Conor Murphy

Is SF gonna remain the only opposition party capable of forming a non FG/FF government, or is it more likely that the two will split and one will form another coalition?

Oh aye I’m aware, I’m just wondering what the feeling is. The polls seemed to be indicating it’s neck and neck between the three main parties again, but I’m only asking for pure speculation!

Hey all, just seeing a bit of a dearth of information and polling about Irish politics at the minute. Question - who do you think, now, will form the government after the next dáil election?

GRMA #irishpolitics #politicsireland #speirghorm

Haigh, ba mhaith liom Eurovision a bhuachan le amhrán as Gaeilge, ba mhaith le haon duine cabhrú? #gaeilge

Leabhar na Gaeilg - “Teagasc do Chat Manx”

Tá me i Oileán Mhannin anois agus fuair me leabhar Gaeilg - teanga na Mhannin. Tá sé an-suimiúil!! 🇮🇲

Don’t you think it’s funny how Trump wants to make Canada a state before DC and Puerto Rico? #uspolitics

Poland, it seems, actually knows what Never Again means

STOP 👏 SENDING 👏 PEOPLE 👏 THERE 👏

A screenshot of the front page of The Irish Times showing the Ambassador of Palestine in traditional Palestinian dress inspecting the guard of honour - rows of soldiers in formal uniform.

The Ambassador of Palestine inspects a guard of honour at Áras an Uachtaráin yesterday
after she presented her credentials to President Michael D Higgins.

BiDEn

A right wing car maker who bought a media outlet in order to amplify antisemitic conspiracy theories is advocating for a far right German party that promises to expel a disfavored minority? You don’t say.

First goal I ever saw at Goodison 🤤

This is Putin’s Afghanistan. The collapse of Assad’s regime has been swift and utterly astonishing, and has left Russia and Iran with egg on their faces. Lavrov’s interview with Al Jazeera showed the regime is shaken by its collapse.

#Syria

Tá mé ag foghlaim Everton i gcónaí, cuireann siad iontas orm i gconai!

Fear mhaith, is deas bualadh leat 🤝

An bhfuil tú Gaeilgeoir agus Evertonian? 🤯

Fr. Henry Bigbigging
Fr. Hank Tree
Fr. Hiroshima Twinkie
Fr. Stig Bubblecard
Fr. Johnny Hellzapoppin’
Fr. Luke Duke
Fr. Billy Ferry
Fr. Chewy Louie
Fr. Hairycake Linehan
Fr. Rebulah Conundrum
Fr. Peewee Stairmaster
Fr. Jemima Racktool
Fr. Jerry Twig
Fr. Spodo Komodo
Fr. Cannabranna Lammer

Yeah I get that, it just appears Ireland has avoided the type of politics that engulfing, say, France right now and would be in a lot worse shape than if it hadn’t

And several extremely tense elections in other European countries in that time. Ireland has just had various flavours of FG/FF.

All have had elections that have been perceived as “saving democracy,” or “rescuing the country from the brink.” Ireland has had the same people roughly and same electoral forces competing with really similar results since 2016. Think we’ve had two Trump election wins, a British hung parliament

I know it’s not the kind of stability you would want policy wise, but their collective ability to provide the same party and parties in government over an extremely turbulent period is astonishing. Think about the instability in the UK, US, France, Germany, Italy, and Poland in the same period

Maybe I am wrong with all this, just looking for some meaning in three days of transfers

7. The voters obviously want a left wing alternative, and maybe this might be better done by the SDs than Labour, PBP-S, or SF. If the SDs stay in opposition and present a coherent alternative, they maybe in a really good place to absorb votes and potentially position themselves well for 29.

6. I understand that the SDs and Labour insist they have lots of differences, but a lot of this is due to the Labour brand being tarnished. This is the first election since 07 they’ve gained votes, and as I’ve mentioned, I think the SDs have had a lot to do with this.

5. Whatever the circumstances, the SDs should go nowhere near government. With 22 centre left TDs, voters will look for other avenues, especially with the concept that SF might never be accepted by enough of the electorate to govern. Labour have done well, yes, but I think lots of this is due to SDs

4. The Soc Dems are a real force to be reckoned with. They massively outperformed expectations (even generous predictions had them at 6 or 7 seats), and their success has had a positive impact on Labour and insulated PBP-S (to a lesser extent). Holly Cairns had a good campaign, but…

3. We may have hit peak SF, and the prospect for a centre left government is quite distant but not impossible by the next general election. Someone on the left will take their place, leading me to the real winners of this election.

2. This is not a good position for them to be in. They’re setting themselves up for a government between the two of them and Indies, with no lightning rod. Independents will come and go individually, but others will take their place.

Thoughts on the #GE24 result:

1. FF/FG are now, essentially, one party occupying most of the country. The scale of the transfers between them shows that they’re working in tandem - if this is a shot to anyone. They’re heading towards another government and should be given credit for the stability.

I’m in.

People’s perception of what needs to be done shifts when left wing parties go hard on immigration, bc they think “oh shit if the lefties are going hard on it then it must be bad”