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@marketmaker2757.bsky.social

Account is dedicated toward speaking out against Election interference mis/disinformation by highlighting methodological and measurement flaws Advantage gambler

30 Followers  |  24 Following  |  355 Posts  |  Joined: 01.07.2025  |  2.121

Latest posts by marketmaker2757.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Fig 4

www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Iโ€™m not good at seeing is something is doctored or not, beyond something obvious. Just wanna make sure weโ€™re on the same page here that there is a version of these 2D histograms without the circles in the klimek paper

05.12.2025 23:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Yeah. Looks like they blocked DB from commenting

04.12.2025 18:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

But R5 it isnโ€™t a perfect circle so itzzzzz AnOmoLoUs

04.12.2025 16:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is is so ridiculous lmao.

04.12.2025 15:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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When you can triple down on being arithmetically inept you have to do it

28.11.2025 17:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Interesting where she chose to cut off that quote

28.11.2025 17:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

OP was made because I thought she exaggerated what her references/sources said. But that was my mistake as I looked in the wrong place of the โ€œrageโ€ e book. That being said I kept the post up because i still think it fits.

Sheโ€™s interchangeably using deleting votes and deleting voters

28.11.2025 17:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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grassroots speak is either the most intellectually dishonest person ever, or quite literally has 0 reading comprehension skills

25.11.2025 18:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Ughhhhhhhhhh. That puts a serious damper on the dismissal news

24.11.2025 23:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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GitHub - marketmake2757/nc_election_analysis Contribute to marketmake2757/nc_election_analysis development by creating an account on GitHub.

github.com/marketmake27...

NC analysis.

Just need to add some references/sources

24.11.2025 20:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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You didnโ€™t make the list yet?

24.11.2025 13:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Found it in the 2024 CSV through this link. Thanks!

16.11.2025 17:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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www.sos.state.co.us/pubs/electio...

16.11.2025 17:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Ahh okay. Looks like the percent (in regards to not generating a full recount, if the results were incorrect) arenโ€™t disclosed for the RLA in PA as far as I can tell

16.11.2025 16:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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GitHub - marketmake2757/mn-turnout-trump-analysis Contribute to marketmake2757/mn-turnout-trump-analysis development by creating an account on GitHub.

github.com/marketmake27...

When you use their subset, and control for 2020 vote share, you actually see trumps vote share decreasing as turnout goes up

16.11.2025 16:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Yes, thatโ€™s why I said the processes are more rigorous now than at the time this was written

16.11.2025 16:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

When people ear โ€œxโ€ percent RLA. Do they think that means how many votes are recounted?

16.11.2025 16:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Just so no one misses the alt text

ttps://websites.umich.edu/~wmebane/recount2016.pdf

Hereโ€™s an excerpt from one of Mebanes papers from 2016. The auditing process is more rigorous now than it was then

16.11.2025 16:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
https://websites.umich.edu/~wmebane/recount2016.pdf

Hereโ€™s an excerpt from one of Mebanes papers from 2016. The auditing process is more rigorous now than it was then

https://websites.umich.edu/~wmebane/recount2016.pdf Hereโ€™s an excerpt from one of Mebanes papers from 2016. The auditing process is more rigorous now than it was then

16.11.2025 16:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Insane dude. If only we had 1000s of other elections we could look at to see if 3rd party candidates get a lot of votes!

14.11.2025 03:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Itโ€™s some other psychological issue in some cases

13.11.2025 21:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Who cares if he was a pedophile or not he committed disgusting crimes that victimized girls under 18.

Pedophile an annoying fucking buzzword that people are obsessed with. It means nothing legally. Some predators of prepubescent children wouldnโ€™t even be considered pedophiles,

13.11.2025 21:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Looks like the deadline was today instead of yesterday. I assume whatever happened, it will be updated overnight in the portal. At least I think thatโ€™s how it works

13.11.2025 03:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

bsky.app/profile/mark...

Is this generally the misapplication you are thinking of or is there more?

12.11.2025 03:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The Udot misapplication grinds my gears so much. Because itโ€™s just either so ignorant and dumb that they donโ€™t know what it is, or they do know and are trying to trick people

12.11.2025 03:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

bsky.app/profile/mark...

11.11.2025 23:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

added daily

11.11.2025 23:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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@grassrootsspeak.bsky.social I see youโ€™ve doubled down on this in your latest release. Can you explain why you think itโ€™s weird that these percentages remained consistent?

Basic arithmetic says they should remain consistent based on the total number of RV and the average number of RV

11.11.2025 23:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Sorry you feel that way, but I wasnโ€™t stating an opinion, rather a fact that has been common in public opinion polling.

11.11.2025 18:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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And what he says would happen precisely happens in the full report, although again the figures here are only illustrative (same footnote) and not exact, but directionally correct and not anything close to what ETA reported in their lawsuit for Allegegny

11.11.2025 17:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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