Allen Hicken

Mass protest and the two worlds of Indonesian politics - New Mandala A subculture of opposition survives beyond Jokowi

NEW 🇮🇩 "What [the protesters] really stand for, above all, is rejection of the entire ruling elite. And the entire ruling elite, more or less, stands united against them." @edwardaspinall.bsky.social on last week's protests and the limits of comparisons with 1998 www.newmandala.org/mass-protest...

My take on the recent protests in Indonesia

www.newmandala.org/mass-protest...

Will She Stay or Will She Go? Speculation intensifies that the Prime Minister could resign

There's been a lot of speculation recently that Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra could resign before the Constitutional Court issues a ruling on her ethics case. Will she stay or will she go? www.coffeeparliament.com/p/will-she-s...

SEAREG Thematic Sessions | Duke Center for International Development SEAREG Thematic Sessions - Duke Center for International Development

For all Southeast Asianist scholars, please consider submitting a paper proposal for SEAREG at UC-San Diego in December.

dcid.sanford.duke.edu/seareg-thema...

Malaysia confronts the realities of MAGA diplomacy and Trump’s brash ambassadorial pick For decades, Malaysia and the US have enjoyed a mutually beneficial relationship. Could that be changing?

Crazy events occasionally compel me to venture out of my usual cozy niche in comparative politics and into foreign policy ... And few recent events (at least in my world) have been quite so crazy as this nomination.
theconversation.com/malaysia-con...

The Curious Case of the Taiwan People's Party, Part 1: Policy, Office, or Votes? This post got so long I broke it into [two] --> [three] --> FOUR pieces. Part 1 is below. Part 2 is her e, Part 3 is here , and Part 4 is here .

Finally wrote something about the Taiwan People's Party. Read to the end to find out why the TPP is the biggest reason most KMT legislators are going to face recall votes on July 26:

www.kharistempleman.com/blog/the-cur...

Street scene in Southeast Asia with a person pushing a bicycle loaded with baskets, overlaid with a call for papers on agency in volatile times.

Scholars from Southeast Asia have until July 20 to submit proposals for the #AAS2026 Rising Voices panel, “Against the Tide: Agency in Volatile Times for Southeast Asia.” Check out the full CFP at #AsiaNow!

buff.ly/vsyo0nO

Front cover of Global Challenges to Democracy: Comparative Perspectives on Backsliding, Autocracy, and Resilience by Bunce et al.

'Global Challenges to Democracy: Comparative Perspectives on Backsliding, Autocracy, and Resilience' by Bunce, @tompepinsky.com, @beattyriedl.bsky.social & Roberts is now available using our #BISA2025 30% discount.

cup.org/3STKoPB

Add your selection to your basket and use code 102385 at check out.

A brilliant scholar and wonderful human being. He will be missed.

New working paper, with @a2hicken.bsky.social and @edwardaspinall.bsky.social: "New Patterns of Urban Political Reform in SE Asia." What can 18 SE Asian cities tell us about the likelihood and character of urban reform? We dive in here. Thanks to our fab research team and GLD!
tinyurl.com/3eur93v5

Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Happy to announce that I have a new publication in Comparative Political Studies co-authored with @a2hicken.bsky.social

We show that the type of authoritarian parties that survive democratization affect party building differently

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

Congratulations!!

BJPolS abstract discussing the Party-System Democracy Index (PSDI) and its application in political science research.

From March 2025 -

Party Systems, Democratic Positions, and Regime Changes: Introducing the Party-System Democracy Index - cup.org/4iPyIIn

- @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social, @felixwiebrecht.bsky.social & @silindberg.bsky.social

#OpenAccess

Looking Beyond "Why Nations Fail" Thailand needs more than just AJR's "mythologized narratives"

"Why Nations Fail" has been getting a lot of attention in Thailand. But getting Thailand out of the middle income trap will need us to build a national conversation that goes beyond what AJR offers. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/looking-be...

Congratulations!!!!

Global Challenges to Democracy Cambridge Core - Comparative Politics - Global Challenges to Democracy

The first comprehensive, cross-regional comparative study of democratic backsliding and resiliency around the world.

Global Challenges to Democracy eds. Valerie J. Bunce, @tompepinsky.com, @beattyriedl.bsky.social, & Kenneth M. Roberts

Out Now #Politics #BookSky

cup.org/3F5YRV7

Accepted (conditional on uploading replication files) for publication @bjpols.bsky.social my paper with Miguel Rueda and Shuning Ge "Do More Disaggregated Electoral Results Deter Aggregation Fraud?"

Updated draft can be found at: osf.io/preprints/os...

Please, submit nominations to the 2025 CES Carolina de Miguel Award: councilforeuropeanstudies.org/membership/g....

Super happy to see this finally out! Coauthored with a dream team! @gustavodiaz.org Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro & Matthew S. Winters

Check it out! 👇🏼

*long thread with a summary of the argument may be coming soon

2025/25 “After the Grand Compromise: Voter Profiles in Thai Politics” by Napon Jatusripitak and Mathis Lohatepanont The grand compromise, forged at the elite level between Thailand’s conservative establishment and Thaksin Shinawatra’s Pheu Thai Party, could lead many Thai voters to shift their party allegiance in t...

New piece with Napon Jatusripitak! We analyze voter attitudes in Thailand in the wake of the grand compromise between Pheu Thai and the conservatives and how partisan allegiances may shift. www.iseas.edu.sg/articles-com...

This piece draws on original survey data (conducted with
@a2hicken.bsky.social and Chitchaya Chimtanoo), including a mapping of how voters in our sample shifted in their party choices between the 2019 and 2023 general elections.

Dark Blue Power Bhumjaithai wields its strength to protect the constitutional status quo

The Bhumjaithai Party has proven willing to frequently act as an internal opposition party within the Pheu Thai coalition. And with the "dark blue Senate," they've thrown their weight behind protecting the constitutional status quo. coffeeparliament.substack.com/p/dark-blue-...

We are now accepting nominators for the CES 2025 Carolina de Miguel Moyer Young Scholar Award.

Nominations for the 2025 Award are due May 2, 2025:

councilforeuropeanstudies.org/membership/g...

Party in the Provinces The increasing prominence of national parties in Thai local politics

Candidates for local offices in Thailand have usually been reluctant to run with a national party. So why have partisan labels become more common in the recent elections? I explore this phenomenon here: coffeeparliament.substack.com/p/party-in-t... #Thailand #SoutheastAsia

Taiwan Is on the Brink of a Constitutional Crisis And maybe a fiscal one, too. And no, it has nothing to do with China.

www.kharistempleman.com/blog/taiwan-...

New paper in @pspolisci.bsky.social by Kirk Hawkins and I discussing the future of scholarship on populism and its effect on democratic contestation, participation, and representation. We give special attention to how we measure populism, as many current measurses are inadequate for future research.

Thailand's deinstitutionalised democracy movement - New Mandala Thai conservatives have sought to prevent reformists from putting down roots in society—and it’s worked

NEW: Weak party infrastructures, lack of access to state resources, and the distractions of bans and harassment haunt counter-establishment political movements in Thailand—even as public demand for democratic change mounts, writes Akanit Horatanakun. www.newmandala.org/thailands-de...

Thailand in 2024: Year in Review  - Thai Enquirer Current Affairs Latest Thailand English Online News Thailand in 2024: Year in Review  Current Affairs - Thai Enquirer %

One PM ousted, while a would-be PM was banned from politics. A former PM demonstrated his influence over the country, as his daughter, the titular PM, took the reins.

A lot happened in Thai politics this year. My review of 2024: www.thaienquirer.com/53565/thaila...

American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library Opposition coalitions under electoral authoritarianism have been associated with greater likelihood of opposition victory and democratization. I argue, however, that coalitions also entail significan...

🚨 New article alert! polisky dictatorsky
In @ajpseditor.bsky.social @osamet.bsky.social examines how opposition coalitions shape electoral performance in authoritarian regimes—and why near-victories can sometimes backfire. Read it here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

Opinion – Weekend’s PAO election results points to a need for People’s Party strategy rethink - Thai Enquirer Current Affairs Latest Thailand English Online News Opinion – Weekend’s PAO election results points to a need for People’s Party strategy rethink Current Affairs - Thai Enquirer %

My piece on key takeaways from the weekend's local election results in Thailand. Pheu Thai survived a challenge from the People's Party in Udon Thani, while a Democrat-aligned candidate lost in Nakhon Si Thammarat. www.thaienquirer.com/53417/opinio...