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Richard Hooper

@richardhooper.bsky.social

Professor of Medical Statistics @qmul.ac.uk. I study how to design evaluations of health technologies and health service interventions. Sometimes I just make patterns.

352 Followers  |  223 Following  |  98 Posts  |  Joined: 21.11.2024  |  2.0477

Latest posts by richardhooper.bsky.social on Bluesky

A useful reminder of the original meaning of a "stepped wedge".

05.08.2025 12:21 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The #UKCTUNetwork is committed to fostering a supportive, collaborative & transparent environment across CTUsβ€”driven by continuous improvement, knowledge-sharing, and mutual respect for experience and insight.

Learn more: ukcrc-ctu.org.uk/network-stra... #ClinicalTrials #UKCTUNetworkStrategy

05.08.2025 09:25 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I'm not sure that clickbait always gets me.

03.07.2025 07:44 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Good news is we all survived another trip to the vet for an annual check-up. Bad news is that this guy needs more dental work.

23.06.2025 10:46 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image One of our excellent trial managers Lana reflecting on what makes a successful trial

One of our excellent trial managers Lana reflecting on what makes a successful trial

Our lead of data management Arouna sharing the clinical trial life cycle

Our lead of data management Arouna sharing the clinical trial life cycle

Beautiful day for the @qmul-wiph.bsky.social showcase! It has been fabulous to hear all the work that is being carried out across our 6 Centres. But all of it underpinned by excellence in methods, as highlighted by some of our staff in @wiphcem.bsky.social

17.06.2025 14:33 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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It's quite nice out

14.06.2025 15:49 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Just overheard a young boy saying "the trouble is that all the really good athletes in our class are also taking part in the maths challenge". There's hope for the next generation.

14.06.2025 10:12 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I was actually trying to think last week "What's that conference that all the methodologists rave about?" Oh, yeah, this one.

13.06.2025 13:09 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Even just making a little hole in the fence, or leaving out some old logs, could help.

13.06.2025 09:45 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I'm seeing a lot less content on Bluesky about stepped wedge trials than on the blue bird website. Maybe no bad thing, but think of @steppedwedgehog.bsky.social who is poised to re-post any interesting content.

13.06.2025 09:45 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Stepped wedge devotees step up, and cluster enthusiasts get ready to cluster: it's conference time again.

13.06.2025 09:31 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Great to contribute to a session today on how our Institute can support applicants for Fellowships; not so great it was scheduled from 12-2 with no refreshments. The messaging "we support you, but lunch is for wimps" was a bit off... I did feed back to the organisers with a plea for more sustenance!

11.06.2025 17:42 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
A picture of the title and abstract of the research paper: All sizzle, no steak: AI tools are not able to act as credible knowledge brokers by
summarising evidence in mathematics education
Lucy Rycroft-Smith, Darren Macey
University of Cambridge
Current discourse around AI (artificial intelligence) tools suggest they can
offer users quick access to research evidence, with the goal of improving
our practice and policies in mathematics education. However, recent
evaluations suggest that AI often falls short of human capabilities in
accurately summarising complex information, raising questions about
trust, credibility, and reliability. In this paper, we investigate whether AI
tools are able to successfully perform the educational knowledge
brokering function of finding, selecting, and summarising research with
implications for practitioners. In particular, we ask if AI tools are able to
find research papers that actually exist (accuracy), are relevant to the
question (relevancy) and are able to interpret findings into useful,
actionable implications for practitioners (applicability). We find that
generally they are not, and even when they are, they do so in a way that is
so inconsistent as to be a serious threat to credibility.
Keywords: artificial intelligence; AI; knowledge brokering; large language
models; mathematics education

A picture of the title and abstract of the research paper: All sizzle, no steak: AI tools are not able to act as credible knowledge brokers by summarising evidence in mathematics education Lucy Rycroft-Smith, Darren Macey University of Cambridge Current discourse around AI (artificial intelligence) tools suggest they can offer users quick access to research evidence, with the goal of improving our practice and policies in mathematics education. However, recent evaluations suggest that AI often falls short of human capabilities in accurately summarising complex information, raising questions about trust, credibility, and reliability. In this paper, we investigate whether AI tools are able to successfully perform the educational knowledge brokering function of finding, selecting, and summarising research with implications for practitioners. In particular, we ask if AI tools are able to find research papers that actually exist (accuracy), are relevant to the question (relevancy) and are able to interpret findings into useful, actionable implications for practitioners (applicability). We find that generally they are not, and even when they are, they do so in a way that is so inconsistent as to be a serious threat to credibility. Keywords: artificial intelligence; AI; knowledge brokering; large language models; mathematics education

I am delighted to announce that my new paper with @darrenmacey.bsky.social is now published, entitled 'All sizzle, no steak: AI tools are not able to act as credible knowledge brokers by summarising evidence in mathematics education'

bsrlm.org.uk/wp-content/u...

09.06.2025 16:25 β€” πŸ‘ 174    πŸ” 61    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 11
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πŸ“’UK undergraduates thinking about careers in medical statistics, clinical trial management, or other areas of applied health research: here's a great opportunity to join a multidisciplinary team on a paid internship (London-based) this summer. Pass it on! qmul-jobs.tal.net/vx/mobile-0/...

06.06.2025 08:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Door not dear, duh

05.06.2025 12:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Such a beautiful time of year in suburban South London: I step outside my dear and hear a blackcap singing -- the nightingale of the north -- and even (with the wind in the right direction) the contact calls of a pair of nesting peregrine falcons. The small stuff helps me deal with the big stuff.

05.06.2025 12:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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A.I. Is Getting More Powerful, but Its Hallucinations Are Getting Worse

β€œOn one test, the hallucination rates of newer A.I. systems were as high as 79 percent.”

Well, that’s… useless.

www.nytimes.com/2025/05/05/t...

05.06.2025 07:08 β€” πŸ‘ 219    πŸ” 75    πŸ’¬ 19    πŸ“Œ 31
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Importance of sample size on the quality and utility of AI-based prediction models for healthcare Rigorous study design and analytical standards are required to generate reliable findings in healthcare from artificial intelligence (AI) research. On…

**New Lancet DH paper**

"Importance of sample size on the quality & utility of AI-based prediction models for healthcare"

- for broad audience
- explains why inadequate SS harms #AI model training, evaluation & performance
- pushback to claims SS irrelevant to AI research

πŸ‘‡
tinyurl.com/yrje52fn

02.06.2025 15:18 β€” πŸ‘ 34    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 2
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Study calls for more diverse representation in statistical methodology research Embedding equality, diversity, and inclusion (EDI) into statistical methodology research may improve outcomes and better serve the public, a new Le

A new Leicester study highlights the need for greater diversity in #StatisticalMethodology research, showing that embedding equality, diversity and inclusion may improve outcomes and better serve the public.

@ethnichealthres.bsky.social β€ͺ@proflauragray.bsky.social
arc-em.nihr.ac.uk/news/study-c...

29.05.2025 14:26 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Description Please note that job descriptions are not exhaustive, and you may be asked to take on additional duties that align with the key responsibilities ment...

πŸ”ˆJob alert! We are looking for an ambitious senior trial statistician to join an exciting new partnership between Imperial College London & Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, the Fleming Initiative, which aims to tackle antimicrobial resistance (AMR). www.imperial.ac.uk/jobs/search-...

27.05.2025 12:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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I'm going to leave the snails alone to enjoy the clematis too

25.05.2025 17:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Change from baseline and analysis of covariance revisited The case for preferring analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) to the simple analysis of change scores (SACS) has often been made. Nevertheless, claims continue to be made that analysis of covariance is bia...

Senn 2006? onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....

23.05.2025 14:21 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

If your organisation is accredited with Athena Swan, or would like to be (hopefully that's most UK universities) then a simple thing you can do to show commitment is not to schedule meetings outside core hours of 10 to 4. I'm surprised at how often I'm still asked to join meetings at other times.

23.05.2025 08:48 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Perhaps worth noting that for medical research with patients as research participants, we don't insist on, or at least encourage, things like protocols and statistical analysis plans for "philosophy of science reasons".

23.05.2025 07:11 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
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How to read a paper involving artificial intelligence (AI) This paper guides readers through the critical appraisal of a paper that includes the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in clinical settings for healthcare delivery. A brief introduction to the diff...

Putting together some teaching materials on AI in healthcare - what a useful paper this is bmjmedicine.bmj.com/content/4/1/...

22.05.2025 09:54 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Asking us to get rid of "personal" items from offices is all very well, but where am I going to put my giant Wordle?

22.05.2025 12:32 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Core GRADE 1: overview of the Core GRADE approach This first article in a seven part series presents an overview of the essential elements of the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) approach that has proved extre...

Researchers grappling to make sense of the body of GRADE guidance (35 papers and growing) may be next-level-bewildered or relieved (not sure which) by a new series of Core GRADE in BMJ, which re-starts at 1. I think useful, but also hoping they can stop at the promised 7. www.bmj.com/content/389/...

22.05.2025 08:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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George is bewildered as we repeatedly sing the words "Why's. My. Cat. So. Stinkeee-ee-ee-ee" to the tune of the UK Eurovision entry. Who knew we would sing so many songs to him?

16.05.2025 16:30 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Just helped this beautiful rose chafer beetle out of my house and let in a bluebottle. One in, one out, I guess.

14.05.2025 17:14 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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