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Positive Residual

@positiveresidual.com.bsky.social

Sports analytics and strategy. Creating tools for winning teams in basketball, baseball, and soccer. Previous contributions: Nylon Calculus, Cleaning the Glass, and The Ringer. http://positiveresidual.com

4,085 Followers  |  135 Following  |  190 Posts  |  Joined: 19.09.2023  |  2.1156

Latest posts by positiveresidual.com on Bluesky

The Dodgers are 6-13 against the NL Central β€” by far, the worst record by a division leader against a specific division. The only other teams with losing records are:

Detroit: 9-12 vs AL Central
Philadelphia: 11-13 vs NL Central

20.07.2025 23:48 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I am anticipating the tears the next time you go on the Yahoo podcast. πŸ˜€

02.07.2025 23:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The quality of this tweet just about matches the Lakers’ offseason. πŸ˜‚

02.07.2025 22:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The Lakers will quickly become winners the moment they sign Ayton and reduce you to tears. πŸ˜‚

01.07.2025 00:43 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Outstanding stretch for TJ McConnell in the midpoint of the 3rd quarter β€” three difficult drives and shots in the paint. #NBASky

23.06.2025 01:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Indiana is up by 1 at the half due to this 3 by Andrew Nembhard. Ghost screen, then a 45, then Nembhard creates for the pull-up. #NBASky

23.06.2025 01:16 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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TJ McConnell keeps the dribble alive, crosses over to attack along the baseline, and finishes with the reverse layup. Gorgeous. #NBASky

23.06.2025 01:01 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

OKC is up by 2 at 7:14 in the 2nd quarter. The Thunder have the turnover edge, 1 vs 6, while the Pacers are within distance due to 3s: 6/11 vs 2/9. #NBASky

23.06.2025 00:54 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Wonderful creation by Bennedict Mathurin off the ghost screen. He sees spaces off the catch, attacks, and finishes the possession with a putback. #NBASky

23.06.2025 00:42 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Tyrese Haliburton starts the game hitting 3/4 from deep. Great defensive possession here from OKC, but the Pacers remain patient and find him for the 3 late in the shot clock. #NBASky

23.06.2025 00:21 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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2025 NBA Finals, Game 7 Thread: Andrew Nembhard makes his presence felt early in the first quarter. He puts up the first two points of the game on a pull-up at the elbow, then has a great defensive possession against SGA here. #NBASky

23.06.2025 00:19 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

LeBron’s next contract: $400 million, with $380 million deferred through 2050.

18.06.2025 21:05 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Between both teams, the lineup with the worst point differential was the Pacers' starting unit, which lost its 12 minutes on the floor by 9. Indiana saw its best results in the minutes played by Obi Toppin, Bennedict Mathurin, and TJ McConnell. #NBASky

12.06.2025 03:38 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Thunder shot 46% from 3-point range tonight -- their highest 3P% in a loss this season. #NBASky www.statmuse.com/nba/ask?q=hi...

12.06.2025 03:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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As with Game 1, the Pacers hit the 60% mark in true shooting. They shot more efficiently overall than OKC, despite having lower FG% at the rim and behind the arc. They also had more shot attempts. #NBASky

12.06.2025 03:27 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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In just 22.4 minutes, Bennedict Mathurin led all scorers with his career playoff-high 27 points on 15 true shot attempts and 32% usage. The Pacers outscored OKC by 15 during his time on the floor. #NBASky

12.06.2025 03:21 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Incredible defensive play in the clutch by Myles Turner. Amazing. #NBASky

12.06.2025 03:10 β€” πŸ‘ 22    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Turner - Nembhard - Toppin - Haliburton - Nesmith lineup outscored OKC by 14 in its 6.9 minutes on the floor. It propelled the pivotal Indiana run in the middle part of the 4th quarter. #NBASky

06.06.2025 03:54 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is the gamble that OKC takes. If they don’t turn you over, you’ll get looks. Indy had only 4 TOs in the second half.

06.06.2025 03:27 β€” πŸ‘ 40    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Pacers took 20% of their shots from the corners and hit 10 of 16 in that zone. #NBASky

06.06.2025 03:26 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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The Thunder had an enormous turnover advantage (24 vs 6), which translated into 17 more true shot attempts than Indiana had. But the Pacers had the edge in offensive rebounding and, importantly, in shot efficiency. Their true shooting hit 60%, driven by a 46% field goal percentage from deep. #NBASky

06.06.2025 03:23 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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The last 22.8 seconds of NBA Finals Game 1 β€” did we expect anything else? Shai misses the midrange fadeaway, Indiana bypasses the timeout, and Tyrese Haliburton knocks down the clutch jumper, just as he has done throughout the playoffs. Incredible. #NBASky

06.06.2025 03:13 β€” πŸ‘ 20    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 2
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Multiple views of Max Muncy’s 9th inning, game-tying home run, including the home-plate perspective. He got all of it.

04.06.2025 05:12 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
inpredictable at the intersection of sports, data, and visualization (formerly betting market analytics)

@inpredict.bsky.social has excellent WNBA data, including win probability charts. www.inpredictable.com?m=1

03.06.2025 00:32 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Pascal Siakam, the Eastern Conference Finals MVP, finished the series with 31 points on 23 true shot attempts and 30% usage. He also had 5 rebounds, 3 assists, 3 blocks, and 1 steal. #NBASky

01.06.2025 02:52 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Incredible shooting from the Pacers to clinch their Finals berth: 67% true shooting (their highest in the series) while making over half of their 3s. Two-thirds of their baskets were assisted including 14 of 17 from deep. #NBASky

01.06.2025 02:44 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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Absolute destruction:

29.05.2025 01:49 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Timberwolves-Thunder Game 5: Minnesota fails to break double digits in the first quarter. They had just 9 points on 24 possessions. #NBASky

29.05.2025 01:13 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Tyrese Haliburton's exceptional Game 4: 32 points on 26 attempts and 29% usage, including 5/12 from deep. All of his 15 assists led to shots in the paint or 3s. He also had 12 boards, 4 steals, and 0 turnovers.

Haliburton lived up to his top-5 offensive mark (dunksandthrees.com/epm/actual). #NBASky

28.05.2025 16:19 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Knicks-Pacers Game 4: At the half, Indiana has the edge in shooting efficiency and turnovers, while New York has the edge in offensive rebounding and free throws.

The Pacers' offensive pace is under 12 seconds per possession; the Knicks are close to 15.

AST-to-TOV: IND at 3.4, NYK at 1. #NBASky

28.05.2025 01:16 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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