Chris Wlezien

1. Shoot people like dogs
2. Unrest
3. Martial law

The plan is that transparent. Don’t let them

Hey! Maybe part of the story...

How cool; congrat's Miranda, and looking to see book on best sellers lists!

New Fox News poll shows Trump's approval on:
Border Security: +2
Crime and public safety: -5
Immigration: -10
Foreign Policy: -15
Economy: -22
Healthcare: -25
Spending: -25
Tariffs: -28
static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/...

Thx and looking forward to reading!

Thx both; preferences change, and parallel (partisan) publics is a thing, yes?

Cheers to you, Zeynep!

Opinion | Senator Ruben Gallego Has Three Words for Democrats

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/20/o...

Trust in Media at New Low of 28% in U.S. Americans' trust in newspapers, television and radio to report the news fully, accurately and fairly is at a new low of 28%.

Source: news.gallup.com/poll/695762/...

Importantly, one can worry about what's happening AND think so-called "cancel culture" had pernicious/harmful aspects (as I do). But remarkable how few people do both and how disproportionate elite media attention is. Also, shouldn't we worry more when the state is wielding these powers?

"NBC News obtained a copy of a memo... summarizing the poll results. It was conducted by veteran Republican pollsters... and concluded 'that there is broad unity across party lines supporting vaccines such as measles (MMR), shingles, tetanus, diphtheria and pertussis (TDAP), and Hepatitis B.'"

What the Economy Really Looks Like When you factor in all the data points, we have an anxious workforce, a business sector seeking opportunity in inflation, and an avalanche of bad policy bearing down on everyone.

prospect.org/economy/2025...

Public opinion on social spending in the U.S. has long been known to shift in parallel across policy areas — but why? Here's an article with Steven van Hauwaert and Ryan Carlin that provides some answers, and it's open access: cup.org/3HdCwX3

Does political sophistication moderate how citizens use information to infer left-right distances between parties? Research identifies numerous factors associated with citizens’ perceptions of party ideologies, including the Left-Right orientations of parties’ election manifestos, governing coalition arrangemen...

Our paper (w/ wonderful co-authors @rwillh11.bsky.social, @simonweschle.bsky.social, @cbwlezien.bsky.social, and Jim Adams) is now out in print! 🎉 May be of interest to those studying electoral behavior, party strategy, or how citizens use information!

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Inside Viktor Orbán’s Failure to Achieve His Demographic Goal - VSquare.org The Prime Minister has long said that he would like to grow the population of Hungary without bringing in immigrants. Recently, births have fallen, but the number of people leaving the country has als...

💥Viktor Orbán’s demographic strategy is a disaster. Over the past decade, 37.8% of Hungary’s population decline was due to emigration to other EU countries. Hungary is losing the competition to retain its own citizens while birth rates tank. Read Direkt36's in-depth article on @vsquare.bsky.social👇

Americans Recognize Nuances of Higher Ed’s Value New data shows that confidence in higher education is on the rise and most Americans, regardless of party affiliation, share a similar vision for what colleges should prioritize.

Another survey that shows a rebound in support for higher education. @cbwlezien.bsky.social
www.insidehighered.com/news/student...

Our paper (w/ @cbwlezien.bsky.social) is now in print! Perhaps of interest to survey researchers contemplating whether/how to use the DK response option when measuring the public's policy preferences. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Gallup has new polling on immigration. Topline findings:
-Americans hate Trump's immigration policy (35% approve, 62% disapprove)
-Share who say immigration is a "good thing" for the country just hit an all-time high (79%)

news.gallup.com/poll/692522/...

4 polls out today on the GOP budget bill
Post-Ipsos: 23% support/42% oppose/34% no opin
KFF: 35% favorable/64% unfave
Pew: 29% favor/49% oppose/21% not sure
Economist/YouGov: 35%-51% support-oppose
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
www.kff.org/medicaid/pol...
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...

Cheers to you, Chris!

Cheers to you, ha ha!

Most Literature Reviews Miss the Point. Don’t Let Yours Critically Engaging Past Work to Confidently Shape Your Own

Most literature reviews miss the point.

Not because they’re sloppy.

But because they treat the literature like a box to tick.

In my latest Respect the Marble Post, I carve out a 6-step process to writing a meaningful lit review:

catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/most-liter...

🧵

Arrested in L.A. My interview with a fellow scholar who was recently arrested for participating in an anti-ICE protest

Must read. Incredible and thoughtful first-person account. Surprisingly, the most shocking part is not journalists and college professors being arrested. It’s police trapping the crowd—giving a disperse order while blocking all the exits. via @smotus.bsky.social
smotus.substack.com/p/arrested-i...

This is the type of behavior that impunity creates. It has always existed within law enforcement, but is strengthened when political leaders encourage and protect it and the state doesn't hold the perpetrators (order-givers and -executioners) accountable.

LLMs may sometimes act like humans because they’ve read the social science research telling them how they’re expected to act

Thx for post(s), but wonder if the closeness is key, i.e., "closer (and less predictable)"...?

Immigration Judges Closed and Denied More Asylum Cases in March Than Any Month on Record In a record-breaking month, immigration judges fast-tracked asylum denials at a record pace, raising questions about due process, the politicization of the courts, and the future of the asylum system.

In a record-breaking month, immigration judges fast-tracked asylum denials at a record pace, raising questions about due process, the politicization of the courts, and the future of the asylum system.
(Via the indispensable @austinkocher.com)

austinkocher.substack.com/p/immigratio...

Hi and thx, and sorry for delay in response; graduation weekend here. Could see thermostatic public response in preferences for more/less policy/spending, but that doesn't happen magically, of course. Not sure that's the focus of the question about "approval;" let me know, ok?

So he's... defunding the police?

Neither the Court nor the parties question the Executive Branch's authority and responsibility to enforce federal laws and, along with local law enforcement agencies, to protect 1 / 36 Case 1:25-cv-00072 Document 58 Filed on 05/01/25 in TXSD Page 2 of 36 the nation's population. Neither the Court nor the parties question that the Executive Branch can direct the detention and removal of aliens who engage in criminal activity in the United States. The Executive Branch has and will continue to rely on the Immigration and Nationality Act to remove aliens found to represent a danger to the country. The question that this lawsuit presents is whether the President can utilize a specific statute, the AEA, to detain and remove Venezuelan aliens who are members of TdA. As to that question, the historical record renders clear that the President's invocation of the AEA through the Proclamation exceeds the scope of the statute and is contrary to the plain, ordinary meaning of the statute's terms. As a result, the Court concludes that as a matter of law, the Executive Branch cannot rely on the AEA, based on the Proclamation, to detain the Named Petitioners and the certified class, or to remove them from the country.'

Case 1:25-cv-00072 Document 59 Filed on 05/01/25 in TXSD Page 1 of 1 UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT SOUTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS BROWNSVILLE DIVISION ENTERED May 01, 2025 Nathan Ochsner, Clerk J.A.V., et al., Petitioners, son con con VS. CIVIL ACTION NO. 1:25-CV-072 DONALD J. TRUMP, et al., Respondents. FINAL JUDGMENT AND PERMANENT INJUNCTION In accordance with the Court's Order and Opinion granting class certification (Doc. 57) and its Order and Opinion granting summary judgment (Doc. 58), the Court enters final judgment in favor of Petitioners J.A.V., J.G.G., W.G.H., and the members of the certified class. Accordingly, it is: ORDERED that the Class Petition for Writ of Habeas Corpus (Doc. 1) is GRANTED; and ORDERED that Respondents are permanently enjoined from detaining, transferring, or removing J.A.V., J.G.G., W.G.H., and the members of the certified class, under the Alien Enemies Act, 50 U.S.C. § 21, and based on the Presidential Proclamation, "Invocation of the Alien Enemies Act Regarding the Invasion of the United States by Tren de Aragua," 90 Fed. Reg. 13033. This permanent injunction does not prohibit Respondents from proceeding with removal proceedings or otherwise acting against J.A.V., J.G.G., W.G.H., and the members of the certified class, based on the Immigration and Nationality Act, including under any final order of removal. This Final Judgment and Permanent Injunction does not enjoin Respondent Donald Trump in his official duties as President of the United States. See Franklin v. Massachusetts, 505 U.S. 788, 802 (1992). Signed on May 1, 2025. 1/1 Femendo Rodiguez, Ja. Fernando Rodriguez, Jr. United States District Judge

BREAKING: Federal judge finds that Trump exceeded his authority in his Alien Enemies Act proclamation addressing alleged members of Tren de Aragua, issuing a permanent injunction barring AEA proclamation-based removals from the Southern District of Texas.