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Matt Singh

@mattsingh.bsky.social

Pollster, election analyst, founder of Number Cruncher, love sports (volleyball, F1) travel and Alsace Wine. Own views.

992 Followers  |  12 Following  |  7 Posts  |  Joined: 06.02.2024  |  1.5189

Latest posts by mattsingh.bsky.social on Bluesky


Yes, it's not adjusted for cohorts shifting along (and also not adjusted for eligibility)

26.01.2026 18:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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And as some of the more astute pundits have noted, the seat isn't one homogeneous blob, different parts really are quite different. This is far from unique, but it's rarely this obvious โ€“ Reform, Greens and WPGB all took double-digit percentages of the vote. Keep this mind when thinking about flows

26.01.2026 17:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Age and religion breakdown of Gorton and Denton. As several have flagged, about a quarter of adults in the constituency are Muslim. But note the age profile โ€“ higher turnout age groups are much less Muslim

Source: 2021 census, percentages exclude refusers from the base

26.01.2026 17:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Good threadlet on this - agree with the conclusion. One confusing aspect about it is isn't a real place - it's one of those 'okay, the boundary commission needs to create 27 constituencies in Greater Manchester of roughly equal size and population, and you are what is left over' seats.

26.01.2026 17:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 46    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 10    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Twitter recently

30.09.2025 23:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Today seems to be International Womenโ€™s Sport Day, but only in France๐Ÿค” Anyway, I think this should be a thing, so happy International Womenโ€™s Sport Day!#JournรฉeInternationaleDuSportFรฉminin

24.01.2025 17:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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TIL from @depthsofwikipedia.bsky.social that Wikipedia doesnโ€™t the use the real Hezbollah flag in most articles because ofโ€ฆ Copyright ๐Ÿคฃ๐Ÿคฃ

24.12.2024 21:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This place is also not Britain

15.08.2024 21:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 25    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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