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High pressure is firmly in place across the region and the visible satellite shows this very well. We are however seeing a pattern shift developing off to the west in the open waters of the Pacific. Moisture will take time to track east, but most areas will see some measurable rainfall by Friday.

Here is a look at the latest GFS model run showing estimated precipitation amounts from tomorrow through the morning of the 23rd of October.

A beautiful early fall morning from the Britt webcam in Jacksonville looking east. Another clear sky day is in store for our region with above normal temperatures.

Air Quality Update 10/7/25 8 AM

The HRRR smoke modeling is not available due to the government shutdown. The image below shows current air quality levels. Smoke from active wildfires are impacting air quality nearby and downwind of fires.

The European weather model run this morning is showing a possibility of accumulating snowfall across the higher elevations of the Cascades beginning late Friday into early next week. Given ground surface temperatures accumulations are likely going to be less than model projections.

Highs today will be a few degrees warmer than yesterday with temperatures trending at least 8 degrees above normal for most locations. Here are the projected highs across the region.

Satellite imagery this morning shows a carbon copy of what we saw develop yesterday. The one thing that will change slightly is the winds should be a bit calmer across the region. Look for clear and sunny skies and temperatures trending above normal.

The GFS model is indicating that measurable rainfall will hold off until around Friday morning. We will however see progressively wetter conditions heading into the weekend and next week. The second graphic shows precipitation estimates from now through the 22nd of October.

I thought it would be interesting to show where reservoir levels are at currently as we head into a new water year this month. You can see many of the larger reservoirs are looking quite healthy even with demands for irrigation this summer.

Air Quality Update 10/6/25 7 AM

The HRRR smoke modeling is not available due to the government shutdown. The image below shows current air quality levels. Smoke from active wildfires are impacting air quality nearby and downwind of fires.

Forecast high temperatures continue to trend upward today in response to the ridge of high pressure overhead. We will see highs at least 5 degrees above normal.

Skies are clear across the region this morning as high pressure begins to strengthen. Even the coastal zones are mostly free of clouds and fog under offshore flow aloft.

Here is the latest European model run showing 14 day precipitation estimates. We will see precipitation start to arrive around Thursday of next week.

Winds will pick up across the region today. Here are the latest 24 hour peak wind gusts through early tomorrow morning. Winds could gust in excess of 35-40 across the higher elevations.

Air Quality Update 10/5/25 7 AM

The HRRR smoke modeling is not available due to the government shutdown. The image below shows current air quality levels. Smoke from active wildfires are impacting air quality nearby and downwind of fires.

High temperatures will begin to trend upward today and will trend above normal to start off the work week. Here is a look at the forecast highs across the region based off the GFS model run.

Visible satellite imagery shows areas of fog and low clouds west of the Cascades. Skies are starting to clear for the rest of the region as we begin to see a pattern shift.

With the potential for gusty winds developing around Sunday evening into Monday we could see an elevated fire weather risk for portions of our region. The graphic below shows where the highest risks are. Wind gusts could increase to 20-30 mph. The higher elevations will see the strongest winds.

It is a cold start for most of the interior valleys this morning. Here are the latest surface temperatures as of 7 AM. Frost and freeze conditions have verified east of the Cascades.

Air Quality Update 10/4/25 7 AM

The HRRR smoke modeling is not available due to the government shutdown. The image below shows current air quality levels. Smoke from active wildfires are impacting air quality nearby and downwind of fires.

High temperatures continue to remain below normal across the region today. Areas west of the Cascades will see highs in the mid to upper 60’s.

Satellite imagery this morning shows a similar setup as what we experienced yesterday. There are however fewer lower level clouds and fog in place west of the Cascades. Overnight lows east of the Cascades have resulted in frost and freeze conditions.

Cloud cover has been sticking around most of the day across the region. We will see more clearing overnight as high pressure builds across the region. Overnight lows east of the Cascades will drop to near to even below freezing.

Absolutely beautiful snow covered Mt. Hood courtesy of the Palmer/Silcox webcam at Timberline Lodge. You can check out all of the ski area webcams here: timberlinelodge.com/webcams/

The European weather model this morning shows another low and associated cold front arriving along the coast by Thursday morning of next week. This could be our next best chance of seeing measurable rainfall again.

There are still a few showers moving across portions of Klamath, Lake and Modoc counties this morning. You can see these quite well on the latest radar returns.

Air Quality Update 10/2/25 7 AM

The HRRR smoke modeling is not available due to the government shutdown. The image below shows current air quality levels. Smoke from active wildfires are impacting air quality nearby and downwind of fires.

High temperatures today will be very similar to what we saw develop yesterday across the region. High pressure will begin to rebuild with highs returning closer to normal heading into this weekend.

Visible satellite imagery this morning shows plenty of areas of fog and low clouds from the coast to the interior valleys both east and west of the Cascades. A few showers remain east of the Cascades.

FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures of 26 to 32 are possible. Colder temperatures are also possible Saturday night.