Céline Pajon

🇯🇵🙌Ravie de partager ma dernière note qui revient sur les 100 premiers jours de Sanae #Takaichi et explore les implications de la victoire historique du PLD aux élections. #Japon

👏 Ifri is delighted to announce that @cpajon.bsky.social, Head of Japan and Indo-Pacific Research at @ifri-asie.bsky.social, has been awarded an Incentive Award by the prestigious Japanese think tank, Nakasone Peace Institute.

🔎 Explore Céline Pajon's work:
www.ifri.org/en/celine-pa...

中国レーダー照射「欧州安保にも重大｣｢米中対立も影」　独仏識者の見方 - 日本経済新聞 中国軍の戦闘機が自衛隊機にレーダーを照射した問題は、中国の覇権主義を警戒する欧州の安全保障にとっても無縁ではない。中国の戦略や日本の対応をどう考えるべきか。ドイツとフランスで安全保障政策の有識者に聞いた。（聞き手はベルリン=南毅郎、パリ=北松円香）中国、対日以外でも危険な軍事行動　連携して冷静に対応をドイツ国際安全保障研究所（SWP）アジア研究部副部長のアレクサンドラ・サカキ氏日本の戦闘機

Comments by @cpajon.bsky.social and myself on Chinese fighters pointing their fire-control radar at Japanese planes over the East China Sea.

From a European perspective, China's systematic and repeated use of risky military intimidation tactics is deeply worrying.

www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZ...

💬 "The concept of strategic autonomy is gaining traction in Japan, especially in economic and diplomatic domains, though full military independence remains constrained by legal, political and logistical limits", writes Céline Pajon for CSDS.

Read
csds.vub.be/publication/... @cpajon.bsky.social

🇯🇵 🇺🇸 Is #Trump II accelerating a strategic rethink in #Japan? Tokyo is working toward more autonomy, doubling-down on its hedging strategy.
👉Check my latest article for @csds.bsky.social
- Many thanks @danielfiott.bsky.social
for the review!

Communiqué conjoint : ouverture de négociations sur la délimitation de la frontière maritime entre le Vanuatu et la France et la souveraineté sur les îles Matthew et Hunter. En ligne sur le site de l'Elysée :
➡️ www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-mac...

Joint communiqué: opening of negotiations on the delimitation of the maritime border between Vanuatu and France and sovereignty over Matthew and Hunter Islands. Online on the Elysée website:
➡️ www.elysee.fr/en/emmanuel-...

Australia announces new warships will come from Japan Canberra will purchase 11 Mogami-class frigates in what will be Tokyo’s biggest-ever defense contract — a breakthrough for Japan's defense industry.

🇯🇵⚓️A big news for #Japan with this first big defense industrial deal to sell 11 #Mogami class frigates to #Australia. Also reinforcing the quasi-alliance between the two countries.

www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2025/08...

France Refocuses Its Indo-Pacific Strategy Amid a Shifting Global Order France’s new Indo-Pacific document centers on its territories and forging robust partnerships with regional powers – while sharpening criticism of China.

🚨🇫🇷 #France has just (discreetly) released its updated #IndoPacific strategy! A realist recalibration, it prioritizes protection of French sovereign interests, robust partnerships, & features a sharper tone toward China.
Thanks @thediplomat.com! @ifri.bsky.social
thediplomat.com/2025/07/fran...

France Refocuses Its Indo-Pacific Strategy Amid a Shifting Global Order France’s new Indo-Pacific document centers on its territories and forging robust partnerships with regional powers – while sharpening criticism of China.

🇫🇷🌏 Missed France’s updated Indo-Pacific Strategy? @cpajon.bsky.social unpacks it in @thediplomat.com👇🏻
thediplomat.com/2025/07/fran...

During his visit to Paris, Vanuatu Prime Minister Jotham Napat stopped by @ifri.bsky.social for a fruitful exchange with researchers, journalists, diplomats, and military personnel. Many thanks to Marc Hecker, @cpajon.bsky.social, and @marcjulienne.bsky.social for their warm welcome!

A l'occasion de sa visite à Paris, le Premier ministre du Vanuatu, Jotham Napat, est passé à l'@ifri.bsky.social pour un riche échange avec des chercheurs, journalistes, diplomates et militaires. Un grand merci à Marc Hecker, @cpajon.bsky.social et @marcjulienne.bsky.social pour leur accueil !

🏮 Assiste-t-on à une vague populiste au #Japon? L'archipel entre t-il dans une instabilité gouvernementale de long-terme?
👉 Retrouvez mon analyse des résultats des #élections partielles de dimanche dernier au Japon pour @ifri.bsky.social

www.ifri.org/fr/editoriau...

[À écouter] 🇫🇷 🌏 La #France dans l'Indo-Pacifique : ambitions et réalités.

🎧 Nouvel épisode du #podcast "Le monde selon l'Ifri". @cpajon.bsky.social y analyse comment la France adapte sa stratégie #indopacifique face aux lignes de fractures qui se dessinent dans la zone. www.ifri.org/fr/audio-le-...

France seeks third way between US and China in Southeast Asia The French leader sent a message of partnership but gave few concrete details on sustained engagement plans.

🔥 Just out: @cpajon.bsky.social's newest article for the @lowyinstitute.bsky.social,‬ as France seeks third way between US and China in Southeast Asia.

French President Emmanuel Macron’s recent visit to Southeast Asia offered a glimpse into France’s evolving Indo-Pacific strategy. ​🌏​

Read more 👇​

The 'Macron Doctrine' goes to Asia: Autonomy with partners, steady on China Macron affirmed that 'France is a friend and ally of the United States, and a friend that cooperates — even if we sometimes disagree and compete — with China”.

🔎 At the Shangri-La Dialogue, French President Emmanuel Macron made an appeal to Asian countries to build a new alliance with Europe while staying firm on China.

👉 @cpajon.bsky.social, in Singapore for the event, analyzes the 'Macron Doctrine' for @japantimes.co.jp

Macron’s Southeast Asia trip: What is behind the French president’s ‘third way’ proposal? In a recent Southeast Asia tour, Macron pitched ‘strategic autonomy’ as a means for nations to avoid choosing sides in the US-China rivalry, offering France and Europe as alternative partners - Anado...

🔎 In a recent Southeast Asia tour, Macron pitched ‘strategic autonomy’ as a means for nations to avoid choosing sides in the US-China rivalry. His push for a ‘third way’ was well received, but 'exceed France’s limited capabilities'.

👉 Read @cpajon.bsky.social‬'s analysis for the Anadolu Agency.

Europe is trying to woo Southeast Asia — but it won’t win it over the U.S. or China "Relationships are built on economic ties in Southeast Asia, more than anything else," Teneo's Bob Herrera-Lim said.

🔎 “Europe, on its own, can offer Southeast Asia a valuable option to hedge against the risks of overdependence on either China or the United States” @cpajon.bsky.social, head of Japan and Indo-Pacific Research for @cnbc.com.

Her latest analysis 👇​

Maritime Security in the Indo-Pacific and the Nordic-Baltic Regions

- Hideshi Tokuchi
- Céline Pajon @cpajon.bsky.social
- Marek Kohv @marekkohv.bsky.social
- Joel Linnainmäki @linnainmaki.bsky.social

Moderator: Elena Atanassova-Cornelis

Baltic Indo-Pacific Forum 2025

The 'Macron Doctrine' goes to Asia: Autonomy with partners, steady on China Macron affirmed that 'France is a friend and ally of the United States, and a friend that cooperates — even if we sometimes disagree and compete — with China”.

At the Shangri-La Dialogue, French President Emmanuel Macron made an appeal to Asian countries to build a new alliance with Europe while staying firm on China.

🔎 Read @cpajon.bsky.social's analysis in @japantimes.co.jp ⤵️
www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2...

#SLD25 🇯🇵 Defense Min Nakatani coined a new concept, calling for an OCEAN (One Cooperative Effort Among Nations) spirit to uphold rules based order, transparence & inclusiveness. Away from FOIP "strategy" or "vision" & any kind of "Asian NATO". He also mentioned strategic autonomy as essential.

EU HR/VP Kaja Kallas at #SLD25 makes a powerful statement to uphold international law. EU seeking closer partnerships with India and Australia. No mention of any association with CPTPP though.

Macron calls for Europe and Asia to unite and resist ‘spheres of coercion’ The French president used a keynote speech at Asia’s top regional security conference to call on European and Indo-Pacific nations to avoid picking sides between China and the U.S.

@ifri-asie.bsky.social’s @cpajon.bsky.social is in Singapore for the Shangri-La Dialogue 2025

Check out her analysis in @japantimes.co.jp and more to come…
👇🏻

www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2025/05...

#SLD25 🇺🇸 Défense Sec. Hegseth hammering that US - a force for peace - will stay engaged in Indo-Pacific. Calling Asian allies & partners to raise défense spending to 5%, as Europeans commit. Europeans should focus on defending their continent where their comparative advantage is.

France and the Philippines should anchor their maritime partnership A more institutionalised maritime partnership between France and the Philippines would enhance maritime security, strengthen regional stability and support sustainable ecosystem management

🇫🇷🇵🇭 France & the Philippines: Stronger Maritime Ties 🌊

By deepening cooperation through joint exercises, agreements & best practices, both nations can enhance security, maritime awareness & blue economy initiatives, reinforcing stability in the Indo-Pacific. 🤝⚓

🔎 @cpajon.bsky.social's article 👇​

📢 Check out @cpajon.bsky.social's new piece on France’s Contributions to Pacific Maritime Governance for the @eastwestcenter.bsky.social.

#France is the only European country capable of making a substantial maritime security contribution to the South Pacific. 🌏​

Read more 👉 shorturl.at/4qKcZ

📢 Dans sa nouvelle analyse, @cpajon.bsky.social décrypte la posture de défense française face aux défis de l'Indo-Pacifique. Avec Clémenceau 2025, le groupe aéronaval multiplie escales et exercices, affirmant la posture de défense de la France dans une région clé.

À lire ici 👉 shorturl.at/lNMqY

📢 Dans sa nouvelle analyse, @cpajon.bsky.social décrypte le rôle du Panama et du Mexique dans la dynamique Indo-Pacifique face aux menaces de Trump, et les implications pour la France.

À lire ici 👉 shorturl.at/pqzOf

🇵🇦🇲🇽Les menaces de #Trump contre le #Panama et le #Mexique remettent ces deux pays sous les projecteurs.
🚨Ma dernière note analyse leur rôle dans la dynamique Indo-Pacifique et les implications pour la #France.
👉 www.ifri.org/fr/briefings...
@ifri.bsky.social @ifri-asie.bsky.social