Sam D. Schmid

On the “defeat” of the far right in the Netherlands 🇳🇱

The total number of far-right seats in the Tweede Kamer:

2021: 28
2023: 41
2025: 42 👈

And I don’t even count BBB here, which has radicalized significantly in the last year.

Left parties’ strategies and working-class vote in contemporary Western Europe (2002–2020) What should the left do strategically to retain workers' vote? This paper provides extensive empirical evidence on the relationship between left parti…

A new paper from @fedetrastulli.bsky.social published in @electoralstudies.bsky.social comes to an important conclusion: "[...] workers’ electoral support for left parties is higher when they put greater emphasis on cultural issues [...]"

See here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

❗️Please share widely:

TT position in migration/citizenship/identity at IPW @univie.ac.at: jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Tenure-T...

Deadline: 10 Dec 2025

Recent Eur elections where the main split has been cosmopolitans vs. nationalists (not econ L-R):
FR2017 & 22 Pres: Macron v LePen
AT2022 Pres: Van der Bellen v Rosenkranz
SK2023: Smer v PS
RO2025 Pres: Dan v Simion
PL2025 Pres: Trzaskowski v Nawrocki
NL2025: D66 v PVV

=> convergence of WE & EE?

Affective polarization (negative/positive feelings towards voters of different parties), for prospective voters of D66 and CDA, as of june 2025. Dots show the averages per groups of party voters.

DD6 voters were much more negative towards JA21 than CDA voters were negative towards GL-PvdA voters.

Congrats @margheritacusmano.bsky.social!! 👏

Überraschend, dass das ZDF-Politbarometer diese Umfrage so verzerrt darstellt: Statt nach der Originalaussage von Merz zu fragen, die tagelang diskutiert wurde, wird in der Umfrage seine späte Rechtfertigung ergänzt. In der Grafik wird das aber gar nicht erwähnt. So geht Framing.

Das ZDF liefert hier ein klassisches Beispiel für eine unredliche Neutralitätsperformance: Denn das ist nicht das, was die Befragten gefragt wurden, sondern das, was die Befragenden in die Äußerung Merz hineingeheimnist hatten. 1/

The EUI (@eui-sps.bsky.social) is looking for candidates to fill the Swiss Chair in Federalism and Democracy
👇👇👇

Now out in Party Politics 🎉

Our study (@jbpilet.bsky.social)suggests that when a mainstream right-wing party signals willingness to rule with the radical right, support for the radical right rises — while the mainstream gains nothing.
👉 A legitimisation effect.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

Laberintellektuelle sind für mich Völkermord...

Why do rustbelts vote radical right? Studying the German Ruhr area, @nilsblossey.bsky.social, @lstoetze.bsky.social and I show: it’s not just about deindustrialization, but also about the original industrialization. Where coal is buried deeper and mining started later, the AfD is stronger today 1/12

Findings?

1️⃣ Preprint on voting/candidacy rights discrepancy: doi.org/10.33774/aps...

2️⃣ Preprint offering a dyadic perspective on migrant electoral rights: doi.org/10.33774/aps...

3️⃣ Article on special representation: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

4️⃣ Data descriptor forthcoming.

Migrant Electoral Rights Dataset (1960-2020)

📊 Link to dataset: hdl.handle.net/1814/93661

📕 Link to codebook: cadmus.eui.eu/server/api/c...

💼 Link to 400 page documentation: cadmus.eui.eu/server/api/c...

I’m handing out pro-democracy grades to the media The Guardian gets an A, the NY Times gets a C, CBS gets an F

Good assessment of the various U.S. media by @markjacob.bsky.social confirming that the best traditional media source on U.S. politics is @us.theguardian.com

Great study on the urban-rural divide in Sweden. Clear attitude- and identity-based polarization, but no systematic bias towards out-group political candidates.

ReplicationResearch.org is now open for submissions!

Submit replications and reproductions from many different fields, as well as conceptual contributions. With diamond OA, open and citable peer review reports, and reproducibility checks, we push the boundaries of open and fair publishing.

🚨New article out 🚨 How do states seek to influence the spatial distribution of refugees within their borders? We conceptualise & measure refugee dispersal policies across Europe ➡️ common feature of asylum policies, more restrictive with functional pressure and local autonomy doi.org/10.1111/gove...

Office Hours Sign-Up Sheet SIGN-UP SHEET FOR “INTERNATIONAL OFFICE HOURS” WITH CAS MUDDE IN FALL 2025, I WILL AGAIN HOLD “INTERNATIONAL OFFICE HOURS” FOR COLLEAGUES/STUDENTS/OTHERS WHO WANT TO TALK TO ME ABOUT THEIR RESEARC...

International Office Hours were fully booked, although one person struggled with time conversion (please note!).

I will hold International Office Hours again next week, October 15. You can sign up here.

Let's hope the diversity goes up a bit, particularly in terms of "race" and region. 🤞

A series of one-year postdocs?

We are thrilled to announce that @steffenmau.bsky.social, one of Germany’s leading sociologists, has been appointed Director at our Institute. He will lead a new Department on Inequality, Transformation & Conflict, addressing pressing societal challenges via cutting-edge social science research.

Is the Urban-Rural Divide Affectively Polarised? Comparative Evidence from Nine European Countries - Sven Hegewald, Dominik Schraff, 2025 Recent studies in the United States and Europe have documented a growing divergence in voting behaviour and political attitudes between cities and the countrysi...

Just out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social 🚨
Together with @dschraff.bsky.social, I ask: Is the urban–rural divide in Europe affectively polarised?
👉 journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
1/7 🧵

Congrats! This is great news for the future of @mpimmg.bsky.social!!

How Democracies Fall Apart - Dissent Magazine An interview with Adam Przeworski.

Every time I read @adamprz.bsky.social reflecting on his life and work, I am in awe. Though I have never met him, and we move(d) in different circles, his reflections speak deeply to me.

One of the last intellectual giants in the field representing an increasingly different discipline.

🚨A a fantastic new resource for migration and democracy scholars! Congrats to @globalcit.bsky.social @sumpierrez.bsky.social @wegschaider.bsky.social for this massive effort!

cc @migcitizenapsa.bsky.social @migcitpol.bsky.social @mpc-eui.bsky.social @ecpr-migration.bsky.social @mpimmg.bsky.social

Good 🧵 by @jdzankic.bsky.social on the problematic 'gold card' in the US.

Democracy worldwide faces its ninth year of net decline: IDEA report International IDEA’s 2025 report finds 2024 extended the global democratic downturn, with 54% of 173 countries deteriorating and 32% improving, as representation hit a 2001 low and press freedom fell.

According to @internationalidea.bsky.social's recent Global State of Democracy report, 2024 marked the ninth consecutive year of net democratic decline: 54% of countries experienced declines whereas 32% recorded improvements.

Here is our summary:
www.democracywithoutborders.org/37744/

Depolarization is not "a scalable solution for reducing societal-level conflict.... achieving lasting depolarization will likely require....moving beyond individual-level treatments to address the elite behaviors and structural incentives that fuel partisan conflict" www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

A brick wall with a large, irregular hole patched with mismatched bricks and wooden supports. Text overlay reads "My article trying to fill the gap in the literature."

Looks legit

This move might negatively impact research and innovation in the U.S.: H1b was a common visa for excellent postdoc scientists to move to the U.S.

www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-h...