Andy Timm

Been a minute since I lived there, but a few ideas— Fairstate’s probably my favorite, mix of great IPAs and some odder (but well done) experimental-ish beers.

Also great are Lake Monster (a lot of really solid, more sessionable stuff), and Lynnlake (great at a lot of styles that I love for fall).

You don’t need to compile all your packages on Linux anymore :)

Check out pak/p3m, which has pre-compiled binaries: r-in-production.org/packages.html

More like the tech wrong

Kevin Munger has both some great descriptive work and meta scientific argument articulating the value of descriptive work for fast moving topics like social media platforms in his book The YouTube Apparatus!

See also his temporal validity paper for an articulation of the metascientific point.

What you’re looking for*

Sesame Workers Union Sesame Workers Union is a group of Sesame Workshop (of Sesame Street) workers organizing with OPEIU Local 153 to improve working conditions across the industry. Proceeds go to workers experiencing har...

shop.worxprinting.coop/collections/...

Believe this is what you’re looking for you :)

Omg, need to get my hands on one of these tomorrow or Friday. Where were these?

👋 First time going, I’m excited!

Simpson’s paradox with the Simpsons graph

Could. Not. Resist.

Definitely read this as Y-MRP.

Yung Multilevel Regression and Postratification seems intriguing 🤔

That new Bonica et al paper that's being passed around with claims that moderating hurts turnout doesn't have much turnout analysis in it at all, and certainty not enough for that conclusion

open.substack.com/pub/cauldron...

Oh god, am I going to do this as a side project for the bit?

Footnotes of footenotes? call them… toes

I need footnotes within footnotes, that’ll make everything much more hinged

YouTube video by Recording Academy / GRAMMYs Watch CHAPPELL ROAN perform "PINK PONY CLUB" live at the 2025 GRAMMYs

Pivoting slightly, you said “God, what have I done?”, so you’re now a pink pony girl and you dance at the club.

youtu.be/8lmK_dMWY8o?...

The example that motivated this post was “making actually good simulation studies”, which I was lucky to get in grad school, but lots of folks didn’t it seems.

So I was thinking about MIT’s “missing semester” course (missing.csail.mit.edu) on skills needed but often not explicitly taught.

What are some stats/survey stats equivalents y’all find super important- that is, important for research/practice, not commonly classroom taught?

I appreciate the correction here- will say it’s very hard to be like “yep that’s fake news” when the real news is like “Musk pushes refugee status for white Afrikaners”.

Ordered two books as a result of this thread :)

Cool!

Any chance you have a time series source handy? Or just tracking manually?

This is an absolute scandal.

Trump and Marco Rubio abandoned American workers and their families abroad, delaying waivers to provide for their safe return to the United States.

As these civil servants lost their possessions, housing, and money, Elon Musk was slandering them with bogus accusations.

Social Media and Political Dysfunction Social Media and Political Dysfunction: A Collaborative Review This Google doc is an open-source working document that contains the citations and abstracts of published articles that shed light on a ...

I read through a bunch of stuff in Chris Bail and Jon Haidt’s collaborative syllabus a year or so ago: docs.google.com/document/u/0...

Of stuff in there, I’d say Chris’s book Breaking the social media prism is what I rec the most/got the most mileage from. press.princeton.edu/books/hardco...

This might even be true without setting a seed sometimes, wow programming is so cool!

Don’t love the guy to put it mildly, but I have a ton of respect for him here.

Reminder that ipums.org has all the acs, census, CPS, NHIS, MEPS, and so much more. Bonus that it’s cleaned and harmonized in ways that make these data really easy to use in practice.

Depends on how much luggage, but probably subway unless time pressured/rather cost insensitive.

Also a great candidate for getting a nice walk in because that connection is a bit awkward.

AMFAR has published a report on how the foreign aid freeze affects PEPFAR, which actually still hasn't resumed.

They estimate that hundreds of thousands of people lose access to HIV antivirals and 1500 babies are expected to contract HIV — *each day* 🧵

Thanks very much to everybody who chimed in on this thread about attention --I wrote up some notes!

My conclusion from the discussion is that polisci should coordinate on an info board / faux feed design to study (probs v. heterogeneous effects on attention)

alexandercoppock.com/attention.pdf

🤡

While I don't think maximum entropy makes for good priors directly (use weakly informative ones), reasoning about what's maxent for a parameter is a nice way to orient yourself in building priors in complex situations. "What's maxent here?" can be a good starting question in finding a better prior.

This post started with chasing down a footnote from @rmcelreath.bsky.social 's Statistical Rethinking about an example from E.T. Jaynes.

This was mostly a chance to go down a lovely rabbit hole about handedness of Kangaroos, but I also aim to make a point about maximum entropy.