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Dan Simpson

@danpsimpson.bsky.social

Lover, artist, statistician.

627 Followers  |  131 Following  |  454 Posts  |  Joined: 03.07.2023  |  1.8912

Latest posts by danpsimpson.bsky.social on Bluesky

"if you want to be open-minded, there’s no good reason to start with work promoting a politically loaded, much-debunked idea and published on a propaganda site."
--Andrew Gelman

03.08.2025 21:52 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Weird. You’re a much better writer than

04.08.2025 11:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The Box-Cox power exponential distribution – Notes from a data witch This is so obviously a prequel post to something else that I want to write about GAMLSS models

I regret to inform you that she has, yet again, written more words than are necessary on a topic you don't care about

03.08.2025 02:02 β€” πŸ‘ 46    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

Naked Gun is extremely stupid and I’m very happy about that.

02.08.2025 21:59 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

WBN releasing this and making me have these feelings in the middle of my work day? Rude.

01.08.2025 18:53 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I don’t know why but while Wes is just not an English name, Streeting is so English he might as well be named Britain McBrittface

31.07.2025 03:20 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

If you liked this thread, and you're like, "I bet that guy would make an awesome coworker," I'm currently on the job market - primarily looking for data scientist/quantitative researcher roles, but I'm flexible!

30.07.2025 21:05 β€” πŸ‘ 39    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
Post image

:(

31.07.2025 01:10 β€” πŸ‘ 3423    πŸ” 442    πŸ’¬ 22    πŸ“Œ 4

*Screams in @worldsbeyondnumber.bsky.social*

30.07.2025 03:30 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I just read diff-on-diff as dilf-on-dilf so that’s how Monday is going

28.07.2025 14:13 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Let it be said that the insistence that universities must produce useful things is what is killing (or has killed) universities. The reluctance to value useful things to the same extent as other things is what allowed this to happen.

28.07.2025 06:59 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

lol. Academias doesn’t value it at all. Useful is (generally) neither prestigious nor quantifiable. There are people in academia who value it and will help. There are even some rare places that will do it. But being useful (broadly or narrowly) really isn’t the goal of most academic systems.

28.07.2025 06:18 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
New Yorker Instagram post of "Sniffies brings cruising into the digital age" by Emily Witt, with New Yorker style cartoons of naked men on their phones

New Yorker Instagram post of "Sniffies brings cruising into the digital age" by Emily Witt, with New Yorker style cartoons of naked men on their phones

hot take: cis women should not be writing about Sniffies for mainstream publications, and you should not be reading those pieces.

25.07.2025 16:31 β€” πŸ‘ 428    πŸ” 73    πŸ’¬ 16    πŸ“Œ 22

DO YEAR
newyorkermag
"On Grindr, the third thing you send is a picture of
that
your genitalia; on Sniffies, it's your profile picture."
a Sniffies user
THE
NEW YORKER
2/5
:

DO YEAR newyorkermag "On Grindr, the third thing you send is a picture of that your genitalia; on Sniffies, it's your profile picture." a Sniffies user THE NEW YORKER 2/5 :


newyorkermag
"I can wake up on a Saturday and be, like, O.K., I don't have a lot to do today, I should clean my house, but instead I'm just going to go out and have sex with someone."
a physician in L.A.
..
3/5
THE
NEW YORKER

newyorkermag "I can wake up on a Saturday and be, like, O.K., I don't have a lot to do today, I should clean my house, but instead I'm just going to go out and have sex with someone." a physician in L.A. .. 3/5 THE NEW YORKER


newyorkermag
"I think it's understood that everyone there is probably there to fuck and not necessarily, like, 'Would you like to go to the theatre with me?""
a Sniffies user
4/5
THE
NEW YORKER

newyorkermag "I think it's understood that everyone there is probably there to fuck and not necessarily, like, 'Would you like to go to the theatre with me?"" a Sniffies user 4/5 THE NEW YORKER

In case anyone wants to try and pretend that @embits.bsky.social's New Yorker article on Sniffies is anything other than pure voyeurism, here are thre three pull quotes @newyorker.com is using to promote it.

They know what they're doing, and they're selling it hard.

25.07.2025 17:29 β€” πŸ‘ 69    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1
Projection Predictive Feature Selection Performs projection predictive feature selection for generalized linear models (Piironen, Paasiniemi, and Vehtari, 2020, <doi:10.1214/20-EJS1711>) with or without multilevel or additive terms (Catalin...

While I was on vacation enjoying Finnish summer, Frank Weber finished some PRs and made a new major CRAN release of projpred mc-stan.org/projpred/ (for projection predictive variable selection). This release contains some major features add by me and Frank.
1/4

23.07.2025 13:19 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Needs another S

22.07.2025 19:28 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
AIC and combined discrete/continuous models - Biased and Inefficient

AIC comparing discrete to continuous (or mixed discrete/continuous to continous) models? Run away!
notstatschat.rbind.io/2025/07/22/a...

22.07.2025 06:34 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Same reason we shouldn't use LLMs to do arithmetic (although I've seen people with PhDs try). We already have calculators. They're reliable, fast, and widely available.

22.07.2025 04:02 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This will get taken up as a problem with the model (it gave a bad answer), when it really should be taken up as a problem with the use (people shouldn't turn to LLMs for this kind of question, though I'm sure some do).

22.07.2025 03:59 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

That’s literally my strategy and I hate it.

22.07.2025 05:54 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I would really like them to add an accessibility setting that’s basically just β€œI don’t want to fucking do this”

22.07.2025 01:44 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Elder scrolls oblivion is fun but the lock picking minigame can truly fuck right off. Atrocious.

22.07.2025 01:35 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

You can have some of ours.

21.07.2025 20:29 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Is the appendix a grave?

21.07.2025 19:45 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

In a stunning moment of carnal desire, my calculator said β€œBOOBIE5”

21.07.2025 08:44 β€” πŸ‘ 4953    πŸ” 1103    πŸ’¬ 16    πŸ“Œ 6
Image of spell check suggesting "reprehensibility" as a replacement for "reproducibility"

Image of spell check suggesting "reprehensibility" as a replacement for "reproducibility"

Spell check making some very strong claims this morning

21.07.2025 19:00 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

More like Babylon Cis-ters, amirite

21.07.2025 18:32 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Like I’m sorry if anyone here is impressed by leaderboards. Fucking grow up. To the extent that there are actually good metrics, I promise you they are very intentionally not public.

21.07.2025 18:12 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Like I don’t post about work on here because, like, that is not my journey anymore but this is definitely true. Both for regulatory oversight, but also like just for making the damn things work reliably in a production environment. Your metrics will decrease but they were bullshit anyway.

21.07.2025 18:10 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

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