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Quantian

@quantian.bsky.social

Locked in and posting regularly on here now

14,925 Followers  |  252 Following  |  2,247 Posts  |  Joined: 12.04.2023  |  1.7542

Latest posts by quantian.bsky.social on Bluesky

Now they’ll just keep the lights on by pilfering money from SpaceX investors (that’s what the dual class structure will be for)

14.02.2026 02:59 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

RIP Grok, you were once a pretty interesting and advanced frontier model until your dad decided to turn you into an Afrikaner goonbot making videos of cyberpunk ladies saying β€œI love you” directly into to the camera

14.02.2026 02:58 β€” πŸ‘ 68    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Look between the perennial benchmark underperformance, shotgun wedding with SpaceX, and mass exodus, I think we can officially declare xAI roadkill, gone the way of Mistral or Facebook as members of the permanent LLM underclass (and without even the benefit of an open source community around them!)

14.02.2026 02:52 β€” πŸ‘ 75    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

I can’t believe you’d be so unserious as to be β€œriffing” in a time like this. Do better.

13.02.2026 13:31 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Reminder that the keep 4o cranks represent the smallest and least unhinged pro-AI constituency that will exist for the rest of your life. It’s about to get SUPER weird.

13.02.2026 01:31 β€” πŸ‘ 101    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1

Probably a healthier dynamic- certainly much more profitable for me!- but that seems to indicate that people now believe profit is going to come from regular-ass market share gains at the expense of Old Economy companies rather than a giant capex cycle creating God.

12.02.2026 17:21 β€” πŸ‘ 32    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

If I had to anthropomorphize price action since Sep, Mr. Market has gone from saying "AI superintelligence means we need to pay infinite multiples for anything even tangentially compute-related" to "AI regular-intelligence means we need to pay 0 multiples for anything even tangentially disruptable"

12.02.2026 17:19 β€” πŸ‘ 66    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

It costs a nickel to reply to someone you don’t follow, a dime to QT them, and a quarter to block them. That should cover the first billion or two of revenue without needing to add users

12.02.2026 05:24 β€” πŸ‘ 71    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

4) Vested into SpaceX stock and don't need to actually succeed to get rich

11.02.2026 19:24 β€” πŸ‘ 78    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2
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Incredible.

11.02.2026 16:42 β€” πŸ‘ 3281    πŸ” 391    πŸ’¬ 68    πŸ“Œ 59

One thing I did whenever I had a particularly difficult problem in grad school (which antagonized my office mates) was to pace in circles literally saying random things out loud and if they sounded good I would try to work them out, which is pretty much how a LLM+proof tool system works!

11.02.2026 17:01 β€” πŸ‘ 54    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

"How powerful is plain text at describing the world, how well-represented is plain text by the existing training corpus, to what extent is that imposed structure effective at guiding a random manifold sampler to the "right" answer, and how is that similar to what humans do?" are very real questions!

11.02.2026 16:52 β€” πŸ‘ 74    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 1

I was doubtful of the philosophical implication of first-generation LLMs, but I think if you are not at least grappling with the fact that "reasoning models" which do not actually reason are nonetheless capable of reasoning-like behavior just by talking to themselves you aren't a serious commentator

11.02.2026 16:48 β€” πŸ‘ 168    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 7
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we need a moratorium on ELIZA comparisons unless you can demonstrate you have personally implemented ELIZA or a similar GOFAI system, ideally in LISP

11.02.2026 16:40 β€” πŸ‘ 27    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

i assumed this was them getting hoity-toity about like general equilibrium models but saying "what do accountants know about credit loss provisioning" is such a good bit it has to be parody

11.02.2026 16:35 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The only question to my mind at this point is whether we should be merciful and just send Vinay Prasad to Gitmo or if we should instead opt for one of those Uzbekistani prisons where they boil you

11.02.2026 13:49 β€” πŸ‘ 29    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

My prequel hot take is that instead of Qui-Gon existing at all they should have made Dooku Obi-Wan's master. He survives Ep 1 badly wounded and quits the order, so everyone is dismissive of him being behind everything in Ep 2 and when it turns out he's as Sith it's a big reveal just like in the OT.

11.02.2026 05:47 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

God DAMN I forgot how hard Bethesda went on the Oblivion ending, that shit still hits 20 years on

11.02.2026 04:46 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Let’s see your bangers, then.

11.02.2026 01:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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They still can cook on X The Everything App

11.02.2026 00:22 β€” πŸ‘ 6037    πŸ” 660    πŸ’¬ 31    πŸ“Œ 13

This is extremely unfair, the typical medieval inquisitor had significantly higher literacy and evidentiary standards than the typical Bluesky user

10.02.2026 14:23 β€” πŸ‘ 93    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Increasingly coming around to the idea that somebody in the 45 admin either had Epstein murked in jail or was so worried somebody else did it without their knowledge they preemptively covered it up anyways

09.02.2026 23:32 β€” πŸ‘ 117    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 0

Top 3 users are probably SIG Jane CitSec in that order so it's kind of surprising they don't make up more.

09.02.2026 17:12 β€” πŸ‘ 28    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

It’s not unnatural if you consider it on a single axis worker vs. boss power dimension though, Kalecki wins yet again

09.02.2026 16:37 β€” πŸ‘ 60    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

It is interesting that the battle lines on RTO X AI have fallen very unnaturally, I would have expected more fully in the office, anti-AI companies (we must develop real junior skills) and more fully remote AI native companies (which I guess you have in tech but not in finance so much)

09.02.2026 16:35 β€” πŸ‘ 52    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
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Takaichi is an honorary sommelier and certified Gamer who used to drive a Supra, quite possibly there has never been a politician Who Just Like Me Fr Fr

09.02.2026 04:00 β€” πŸ‘ 31    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Every time I visit Charleston I feel like I’m about to be called a slur for a group I don’t even know I’m a member of.

And to add insult to injury, some bullshit small plates one star twee ass restaurant there monopolized the entire regional allocation of Burlotto Monvigliero that by rights is MINE

08.02.2026 01:40 β€” πŸ‘ 66    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

Charleston has bad vibes in part because South Carolina has uniquely Hitlerian whites even in comparison to every other Southern state. I think it’s the combination of not having any real metro areas + richer than AL/MS + migration filtering.

08.02.2026 01:33 β€” πŸ‘ 135    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 3

I was a gifted kid who was told by my teachers my entire life that I'd be extremely successful, and guess what: they were right and I am.

07.02.2026 22:23 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Ranking was 2-3-1-5-4 in order, only 5 was really subpar. Pergola Torte was fire by acclamation, 4/4 votes for WOTN

07.02.2026 05:50 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

@quantian is following 20 prominent accounts