my friends at the Biltmore hotel in front of glass doors
Honored to present my finished master’s thesis in a symposium at #SRP2025 this weekend with Jessica Hamilton, Jasmine Mote, Renata Botello, and Dan Fulford!
@sydadams.bsky.social @aidangcw.bsky.social
@jmote.bsky.social
Don't miss the EmoTe Lab/Prechter Program presentations at #SRP2025 this year!
23.09.2025 20:51 — 👍 17 🔁 6 💬 0 📌 0
Hey #SRP2025! Curious about how context shapes impulsive action and inaction in daily life? Come chat with me about our findings!
🗓️ Tonight (Thurs), 7-9pm
📍 Poster T72, The Topography of Momentary Impulsivity: Context Matters
Had a great time presenting my poster exploring people's thoughts & feelings about death w/ #BERTopic this evening at the Society for Research in Psychopathology Annual Meeting! Thanks to everyone who stopped by to chat– it was wonderful learning more about others' work and nerding out! 💀🪦
#SRP2025
At #SRP2025?
I'm presenting some findings on antagonism from meta-analyses, large scale text mining, and large language modeling tomorrow at 2:30!
🚨NSF GRFP solicitation is out - second year graduate students and clinical psych students are no longer eligible🚨
www.nsf.gov/funding/oppo...
Headed to present at Society for Research in Psychopathology (SRP) if anyone wants to connect during the conference!
25.09.2025 14:01 — 👍 9 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1Rutgers Discovering Psychology Day!
Provides webinars and panels aimed at preparing prospective students for psych PhD applications.
Apply by October 3rd!
sites.rutgers.edu/rdpd
My website is official 🙌 Excited to share that I am interested in reviewing applications for Harvard’s Clinical Science PhD program this fall as I look for the first student to join my lab! I appreciate it if you can share with your network :)
psychology.fas.harvard.edu/people/mark-...
Models as Prediction Machines: How to Convert Confusing Coefficients into Clear Quantities Abstract Psychological researchers usually make sense of regression models by interpreting coefficient estimates directly. This works well enough for simple linear models, but is more challenging for more complex models with, for example, categorical variables, interactions, non-linearities, and hierarchical structures. Here, we introduce an alternative approach to making sense of statistical models. The central idea is to abstract away from the mechanics of estimation, and to treat models as “counterfactual prediction machines,” which are subsequently queried to estimate quantities and conduct tests that matter substantively. This workflow is model-agnostic; it can be applied in a consistent fashion to draw causal or descriptive inference from a wide range of models. We illustrate how to implement this workflow with the marginaleffects package, which supports over 100 different classes of models in R and Python, and present two worked examples. These examples show how the workflow can be applied across designs (e.g., observational study, randomized experiment) to answer different research questions (e.g., associations, causal effects, effect heterogeneity) while facing various challenges (e.g., controlling for confounders in a flexible manner, modelling ordinal outcomes, and interpreting non-linear models).
Figure illustrating model predictions. On the X-axis the predictor, annual gross income in Euro. On the Y-axis the outcome, predicted life satisfaction. A solid line marks the curve of predictions on which individual data points are marked as model-implied outcomes at incomes of interest. Comparing two such predictions gives us a comparison. We can also fit a tangent to the line of predictions, which illustrates the slope at any given point of the curve.
A figure illustrating various ways to include age as a predictor in a model. On the x-axis age (predictor), on the y-axis the outcome (model-implied importance of friends, including confidence intervals). Illustrated are 1. age as a categorical predictor, resultings in the predictions bouncing around a lot with wide confidence intervals 2. age as a linear predictor, which forces a straight line through the data points that has a very tight confidence band and 3. age splines, which lies somewhere in between as it smoothly follows the data but has more uncertainty than the straight line.
Ever stared at a table of regression coefficients & wondered what you're doing with your life?
Very excited to share this gentle introduction to another way of making sense of statistical models (w @vincentab.bsky.social)
Preprint: doi.org/10.31234/osf...
Website: j-rohrer.github.io/marginal-psy...
NSF GRFP deadline published! www.nsf.gov/funding/oppo...
End of October! Solicitation seemingly on the way
Me smiling and standing beside a projector screen displaying the title slide of my thesis: “Dynamic Associations Between Interpersonal Complementarity and Suicidal Ideation in Adults with Borderline Personality Disorder”
Just defended my master’s thesis!
08.09.2025 14:48 — 👍 52 🔁 0 💬 3 📌 0UPDATE: due to unforeseen circumstances I will NOT be reviewing students this cycle.
Apologies to anyone who was interested.
This is NOT a program issue, other Michigan clin psych faculty still on!
The psych job market may not be dead... but it is gravely injured 😬 So far it's looking like the Trump administration's attacks on higher ed/research are going to have more than 2x the impact on the job market as the covid-19 pandemic. #psychjobs #neurojobs #academicjobs
03.09.2025 18:27 — 👍 164 🔁 73 💬 14 📌 10Want to do a PhD with me and the Emotions in Context Lab? We’re looking for new grad students to join us next fall! Check out the lab website to learn what we’re working on now and in the near future: www.emotionsincontextlab.com/join/
31.08.2025 21:36 — 👍 34 🔁 33 💬 0 📌 2
Orange cat climbing a screen door from the inside, reaching the top and looking at the camera
Orange cat behavior
29.08.2025 13:53 — 👍 9 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Members of the PPOLab standing and smiling for a photo in front of a grand staircase in the psychology building. From left to right: Grant, Chris, Janan, Sienna, Michaelle, Aidan
New school year, new lab pic!
@aidangcw.bsky.social
@siennarose.bsky.social
@jananmost.bsky.social
@grantaking.bsky.social
How I wish I wrote abstracts vs how I write abstracts…
21.08.2025 03:24 — 👍 115 🔁 29 💬 7 📌 2
Alarmingly, Black student enrollment is decreasing in the University of Michigan's psychology doctoral program. In my year (last year), there were 5 of us. This year, there is 1 student, representing 2% of the entire cohort.
Op Ed from Dr. Kevin Cokley.
www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/blac...
Flyer for the Black In Neuro Conference in-person events. The background is a soft peach with vibrant geometric patterns in mustard yellow, coral, teal, and pink at the top border. A bold orange "Black In Neuro Conference" title is centered. In-person events are listed below. Wednesday, September 10 in person events: #PictureABINScientist Poster Session, 3:00-5:00 PM and #BlackInNeuroFamily Social, 7PM to Late. In-person events Thursday, September 11: #BINAwards and Farewell, 4:00-5:00 PM. Below this reads: Black In Neuro Members can register to attend #BINW25 In-Person! All times in Eastern Standard Time. The Black In Neuro logo appears in the bottom left corner and to the right reads "#5YearsofBIN".
Flyer for the Black In Neuro Conference on Wednesday, September 10. The background is a soft peach with vibrant geometric patterns in mustard yellow, coral, teal, and pink at the top border. A bold orange "Black In Neuro Conference" title is centered. Sessions listed include: a welcome session 9:00-9:30AM, #BINSeminarSeries lecture 9:30-10:45AM, a NeuroAcrossTheDiaspora symposium 11:00AM-12:00PM, and an #ExploringBIN professional development workshop 1:30-3:00PM. Register to attend #BINW25 Live Streamed Events! All times in Eastern Standard Time. The Black In Neuro logo appears in the bottom left corner and to the right reads "#5YearsofBIN".
Flyer for the Black In Neuro Conference on Thursday, September 11. The background is a soft peach with vibrant geometric patterns in mustard yellow, coral, teal, and pink at the top border. A bold orange "Black In Neuro Conference" title is centered. Sessions listed include: #NeuroRacism Symposium 9:30-11:00AM, a #BINSeminarSeries Lecture #BlackInNeuroFutures Keynote Address 11:15-12:30PM, a #BINSeminarSeries Lecture 1:00-3:00PM, and an #BlackInNeuroAltCareers Symposium 3:00-4:00PM. Register to attend #BINW25 Live Streamed Events! All times in Eastern Standard Time. The Black In Neuro logo appears in the bottom left corner and to the right reads "#5YearsofBIN".
Whether you're in the room or tuning in from across the globe, #BINW25 is for YOU! 🌍
In-person perks: exclusive socials & awards ✨
Online perks: powerful panels & keynotes 💻
Let’s celebrate #5YearsOfBIN, side by side or screen to screen 💛🖤
Register to attend or present a poster at the links below!
The image is an announcement graphic for Black In Neuro Conference 2025. The top and bottom features colourful geometric patterns. Below the geometric frame is bold orange text reads “BLACK IN NEURO CONFERENCE.” Event details follow: “Wednesday, Sept 10 - Friday, Sept 12, 2025, University of the District of Columbia.” An information box states "Register Now" with an arrow directed towards the registration link "HTTPS://TINYURL.COM/BINW25". Next to this is the Black In Neuro logo.
The image is the conference schedule for Black In Neuro Conference 2025. The top and bottom features colorful geometric patterns. Below the top geometric patterns is bold orange text that reads "Conference Schedule" and below in italicized black text that reads "Celebrating 5 years of diversifying the neurosciences". Central to the image is the conference schedule: 10 Sept: #Black In Neuro Roll Call (breakfast); #Seminar Series (industry); #Neuro Across The Diaspora (symposium); #Exploring BIN (professional development workshop); #Picture a BIN Scientist (poster session); #Black In Neuro Family (social). 11 Sept: #Black In Neuro Roll Call (breakfast); #NeuroRacism (seminar); #Black In Neuro Futures (keynote); #Seminar Series (academic); #Black In Neuro Alt-Careers (symposium). 12 Sept: #BINterdisciplinary. An information box states "Register Now" with an arrow directed towards the registration link "HTTPS://TINYURL.COM/BINW25".
1/ 🎉 Black In Neuro is turning FIVE — and we’re celebrating with our first-ever in-person conference! 🧠✨
Join us for 3 days of connection, learning & celebration with the BIN community! 💥
📍 Sept 10–12 | Washington, D.C.
Registration is LIVE so register today at the link below! tinyurl.com/BINW25
A Wikipedia-style guideline page on avoiding exaggerated wording by LLMs, with two sections titled Undue emphasis on symbolism and importance and Promotional language. Each section lists “words to watch” in a beige box, such as "stands as a testament", "plays a vital role", "rich cultural heritage", "breathtaking", and "must-see". Below, example sentences are shown with problematic phrases highlighted in yellow, including "enhancing its significance", "captivates both residents and visitors alike", "stands as a symbol", "reflects the evolving identity", "vibrant town with a rich cultural heritage", "fascinating glimpse into the diverse tapestry", and "value-driven experiences".
This is really fascinating
Wikipedia's list of linguistic and stylist "tells" of AI writing, the better to help editors recognize it
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikiped...
Please share with trainees in the San Diego area! The International Society for Developmental Psychology @isdp.org will have a limited number of waivers available for local trainees (undergraduate, graduate, postbacc, and others) to attend the 2025 annual meeting! 🌴 Apply via QR code/link on flyer:
12.08.2025 17:07 — 👍 6 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 0Congratulations Jaclyn!! 🎉🙌🏽
19.08.2025 20:25 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
ChatGPT shows signs of the same biases that arise in audit studies of human beings.
When you give ChatGPT resumes, it's biased in how it evaluates minorities.
When you ask ChatGPT to generate resumes for women & minorities, it generates systematically different types of resumes
Ask to be nominated for an APS Award or Honor! Rising Star and Spence Award nominations are due October 1!
https://www.psychologicalscience.org/members/awards-and-honors
