Hayden Manka

Multi-panel view of the last few days of Hurricane Melissa:

↖️ GOES-19 infrared brightness temp
↗️ GOES-19 visible satellite
↙️ Hurricane hunter planes & flight paths
↘️ Recon-derived flight level wind swath
⬇️ Estimated minimum pressure from recon dropsondes

Tomer always makes the best visualizations, but this is up there with the best... an incredible overview of #Melissa's remarkable evolution over the past 5 days.

Given higher than usual confidence of rapid intensification (RI) from analyses of an exceptionally favorable environment & with the aid of newer hurricane models (HAFS) & Google DeepMind, NHC was able to skillfully predict Melissa's RI days in advance.

Annotating a long 3+ day loop of #Hurricane #Melissa from Kingston, #Jamaica radar.

2️⃣ periods appear where an eyewall replacement cycle, #ERC, looked underway. In both cases, inner eyewall stayed intact & outer bands merged, resulting in a larger eye & strengthening after.

A remarkable evolution 🌀

Hurricane Melissa’s historic journey to becoming one of the most intense tropical cyclones ever recorded on Earth.

A storm we won't forget anytime soon.

Wow. This is easily the most ridiculous dropsonde I’ve ever seen.

188 knot mean winds in the low-levels with gusts over 250 mph

Absolutely scary and historic hurricane headed into SW Jamaica this morning

animal crossing was better when the villagers were genuinely rude

SAMI ventures out of her cave one last time before winter... 🍑💦💞
More: www.patreon.com/c/whisperfoot

Colette~

Character by @alfa995.bsky.social 💛

The 2pm ET public update advisory for Hurricane Melissa has the central pressure down to 906 mb with peak winds of 175 mph. This makes Melissa the 10th strongest hurricane in record in the Atlantic Basin.

Just a follow up to say this did end up verifying:

AT 5pm Oct 25th, #Melissa was at 16.6N 75.5W.
By 11pm Oct 26th, #Melissa was at 16.3N 77.7W.

Just enough S of due W motion to delay serious rainfall hazards in #Jamaica temporary, though onset of catastrophic rainfall impacts likely today.

I am at a loss for words as I watch Hurricane Melissa continue intensifying today. I'm thinking of the many folks in its path who will face compound flooding and wind hazards over an extended period of time.

(Animation shows 1-minute GOES mesoscale imagery since sunrise on October 27.)

From a crewmember on yesterday's Teal 74 mission into now-Category 5 Hurricane #Melissa. As clear of an eye as you will see in the Atlantic basin.

Happy birthday!! @gammainks.bsky.social 🎂🥳

Drew your adorable Vulpix girl Alice~ Hope you like her!!❤️

NOAA tail Doppler radar data also shows an eye forming and the vortex tilt, which was still large last night, has decreased substantially. More signs that indicate Melissa is poised to make a sprint in its intensity.

Hurricane Hunter data show Melissa is near hurricane status and has developed a more sharply peaked wind maximum near the center, especially SW, which was previously the weaker side. With this sharpening and deep convection wrapping upshear, intensification should be much more rapid going forward.

Looks like Melissa is ready to hit the loud pedal. Satellite presentation has improved markedly since yesterday. Hurricane Hunters reporting measurements supporting (near) hurricane strength and an (almost) closed eyewall. Mw images from this morning already showed that nascent core.

The sun has risen over #Melissa which is likely a #hurricane at this point, thanks to recon. The storm has a decently sized eyewall, which will allow for it to RAPIDLY INTENSIFY when shear lowers. Rainfall totals of OVER 30 INCHES are now being forecasted for #Jamaica!

I created this animation of surface wind & pressure from 10-second output from the WRF model using one of our many simulations of the storm.
Notice how dramatically the wind speed decreases over land due to friction. Also pay attention to lower wind speeds over the #Miami metro area.

#Wilma20
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Jill knows how to motivate.. people, to do chores. ;p Which version do you like more, nude apron or fully nude~?

Posted previously on www.patreon.com/alfa995 ❤️

Doe & Queen in their Classic Clothing! 🐱🦌🥽🧪

Doe & Queen Naked 🦌🐱🍑💖

Doe & Queen! For @alfa995.bsky.social ! :3 🐱🦌🍑💖💫

#OC #art #artwork #cat #catgirl #deer #deergirl #furryart #furrygirl #naked #MILF #NSFW #furry #Alfa995 #Doe #Queen

I think it's harder when Doe is around~! >>
Alt on https://www.patreon.com/alfa995 !

Hadn't payed much attention to Jerry as an Invest. When I checked it out today I immediately noticed the good outflow pattern aloft on satellite imagery. Cirrus streaning off in all direcitons. Undoubtedly very helfpul as the system struggles with brisk low-level easterlies.

Thanks to a recent ASCAT pass, we now have Tropical Storm #Jerry in the North Atlantic with winds of around 40kts. The system is expected to peak as a Category 1-2 #hurricane near the Leeward Islands. If you live there, this system is definitely worth watching!

#wx

dog maid

Like and retweet if you LOVE 9/11

And with the 15z advisories -- #Hurricane #Imdelda & #Humberto are just 479 miles apart.

This might be the closest two simultaneous hurricanes have ever been in the Atlantic basin in the satellite era (since ~1975).

Close enough for their outer sfc circulations to interact as well.

My Silksong video series is complete, thank you everyone for the support on this. We've now condensed the entire game and 100 percent completion into four videos youtu.be/-BNbrbZTyqA

I'm 30 Years old today, and I'm having the best birthday

Mint likes to show nice things to her friends~ ;3

Posted previously on https://www.patreon.com/alfa995 !