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D0TheMath

@d0themath.bsky.social

Forecasting, singular learning theory, and fun

71 Followers  |  46 Following  |  27 Posts  |  Joined: 18.11.2024  |  1.9682

Latest posts by d0themath.bsky.social on Bluesky

Pedantry is a virtue

08.12.2024 02:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Incredible story of a prophet who convinced her people to kill off their cattle, eventually resulting in a famine that killed 75% of the Xhosa people: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nongqaw...

07.12.2024 21:09 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

If ur research is public & free anyone could argue with u or crit u & write about it (in theory) on their Substack. A much more impressive feat than a small num of academics who likely share ur biases & have maybe argued w u privately but would never publicly bc it would lower ur reputation a bit.

07.12.2024 01:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It 'aint science if it 'aint public & free. Not to say private research (including "science" behind paywalls) isn't useful, but imo its much less trustworthy & much less useful than public & free research.

07.12.2024 01:50 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

h/t Simon Pepin Lehalleur

07.12.2024 01:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

the correct answer is N*d^2-d(d+1)/2

07.12.2024 01:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Given positive integers d and N with Nβ‰₯d, consider the algebraic set S of tuples of real matrices A_1,...,A_N of size d*d whose product A_1*...*A_N is 0. What is the dimension of S?

07.12.2024 01:44 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

LLMs will help with many things, but one thing our society seems pretty scared about allowing automated access to is medical knowledge. Already getting such info out of Claude for example is very difficult. Therefore one of the few things it will be valuable for you to teach yourself is medicine.

30.11.2024 23:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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(The) Lightcone is nothing without its people: LW + Lighthaven's big fundraiser β€” LessWrong TLDR: LessWrong + Lighthaven need about $3M for the next 12 months. Donate here, or send me an email, DM or signal message (+1 510 944 3235), or comm…

Consider donating to Lightcone! www.lesswrong.com/posts/5n2ZQc...

30.11.2024 05:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Doing focusing therapy with Claude

30.11.2024 04:12 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

eg I've heard really good things about Little Women, but haven't watched it yet.

29.11.2024 03:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I think this may just be an effect of your audience itself being mostly male, so the movies they get most immersed into are male movies, and if you asked a bunch of girls they'd say more feminine-coded movies.

29.11.2024 03:35 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The Big Short

28.11.2024 14:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

questions around the physics of those things are important for determining this, but I'm imagining something much more Age of Em like than Eternity in Six Hours like

28.11.2024 14:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The economics of the things which are left scarce. Feasibly those things will be energy, compute, social prestige, physical distance, information/entropy, and what others do with their (de facto) property (eg in our world that could be reprinting copyrighted books, or 3d printing weapons).

28.11.2024 14:37 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Claude 3.5.1 Sonnet is very funny sometimes

27.11.2024 01:16 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Is China’s LVA Surgery a legitimate treatment for Alzheimer’s? 47% chance. https://x.com/chenkojira/status/1859658593588613336 This market will resolve YES if, by December 31, 2025, at least one independent, peer-reviewed study corroborates the efficacy of deep ...

Claims. Here's the market to track: manifold.markets/Mactuary/is-...

x.com/chenkojira/s...

23.11.2024 07:24 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Anything that can be a market, should be a market!

22.11.2024 22:15 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It can be difficult to come up with resolution criteria & give enough context to traders. Nevermind the stress of a resolution when potentially >$100k is on the line!

21.11.2024 23:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Whats an example? Usually someone bringing up neuroscience decreases credibility in their claims for meβ€”usually!

21.11.2024 18:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Made a lesswrong starterpack. reply if you use lesswrong and want to be put in it, or if there's anyone else I've not added that should be added!

go.bsky.app/EkcDcjA

19.11.2024 19:59 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 2

Very interesting that it basically hasn't changed other than equality zeroing out, and care getting dramatically lower.

I think this matches my intuition for how my morals have changed over time too.

21.11.2024 04:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Left: My 6-factor morality from yourmorals.org from >3 years ago

Right: My 6-factor morality now

21.11.2024 04:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Sounds fun to me!

21.11.2024 04:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I should be added

21.11.2024 00:27 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I would normally be scared of how left bluesky is, but I'm not going to miss out on a real federated social media site taking off!

21.11.2024 00:11 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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eg

21.11.2024 00:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Idk if its just how I talk to it or what, but I talk to it the way I do because I find it makes it more smart & reflective. The ladder makes sense of the former observation.

21.11.2024 00:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

One thing I notice about Claude 3.5.1 Sonnet is that they often try to read my opinion about a subject, mirror that opinion, and rasp philosophically about it.

21.11.2024 00:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

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