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Magic hat

@magic-hat.bsky.social

Arsenal & football fan. Providing accessible commentary on football financial matters. Enjoy good faith debate. Twitter: @themagic_tophat Substack: substack.com/@themagictophat

3,441 Followers  |  285 Following  |  614 Posts  |  Joined: 13.11.2024  |  1.8697

Latest posts by magic-hat.bsky.social on Bluesky

If Arsenal actually want Rodrygo and he has no fitness/health issues that could put the investment at risk, I am very confident that they would go to ยฃ300kpw.

The clubโ€™s attitude to paying Kai demonstrates that.

23.05.2025 22:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Different players have different structures. They donโ€™t all have the same base and then same bonuses on top.

Saka was on ยฃ70kpw and his agent was pushing for x4 his wage. Those are hard deals to do.

They compromised on a 4-yr rather than 5-yr deal with heavy incentives.

Many have minimal bonuses

23.05.2025 22:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

He is. With bonuses, he is closer to ยฃ300kpw right now.

23.05.2025 22:18 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Agents literally show up knowing what their clients could be paid in the market with detailed, structured proposals. And clubs do the same.

23.05.2025 22:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Clubs donโ€™t tend to factor that in anymore. Ego driven negotiations havenโ€™t been a thing for a while. Itโ€™s all done on market benchmarking or sometimes strategic valuation (as KdB did).

Itโ€™s why after their renewals, itโ€™s likely that Ethan and Myles will be on higher wages than Timber or Calafiori.

23.05.2025 22:08 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Two main reasons are:

1) Difference in club levels being moved (West Ham to Arsenal vs Chelsea to Arsenal compared with Madrid to Arsenal)

2) Difference in salary % bump (Declan was on under ยฃ80kpw pre move and almost never does anyone more than triple their salary with a move)

23.05.2025 22:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Kai is the better baseline.

23.05.2025 21:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I am.

ยฃ275kpw would have been my expectation on his contract. ยฃ300kpw is very bridgeable with structure.

This is starting to feel like a ploy actually aimed at Nicoโ€™s camp - encouraging them to back down on their (absurd) wage demands.

23.05.2025 21:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I still donโ€™t know what your point is

23.05.2025 20:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

?

23.05.2025 08:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Arsenal have conceded fewer goals from open play than any other team this season in the Premier League.

15 Arsenal
23 Liverpool
25 Bournemouth
27 Chelsea
29 Man Utd

#ARSCRY

21.04.2025 07:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 73    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

2025 feels like a good year to win the UCL.

27.11.2024 21:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 15    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

I did

18.12.2024 21:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐Ÿ“Œ

02.12.2024 19:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
โšฝ๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—–๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ-๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ป ๐—ฏ๐˜† ๐—จ๐—”๐—˜ Thereโ€™s a story today that an amendment has been proposed to the Football Regulator bill (currently going through the House of Lords) which would ban state-ownership of football clubs.

โšฝ๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—–๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ-๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ป ๐—ฏ๐˜† ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—จ๐—”๐—˜

Story can be found for free in my substack, here:

open.substack.com/pub/themagic...

29.11.2024 15:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 29    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The Christian way of throwing shade?

28.11.2024 14:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 11    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I soothed my pain with copious amounts of red wine and le roast boeuf the day after.

27.11.2024 22:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

2025 feels like a good year to win the UCL.

27.11.2024 21:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 15    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Just noticed youโ€™re barely using it! No wonder I have been missing my digest of Arsenal facts.

27.11.2024 21:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Brave enough to put that on twitter too? ๐Ÿ˜‚

27.11.2024 21:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
โšฝ๏ธโš–๏ธ ๐—ฃ๐—Ÿ ๐˜ƒ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—–๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฌ ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜€ - ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ด๐˜‚๐—ถ๐—น๐˜ ๐Ÿ“Š People asked for an explainer on this document, so here it is!

โšฝ๏ธโš–๏ธ ๐—ฃ๐—Ÿ ๐˜ƒ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—–๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฌ ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜€ - ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ด๐˜‚๐—ถ๐—น๐˜ ๐Ÿ“Š

An explainer of some of the evidence against Man City.

open.substack.com/pub/themagic...

27.11.2024 17:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 35    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Wellโ€ฆ you may have blinked and missed it but Arsenal fans certainly did not.

It felt like a lifetime.

27.11.2024 10:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 62    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Anyone else excited for a couple of seasons of Arsenal v Liverpool for the title?

After 35 years, I am!

27.11.2024 09:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 40    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Odegaard

Odegaard

Haha.

26.11.2024 23:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 249    ๐Ÿ” 23    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 13    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

Yes.

Odegaard for creativity through the middle and RHS.

Timber for creativity on RHS linking with Saka and Odegaard given White has had a bad knee.

Calafiori to resolve the dysfunction on LHS and bring creativity there.

Why do you think Arteta keeps buying fullbacks?

26.11.2024 23:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Thanks.
Doubt theyโ€™ve been told anything.
Suspect it is playing on their mind regardless.

26.11.2024 22:42 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The below was mostly without ร˜, Timber at RB, Calafiori at LB.

The 3 keys to our creativity.

All 3 come back in and Arsenal go wallop the most in-form team in Europe 5-1 away from home.

Itโ€™s good Liverpool got a big headstart. It will make the league more interesting.

Credit @markstats.club

26.11.2024 22:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 28    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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26.11.2024 21:42 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

A significant portion, yes.
And they will be. Evidence too overwhelming for the majority of the charges not to be sustained.

25.11.2024 22:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Welcome. And you are correct. They cannot appeal to CAS.

They could appeal to another PL Indep Appeal Commission and almost certainly will.

After that, there is very little grounds for an appeal. Would most likely only work with a Judicial Review which is rare and unlikely.

25.11.2024 22:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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