Caroline Wainwright (nee Dunning)

Evaluating the role of observational uncertainty in climate impact assessments: Temperature-driven yellow fever risk in South America Global gridded temperature data sets (GGTDs) differ in data sources, quality control, generation methods, and spatial-temporal resolution, introducing observational uncertainty. This uncertainty is cr...

New research by Sally Jahn and colleagues:

"Evaluating the role of observational uncertainty in climate impact assessments: Temperature-driven yellow fever risk in South America"

journals.plos.org/climate/arti...

@carolinewainwright.bsky.social @mrc-outbreak.bsky.social

Earlier this year I spent a week in #Kenya meeting with energy stakeholders to talk about how subseasonal weather forecasts can support energy planning in #Kenya, and their transition to 100% renewables.

See the @ncas-uk.bsky.social news story linked below for more information about the project!

For more info and student view point see links below. CLimate Futures is a genuinel interdisciplinary course on Climate Change - which to me makes it really exciting

www.youtube.com/watch?v=s83v...

www.youtube.com/watch?v=4s63...

www.youtube.com/watch?v=FsYQ...

Tropical cyclone induced compound flooding in Madagascar: a coupled modeling approach - Natural Hazards Compound flooding occurs when multiple contributing factors, such as oceanic (storm surge, tide, and waves) and continental (heavy rainfall and river discharge), combine to exacerbate flood impacts. T...

New paper published!

"Tropical cyclone induced compound flooding in Madagascar: a coupled modeling approach"

In this paper we develop a high-res compound flood model over #Madagascar, and use it to explore the flooding associated with Tropical Cyclone Batsirai.

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Absolutely chucking it down in #Nairobi - and the FASTA app agrees!

And yes, yes I went and stood in the heavy rain to try and get photos and videos of the #longrains to use in presentations.

Finishing the week in #Kenya at ICPAC - great to catch up with colleagues there and hear about the work they are doing.
And to complete a week on renewable energy we even had a look at their solar panels!

Watching the cloud build and the #rain get closer on the FASTA app - think I might need a raincoat for this afternoon!
#kenya #rain #nowcasting

After a week talking about wind and solar power in Kenya it was great to visit the Ngong Hills wind farm and talk with the engineers there about how forecasts would be used in their decision making.

Yesterday we had meetings at the University of Nairobi - exciting to see the SWIFT-NESST laboratory and find work we'd collaborated on displayed round the room!

Meeting rooms on the 16th floor give great views over Nairobi and a great place to watch clouds from!

In Kenya this week for the POWER-Kenya (Potential of sub-seasonal Operational Weather and climate information for building Energy Resilience in Kenya) kick off meeting, meeting with stakeholders from the Kenyan energy sector and Kenya Meteorological Department and hearing their thoughts & priorities

Screenshot of the title of this scholarship and relevant key details, with a photo icon representing the project content. All contents available from the link in the post.

Our Climate and Meteorology Observatory has scholarships available for 3 PhD students and 1 MSc student across four exciting projects. Apply until Friday: shorturl.at/k3JN5

Cyclone #Chido powers on toward Mozambique after striking Mayotte, and will likely make landfall south of Pemba as a very powerful system.

Latest satellite view:

New paper published!

Wet season onset is really important for farmers in West Africa, but can sub-seasonal forecasts be used to produce onset forecasts to support decision making?

Here we explore the skill of S2S forecasts in forecasting onset over Ghana.

www.frontiersin.org/journals/cli...

Great poster session with the Climate Futures students today, where they presented their posters on their group research projects. There were some great posters looking at the climate impacts of seagrass, reducing aviation, painting buildings white, and aerosols.

We even had vegan mince pies!

#Agricultural advisories are key for helping farmers to prepare for the upcoming season.

New #PhD opportunity looking at "integrating weather and climate information into ... agricultural advisories" in #Kenya.

@envleeds.bsky.social

More here 👉 unrisk-cdt.ac.uk/projects/int...

Seasonal #forecasts of the #EastAfrica Long Rains are quite poor - can we use #MachineLearning to improve this?

We are advertising a new #PhD opportunity on using #MachineLearning to improve forecasts for the Long Rains

More info here 👉 yes-dtn.ac.uk/research/a-m...

@envleeds.bsky.social

Thanks Bert! Woke up to ankle deep snow in West Yorkshire this morning. #uksnow #snow #yorkshire

A Machine-Learning approach to understanding and predicting the East African Long Rains - Yorkshire Environmental Sciences • Doctoral Training Network The East African Long Rains (March-May) are of vital importance to food security in East Africa. Agriculture in the region is largely rain-fed, and the performance of the long rains influences the ava...

Finally a PhD on Machine Learning for the East African Long Rains with @carolinewainwright.bsky.social
yes-dtn.ac.uk/research/a-m...

First snow of the season! #uksnow #snow #yorkshire

The forecast was correct! Currently snowing near Leeds, and settling on grass and hedges. #uksnow #snow #weather

Last week I had the opportunity to work with a fantastic group of young people, who were grappling with the challenges of global climate negotiations through a Mock COP activity. Their enthusiam and passion was so inspiring!

You can read more here: t.co/EgYRH4DPrY

At the Senedd today at a World Climate Simulation ‘mock COP’ event for local school students, ahead of #COP28.
There were keynotes from British Council Wales, WCIA and Julie James MS, and a short talk from me on the science of climate change, before the students got stuck into the negotiations!

Taking a quick break from the WCRP #WCRPOSC2023 conference to enjoy the clouds in Kigali!

Been a great week, with so many exciting conversations. But my "interesting science to do" list is now very long!

Poster is up at #WCRPOSC2023!

I'll be at board 13 later talking about recent work looking at the drivers of dry season #rainfall over #EastAfrica.

So excited to be in Rwanda for the WCRP Open Science #WCRPOSC2023 conference! Really looking forward to hearing about ongoing work & WCRP activities, & connecting with colleagues.

Starting today with the EMCR conference. Really interesting conversations around climate research in the Global South!

Excellent day the at Africa MAC (Meteorology and Climate) meeting at the Met Office. So good to hear about all the exciting work going on, and catch up with colleagues. Can't wait for the WCRP Open Science Conference in 2 weeks time to continue the conversations!