Time series modelling is consistently asking yourself "where have I fucked up" when the predictions are good
03.11.2025 04:54 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0@orcasha.bsky.social
π³οΈβππ€ Enby. Queer. A bit of a nerd. Inconsistent themes. Partial stream of consciousness. Occasionally coherent.
Time series modelling is consistently asking yourself "where have I fucked up" when the predictions are good
03.11.2025 04:54 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Achievement unlocked - Hanging garden hose installed.
Second achievement unlocked - Resisting the urge to say "Look at all my hose"
I remembered my login! π
28.10.2025 01:03 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I got them from Military1st (ick name but good range?). Brandit Tactical Boots
I have wanted boots with quick laces and no zip π
A new pair of combat boots that don't have a footpad made of concrete? Bliss. My calves, hips and lower back are so relaxed right now π«
03.09.2025 01:50 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Tale old as time π
03.09.2025 01:48 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Am I hungover or coming down with something? Por che no los dos? π
01.09.2025 23:04 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0What's happened to me? Home by 11 on a Saturday. Currently eating string beans while waiting for dumplings, broccoli and peas to steam.
Actually, NM. I'm content here
The inertia to get ready for work is overwhelming
20.08.2025 22:22 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I'm going to sleep with my blinds open. Will I be woken up by sunshine or my own internal demons screaming at 3am so I'm not able to sleep until sunrise? Who knows? π
08.08.2025 13:04 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Unrelated, I don't understand how folks without a nesting partner sleep in the middle of the bed. I've always had a side
Oh look, I finally chose a line with something (queer enby agnostic joke there)
Why does future / past Tupal look like Yoda
#20YearsTooLate
I never imagined a large part of my current life would consist of looking up second hand rugs on the internet
28.07.2025 12:00 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0TIL a vacuum power head doesn't work on polished concrete and now I need to resort to a broom like a peasant
Also "Vacuum power head doesn't work on polished concrete" is IMO an awesome name for an Avant Garde funk jazz meets grindcore band who specialise in songs about Sanrio characters
Far too much tape but no string π
25.07.2025 11:14 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Asking a shower head to tell me its secrets was not on my bingo card for today...
17.07.2025 00:23 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0"Where did my tea escape to" is not an utterance I ever expected to say
15.07.2025 23:04 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0I was concerned about moving close to a train line. I'm now concerned about just how comforting I find the sound of trains going passed
14.07.2025 21:15 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0TIL that at the age of 42 I can still potentially change careers to cat burglar if I'd like π
07.07.2025 07:40 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Today I forgot the words aluminium foil and found the closest semantic approximation in my brain was "crackle paper"
And I ain't mad about it at all
Fun fact, the one at South Melbourne was cheap ($30 per mattress)
25.06.2025 00:23 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I'm going to buy myself a tagine as a housewarming gift π
25.06.2025 00:19 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Does researching the cheapest recycling centre to take mattresses to make me adult now?
21.06.2025 23:56 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Sometimes, just sometimes, I get nostalgic for when AI (in the bubble term that subsumes statistical, ML and neural net based methods like Cronus devouring his children) was called pattern recognition
10.06.2025 08:57 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0What in the actual fuck?
30.05.2025 04:55 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Sugar soap, how I love you.
30.05.2025 00:46 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Blue cheese fuelled dreams
26.05.2025 22:20 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0It is past midday. My time for tea has ended π
21.05.2025 02:16 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0One of the greatest validations in adult life is to move the couch that has been in the same position for nearly 5 years to find the carpet underneath is the same colour as the rest of the carpet.
15.05.2025 23:26 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I like that the Borderlands movie holds true to the time honoured tradition of horrible video game to movie adaptions.
Well done for keeping traditions alive π