Umberto Profazio

Nuova intervista sulla #Libia per Nessun Luogo è Lontano su Radio24.

podcasts.apple.com/it/podcast/n...

Libye: le camp Haftar envoie des troupes à la frontière avec le Soudan, alors que l’Égypte demande la fin du soutien aux FSR Le général libyen Saddam Haftar, vice-président du commandement général de l'Armée nationale libyenne (ANL) qui contrôle l'est et le sud libyen, a ordonné à ses forces de se déplacer vers le triangle…

'Le camp Haftar subit actuellement une pression sans précédent à propos de ses livraisons d'armes aux FSR : si son allié émirien veut le pousser à continuer ces livraisons, ses autres alliés historiques cherchent à lui faire cesser.'
@rfi.fr #Libye

www.rfi.fr/fr/afrique/2...

Russia withdrawing troops from airport in northeast Syria, sources say Russia is withdrawing forces from an airport in northeastern Syria, moving to end its military presence in a corner of the country where the Damascus government is trying to seize control from Kurdish...

'Russia has stationed forces at Qamishli airport in the northeast since 2019, a relatively small deployment compared to its air base and a naval facility on Syria's Mediterranean coast, both of which it is expected to maintain.'

#Russia #Syria @reuters.com

www.reuters.com/world/russia...

La Somalie signe un accord de défense avec le Qatar La Somalie a signé, lundi 19 janvier 2026, un accord de défense avec le Qatar, une semaine après avoir suspendu toute coopération avec les Émirats Arabes Unis. L'accord prévoit de renforcer les liens…

'Cet accord de défense s’inscrit dans un conflit d’influences plus large au Moyen-Orient, entre le Qatar, l’Arabie saoudite et les Émirats arabes unis, qui se reflète déjà dans les guerres au Soudan et au Yémen.' @rfi.fr

www.rfi.fr/fr/afrique/2...

U.S. Starts Moving ISIS Detainees From Syria to Iraq

'For many Kurdish leaders, the announcement confirmed long-held fears that the United States had traded its partnership with them for one with the central government.' @nytimes.com #Syria

www.nytimes.com/2026/01/21/w...

Au Maroc, la CAN acte une “transition” entre Mohammed VI et le futur Hassan III Alors que la Coupe d’Afrique des nations de football constitue un succès indéniable pour la diplomatie du roi Mohammed VI, c’est pourtant son fils, le futur Has...

'Dans un pays où 40 % de la population a moins de 25 ans et alors que son père n’a pas été vu en public dans son pays depuis le 31 octobre, la CAN apparaît comme le sacre informel du futur Hassan III.'

@courrierinter.bsky.social #Maroc

www.courrierinternational.com/article/mona...

Is the Iran Crisis Over? Trump said the killing has stopped, but a lot is up in the air.

'By maintaining such a large military presence in the Caribbean, even after the Maduro operation, Trump had fewer options to respond to the violence in Iran and also had to consider the fact that Tehran was likely to make good on its threat to retaliate against any U.S. actions.' @foreignpolicy.com

Iran’s opposition is battling to oust regime but hobbled by divisions Amid a lethal crackdown against anti-government protests, Iran’s opposition and its most prominent leader, Reza Pahlavi, face differences within their own ranks.

“I would never have supported this guy in the past,” said a woman in western Tehran [...] But we have no other option. There is no way back, only forward. If we don’t rally around him and unite, we will be buried here.” @washingtonpost.com #Iran

www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/0...

Iran under pressure After the bombardments during the Twelve-Day War in June 2025, carried out by Israel and the USA against Iran, the Islamic Republic has been rocked by - Scopri i progetti, le ricerche e le iniziative ...

D'altronde, il ripristino della dinastia dei Pahlavi, è un'opzione sulla quale sia Tel Aviv che Washington stanno già lavorando da diverso tempo. Sarà davvero questa la terza via per Tehran?

Per approfondire, leggi il mio ultimo #Gulf Strategic Trend. /3 🔗

Senza interlocutori interni disponibili al dialogo come Delcy Rodriguez (fondamentale nella transizione a Caracas), l'alternativa ad un salto nel vuoto è il ritorno allo status quo ante. La restaurazione della monarchia rappresenterebbe una possibile soluzione nonostante la sua eredità complessa. /2

Il cambio al vertice in #Venezuela ha confermato il modus operandi di #Trump: operazioni mirate, ad alto impatto politico ma low-cost. Il cambiamento deve venire da dentro, magari con una spinta sufficiente a far crollare il castello di carte. L' #Iran però non offre questo genere di scorciatoie.🧵/1

Un anno senza Oliviero Toscani | Sky Arte Segui su Sky Arte Un anno senza Oliviero Toscani

Per chi ha vissuto negli anni '80, la figura di Oliviero Toscani rimane sicuramente emblematica e fortemente provocatoria, parte integrante della cultura dell'epoca. Ora un documentario in onda su Sky Arte ne ripercorre la carriera ad un anno dalla sua scomparsa.

arte.sky.it/news/2026/ol...

Stay informed on the MENA region with Strategic South, the bi-monthly newsletter from the NATO Defense College Foundation.

📊 Latest publications 📈 Regional developments 🎨 Expert infographics

Subscribe today: www.natofoundation.org/strategic-so...

Column | Could Iran go the way of Venezuela? The apparent endgame in Caracas, which has seen Trump sideline Venezuela’s pro-democratic opposition, may be a cautionary tale for Iran’s protesters.

'Still, the apparent endgame in Caracas, which has seen Trump working with the remnants of Maduro’s regime and sidelining Venezuela’s prodemocratic opposition, may be a cautionary tale for Iran’s protesters.' @ishaantharoor.bsky.social @washingtonpost.com #Iran #Trump #Venezuela

Iran under pressure After the bombardments during the Twelve-Day War in June 2025, carried out by Israel and the USA against Iran, the Islamic Republic has been rocked by - Scopri i progetti, le ricerche e le iniziative ...

Are the protests in #Iran the final straw that breaks the camel's back? 👀

Both #Israel and the #US would have much to gain from a regime change, while the restoration of the Pahlavi dynasty remains on the cards.

More in my latest #Gulf Strategic Trend.

'In a post-Western world, an essentially Western social science discipline was rapidly losing depth.'

An illuminating piece on the crisis of conflict studies, a discipline that is running the risk of revealing itself as an 'imperial science' that has only served the interests of the West.

The weaponisation of migrants Exacerbated by ongoing conflicts in Africa and persistent instability in the Middle East, migration is likely to remain a dominant theme for EU - Scopri i progetti, le ricerche e le iniziative della N...

Una guerra ibrida alle porte dell'Europa? ⚠️

L'aumento dei flussi migratori verso la #Grecia riaccende il dibattito sull'uso dei migranti come arma di pressione. La competizione tra milizie all'interno della #Libia suggerisce però una certa cautela.

Approfondisci nel mio nuovo Strategic Trend.

Filo diretto con Washington - Nigrizia Come prevedibile, il ritorno di Donald Trump alla Casa Bianca ha portato benefici immediati al Marocco, in virtù dei legami speciali che il regno di Mohammed VI intrattiene con Washington. Già rafforz...

Quali saranno le tendenze in #NordAfrica nel 2026? 🌍

Dal Sahara Occidentale al Sudan, la regione resta terreno di scontro tra USA e Russia. Tensioni diplomatiche e proteste rappresenteranno nuovi banchi di prova.

Leggi la mia analisi per Nigrizia 👇

#Algeria #Egitto #Libia #Marocco #Tunisia

The weaponisation of migrants Exacerbated by ongoing conflicts in Africa and persistent instability in the Middle East, migration is likely to remain a dominant theme for EU - Scopri i progetti, le ricerche e le iniziative della N...

In spite of externalisation, migration remains a top public concern. Its weaponisation by rogue actors has the potential to further destabilise the European Union and its member states. Read more in my latest #Maghreb Strategic Trend.

#Libya #Russia #EU

www.natofoundation.org/maghreb/the-...

Trump’s War | David Cole “It was a brilliant operation, actually.” So claimed Donald Trump early this morning in a phone call with The New York Times about the US military’s

'That is not law enforcement; it is imperialism, pure and simple.'

#Venezuela #Trump
@nybooks.com

www.nybooks.com/online/2026/...

Trump, le Golfe, la Russie : la bataille secrète pour le contrôle de La Repubblica et La Stampa Le possible rachat de La Repubblica et La Stampa par un milliardaire grec proche de Donald Trump, lié au Qatar et à l’Arabie saoudite, suscite une vive inquiétude en Italie. D’autant plus que Moscou…

#QuartoPotere

Trump, le Golfe, la Russie : la bataille secrète pour le contrôle de La Repubblica et La Stampa f24.my/Bcp2.BS

@france24.com

The diplomatic battle for the Western Sahara The decades-old dispute over the non-self-governing territory of Western Sahara marked a turning point on 31 October 2025, when the UN Security Council - Scopri i progetti, le ricerche e le iniziative...

Per approfondire, leggi il mio ultimo #Maghreb Strategic Trend per la #NATO Defense College Foundation disponibile qui:

www.natofoundation.org/maghreb/the-...

The diplomatic battle for the Western Sahara The decades-old dispute over the non-self-governing territory of Western Sahara marked a turning point on 31 October 2025, when the UN Security Council - Scopri i progetti, le ricerche e le iniziative...

Tuttavia, potrebbe essere ancora troppo presto per festeggiare. La mancata risposta dell' #Algeria all'offerta di dialogo di Re Mohammed VI e la ripresa degli attacchi da parte del Fronte #Polisario suggeriscono che ci sia ancora molto lavoro da fare per porre fine a questo conflitto decennale. /3

La Risoluzione 2797 (2025) del Consiglio di Sicurezza delle Nazioni Unite esplicita per la prima volta il piano di autonomia del 2007 come base per risolvere la disputa territoriale. La sua adozione è stata accolta in #Marocco come una vittoria diplomatica decisiva. /2

The diplomatic battle for the Western Sahara The decades-old dispute over the non-self-governing territory of Western Sahara marked a turning point on 31 October 2025, when the UN Security Council - Scopri i progetti, le ricerche e le iniziative...

🇲🇦 Verso una risoluzione del conflitto nel #SaharaOccidentale? /1

Column | Welcome to the ‘new world disorder’ We’re approaching a “more anarchic form of globalization without rules,” said David Miliband, the former British politician turned global humanitarian.

#Gaza, #Sudan, #Ethiopia, #Myanmar, #DRC... What are the main features of the 'New World Disorder'?

David Miliband discusses the findings of the 2026 Emergency Watchlist published by @rescue.org and why humanitarian support is collapsing just as crises surge.

www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...

Why ‘The West’? | Yuri Slezkine The idea of the West survived a once-shared civilization as a code for its fractious heirs. A new book suggests its enduring constants have been a fear of Russia and of internal decay.

'The West makes no sense without an antagonist in the East, and there is no better (worse) enemy than a false friend.'

Amazing and though-provoking piece on the idea of the #West by Yuri Slezkine, reviewing the new book by Georgios Varouxakis on @nybooks.com.

www.nybooks.com/articles/202...

The diplomatic battle for the Western Sahara The decades-old dispute over the non-self-governing territory of Western Sahara marked a turning point on 31 October 2025, when the UN Security Council - Scopri i progetti, le ricerche e le iniziative...

Read more in my latest #Maghreb Strategic Trend for the NATO Defense College Foundation. /4

www.natofoundation.org/maghreb/the-...

The diplomatic battle for the Western Sahara The decades-old dispute over the non-self-governing territory of Western Sahara marked a turning point on 31 October 2025, when the UN Security Council - Scopri i progetti, le ricerche e le iniziative...

#Algeria's unresponsiveness to King Mohammed VI's olive branch and more importantly the resumption of attacks by the #Polisario Front along the berm, suggest that much more work needs to be done to reconcile regional rivals and end the protracted conflict. /3

www.natofoundation.org/maghreb/the-...

The diplomatic battle for the Western Sahara The decades-old dispute over the non-self-governing territory of Western Sahara marked a turning point on 31 October 2025, when the UN Security Council - Scopri i progetti, le ricerche e le iniziative...

While the UNSC Resolution 2797 (2025) was hailed as a diplomatic victory in #Morocco for making an explicit reference to the 2007 autonomy plan for the Western Sahara as a basis to resolve the decades-long territorial dispute, it may be too early to celebrate. /2