Paul Teas

New preprint with my grad advisee, Zeenat Ahmed. When and why do Americans prioritize party wins over democracy? Not because they don’t know what democracy is. Maybe, sometimes bc they don’t notice that in-partisans are violating democratic principles. There are some caveats. osf.io/preprints/os....

Officially a doctor, or PhDONE (I think is what they say). So grateful to @lindaskitka.bsky.social and all the help I've received these past few years!

*Texas doctor & professor points out on tiktok that patients are not legally required to answer citizenship question in order to receive care
*Abbott threatens funding of hospital and university
*Video is removed

These overt threats by politicians to stifle speech becoming all too common.

Also confirmed that young participants is definitely a factor in antidemocratic endorsement in both datasets, but it doesn't nullify the effect of outparty warmth

Of course, when graphing only outparty warmth, we get the weird relationship where the more you like the other party, the more willing you are to violate their democratic rights

Thanks for posting this! Here are my graphs from a couple data sets configured like yours. I get a slight positive relationship in one and a negative relationship in another, but there is clearly that curvilinear pattern going on in both—though not quite the same as yours @derekholliday.com

We've removed inattentive respondents through several rounds, so we're pretty confident that it's not that. I've also found this in a few datasets with different methods of cleaning, etc.

It would be one thing if they were just anti-democratic actions in general, but the items ask about specific actions *against Republicans* so I can't see how liking Republicans more is associated with greater willingness to screw them over

Yes, it appears in a couple of my data sets that the negative relationship between affective polarization and support for anti-democratic actions occurs for Democrats, but not really for Republicans.

Thanks! Though I checked for that and political interest (extent to which one follows politics) didn't eliminate the effect

Has anyone else found this? Is there a theoretical explanation I’m missing? Would love to hear your thoughts or related findings!

This points to the need for better measures of affective polarization like political sectarianism—the moralized, toxic view of the other side. (come to my SPSP symposium about this!)

But still... why would colder feelings lead to less support for antidemocratic actions?

skewed, but negative relationship shown in a scatterplot between outparty coldness and antidemocratic tendencies

3️⃣ Could skew in the data explain it?

There’s definitely skew, but I find it hard to believe that it would fully account for the results.

inparty warmth minus outparty coldness is still significantly negatively related to antidemocratic tendencies

2️⃣ Maybe it's because I'm not using a combination of inparty warmth minus outparty cold…coldness(?)..coldth(??)

Tried that too and found the same negative relationship!

outparty coldness is still significant when accounting for political interest

Let’s look at some possible explanations (and rule them out):

1️⃣ Maybe people who are more polarized are also more politically conscious, which is related to more commitment to democratic norms?

Nah, I controlled for political interest and it does nothing.

I've seen this before in work by Campos & @cmfederico.bsky.social and @elijfinkel.bsky.social et al., especially when accounting for political sectarianism (othering + aversion + moralization). But I thought affective polarization was just unrelated, not negatively related!

For context: Affective polarization (how much people dislike the opposing party) is often blamed for democratic backsliding. But in my data, it’s negatively related to support for antidemocratic actions. Isn’t that the opposite of what we’d expect?

correlation between antidemocratic tendencies and outparty coldness is -.20**

POLITICAL SCIENCE MYSTERY:
Why do partisans who feel colder toward the opposing political party seem LESS supportive of antidemocratic actions against them (e.g., closing polling stations)? Intuitively, dislike = more norm violations. What’s going on?🧵

This graph is showing % who said “mostly support.” Other response options were “mostly oppose” and “not sure.” Independents were more often “not sure” than other groups. They may have been more opposed than supportive of some but I don’t think that was often the case

Views of 40 social movements reveal groups supported most by Americans | YouGov Both the Civil Rights and Women’s Suffrage Movements are not only mostly supported but also viewed as mostly successful by the majority of Americans.

Take a look at my article for more: today.yougov.com/politics/art...
(11/11)

Overall, the degree of support for different movements seems to be a pretty good reflection for who Americans perceive to be worth protecting, which has come to differ substantially by which political party you affiliate with. (10/11)

And vice versa, some movements were more successful than supported. Interestingly, 56% of Americans think the Gay Rights movement has been successful, but only 48% support it. The MAGA movement is also seen as more successful than supported, though not by much. (9/11)

I also looked at movements that are widely supported but not seen as successful. The Native American Rights and Gun Control movements are the big ones here — more supported than successful by more than 30 points. (8/11)

I was kind of shocked by the party-over-identity finding, but it makes sense. It seems to be the case for more recent movements, likely because they have been more heavily politicized, and party identity has become an overarching, moral identity. (7/11)

I found the same thing with BLM support. Democrats—even White Democrats—were more supportive of BLM than Black people as a group were. Not the case for the Black Power or Slavery Abolition movements though. (6/11)

Some of this is probably due to education and the fact that women were more likely than men to say “not sure”, but even accounting for these didn’t take out all the differences. (5/11)

No, Democratic *men* are more supportive of all the women’s rights movements than women, as a group are — even women’s suffrage. (4/11)

For instance, Democrats are more supportive of every women’s rights movement we asked about than women as a group are. Maybe that’s because more women are Democrats? (3/11)

As usual, the data scream partisanship, but so much so that party affiliation often predicts support for social movements better than actually belonging to the identity group the movement advocates for. (2/11)

Found some weird/interesting things about how Americans view 40 social movements in a survey I conducted recently with YouGov (1/11)