THREAD:
GOP Senators say they're trying to scale back the SALT cap relief in the House bill. But could the approach to SALT in the Senate bill actually end up *more* generous & costly overall than the House bill? Do Senators – or does anyone – even know, despite the intense political focus on SALT?
24.06.2025 21:28 — 👍 9 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 1
Foreign tax provision in Trump budget bill spooks Wall Street
Legislation would erode the appeal of US financial assets, warn banks and investors
THREAD
Markets are waking up to a provision buried in the House bill that could undermine the demand for US Treasuries at a time when bond markets are already jittery:
www.ft.com/content/b400...
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
30.05.2025 14:12 — 👍 22 🔁 16 💬 3 📌 5
(3) While SALT cap shouldn't be used to finance this regressive / unfair bill and instead for other purposes, that's the right thing for this policy. This reading is clear in the text but contrary to public reporting / others initial reading. They should stick w/ this version.
20.05.2025 13:54 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
More from @taxlawcenter.org on House reconciliation bill. (1) Close reading of bill shows text curtails SALT cap workarounds for all biz (including 199A biz). That’s good news IF it sticks. (2) OTOH, bill slashes clean energy credits and imposes unworkable red tape. Bad news.
20.05.2025 13:53 — 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
(7) And even as the IRS is radically cut making it even harder to administer any such misguided EITC precertification program even as higher income Americans escape from audit when it comes to complex tax planning. end/
14.05.2025 23:16 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
(6) This is about making it harder for lower-income working families to get access to one of the key supports – even while those with higher incomes face no such barriers, whether it be in cutting their rate by 23% for biz income or claiming other tax expenditures.
14.05.2025 23:15 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
(5) We can have a serious and worthwhile discussion about how to improve compliance up and down the income spectrum. But, between radical cuts to the IRS and gameable / hard to enforce new provisions in this bill, this isn’t about compliance.
14.05.2025 23:14 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
(4) The contrast between an expanded special deduction for biz income disproportionately for highest income + no tax on tips / overtime to the new, burdensome precertification system for working families getting the EITC is particularly stark.
14.05.2025 23:14 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
(1) Two new pieces from @taxlawcenter.org on tax provisions in the House reconciliation bill. Detailing unfair and complex new provisions to the benefit of those with higher incomes and then onerous provisions on lower-income working families.
14.05.2025 23:12 — 👍 4 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0
THREAD: the Ways & Means bill creates new opportunities for tax avoidance and evasion, adds complexity to the tax system, and increases filing burdens for low- & moderate-income families.
My @taxlawcenter.org colleagues have more analysis coming, but here's a starter list (suggestions welcome):
13.05.2025 20:14 — 👍 116 🔁 51 💬 2 📌 6
(12) There’s much more to be said (and much more reading to do) and @taxlawcenter.org will have more to say as we do.... end/
13.05.2025 15:25 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
(11) Now, it’s much more of a Frankenstein when it comes to the tax base. Some of those elements remain but even more mixed with unfair / complex / expanded giveaways -- all the while losing trillions in regressive fashion.
13.05.2025 15:24 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
(10) The draft stands in contrast to some of the philosophy 2017, with the notable exception of 199A. That bill lost trillions. But, had a number of real base broadeners / simplifications. Like limiting mortgage interest deduction. Swapping itemized for standard deduction.
13.05.2025 15:24 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
(9) And, there are large cutbacks in tax credits for clean energy. That brings me to the fact that it’s not about having a “pure” base. It’s about treating fairly and using limited resources to benefit those who need it and encourage activities we should have (like clean energy).
13.05.2025 15:23 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
(8) And there's effectively a 35 percent cap on the value of itemized deductions. That's a good move--actually building off Biden / Obama. So, for that, but not to pay for even more regressive and complex tax cuts.
13.05.2025 15:22 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
(7) There are some revenue raisers too. There’s the SALT cap. But, loosened to regressive effect. And endorsing the SALT workaround for pass throughs so long as they’re eligible biz under Section 199A. So, here too, architects (and others eligible) are great! Doctors are not!
13.05.2025 15:20 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Tip of the iceberg? How tax-free tips could sink the tax system
By: Mike Kaercher and Chye-Ching Huang
(6) Should there be some de minimis for cash tips or other simplifying system, maybe? But, anything involving broad exclusions like these will be regressive and hard to administer. For more: medium.com/@taxlawcente...
13.05.2025 15:19 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
(5) Unlike 199A, these aren’t about super high income. But, higher-income workers can still get it since eligibility goes up to someone making $160,000 / yr. And those in higher brackets will get the most – well, if they are “winners” and get cash tips or overtime.
13.05.2025 15:18 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
(4) Then there’s the tips and overtime. We knew these were coming from the campaign, but, still, to have new provisions which entirely exclude this kind of income from the tax system is…well…not good.
13.05.2025 15:17 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
(2) Let’s start off with the original sin of the 2017 law, Section 199A. Allowing people in certain sectors (but never employees because employees aren’t winners!)—and including some of those with the highest income—to cut their tax rate by 20%. Now, 23%. Going in wrong direction.
13.05.2025 15:14 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
(1) There’s a lot in W+Ms draft bill. We knew it'd be losing trillions of $$$ and in regressive fashion. But provisions also pick winners+losers often in unjustified ways and give us an (even more) swiss cheese tax system that’d generally be harder to administer and unfair in new ways.
13.05.2025 15:14 — 👍 7 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0
NYU LAW FACULTY LETTER_041725.pdf
A letter from many of the @nyulaw.bsky.social faculty on importance of academic freedom and rule of law, which are under threat. We have many different perspectives and should on law and policy, but these are core principles in support of which we stand together. drive.google.com/file/d/1yysJ...
17.04.2025 22:17 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Senior Fellow at the American Immigration Council. Commenting generally on immigration law and policy. Retweets =/= endorsements, views are my own.
Director @hamiltonproject.org & Senior Fellow @brookings.edu. Former USTreasury, NEC46, OMB46, @CenteronBudget, Obama HHS, OMB, NEC. Personal account.
Health and tax policy and law, private insurance, Marketplaces, 1332 waivers, admin burdens. Led ACA implementation at Treasury. Now Urban Institute, SHVS, and Yale Solomon Center.
Teaching tax & torts @nyulaw
https://www.youtube.com/@RGoodLaw
Co-editor-in-chief at Just Security (https://bsky.app/profile/justsecurity.org). Chaired Prof at NYU Law. Former Chaired Prof Harvard. Former Special Counsel Defense Dept.
https://www.justsecurity.org/author/goodmanryan
Associate Professor @NYULaw | Legal History, Administrative State, New York State Courts | “agenda-driven naysayer whose head instantiates academic ethers”
Labor econ @upjohninstitute.bsky.social & @IZA.org. Formerly senior economist for labor at White House CEA, UMinn prof, union organizer, bike courier, house painter, dishwasher... Minneapolis. Views mine.
aaronsojourner.org
Be kind • Work hard • Have fun
Director, Stratification Economics at The Roosevelt Institute/Roosevelt Forward
@rooseveltinstitute.org
Sociologist, Dad, Autistic person, Bathos-Enjoyer
Taxes are what we pay for civilized society
Opinions are my own
Writing a data-driven newsletter about economics @ apricitas.io
Nuance? In this Economy
Full Employment Stan, Brazilian Coffee Tariff Victim |
Executive Director of Employ America
Macro / Labor / Finance / Energy / Chart posting
More good things for everyone. Public sector appreciator. Tax and welfare policy knower. Hyperinflation doubter.
Provost Prof. of Economics (UMass Amherst).
Inequality, labor market policies and competition.
Affiliations: NBER, IZA, MIT Shaping the Future of Work Initiative
Book project: The Wage Standard
Personal Account. Views my own & RT/Likes do not equal endorsements.
Currently at Employ America and IFP
VP for Research, CAP Action. (~);}
Econ person. Director of Policy and Research, @economicsecurityproject.org. Former NEC. #Rstats, dad, Chicago Guy. https://mikekonczal.substack.com/
Now: Principal Economist @rooseveltinstitute.org & Roosevelt Forward. Then: @equitablegrowth |@JECDems | @amprog | @RFF | @UCSDecon | @BrookingsEcon.
This = me+β(no_sleep)+ε
People's Policy Project: peoplespolicyproject.org
NLRB Edge: https://www.nlrbedge.com/
The Bruenigs podcast: https://www.patreon.com/thebruenigs
Director, Hutchins Center on Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Brookings Institution
https://www.brookings.edu/people/david-wessel/