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Nick Hallmark

@hallmark-nick.bsky.social

Global Economist Bloomberg Economics/Geoeconomics - Creator of Bloomberg Fedspeak - Former IMF & AI Fintech - Bringing AI, NLP and big data to Macroeconomics and Geopolitics | All views and opinions are my own

384 Followers  |  1,053 Following  |  462 Posts  |  Joined: 20.11.2024  |  2.2095

Latest posts by hallmark-nick.bsky.social on Bluesky


Still wondering where the โ€œstop the weaponized DOJ!โ€ folks are

12.01.2026 22:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Jobs go to computers, not overseas, w/o consideration of long term effects on labor + society. Markets boom on profits and productivity feeding domestic inequality w/o the global balancing offset from trade. Policy to โ€œsolveโ€ one paired with policy to create an arguably worse version is inconsistent

26.12.2025 20:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@profgalloway.com @jessicatarlov.bsky.social interesting AI policy talk on the Moderates but made me think, we donโ€™t talk about todayโ€™s AI policy vis a vis the admins โ€œoriginal sinโ€ of globalization. Current WH AI policy is a mirror. โ€œCuringโ€ it with tariffs while feeding AI creates the same issue

26.12.2025 20:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

So the White House fed reporting by news agencies they donโ€™t like into AI and asked it for how each piece was misleading? Those media analysis on the page scream โ€œI learned how to use structured outputs!!โ€

01.12.2025 01:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Finally got to see DC National Guard in action beyond standing or just walking on my commute this morning!

They were doing a cute fall photo shoot on the mall. Totes Adorbs ๐Ÿฅฐ canโ€™t wait for the Christmas card

12.11.2025 15:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I wonder if DJT will sue Fox and Laura Ingraham for defamation because they edited his answers

12.11.2025 01:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Our surgical orthodontists love them

12.11.2025 00:08 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Do annotators agree with each other? No

But they agree with themselves, right? Also no

11.11.2025 16:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

His children lose their father's care.

Our economy loses his skill.

Our treasury loses his tax payments.

This family separation makes America poorer & less joyful.

President Reagan's amnesty program would have let him become a citizen after paperwork & paying $185 ($550 w/inflation).

11.11.2025 10:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 59    ๐Ÿ” 23    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
07.11.2025 20:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Trump very clearly said if there was a LEGAL way it would be his Honor to pay it! If only the courts would give him a legally path!!

Multiple court rulings insisting he MUST fund SNAP are clearly not enough legal basis and he needs to appeal for more clarity since paying is what he wants to do

07.11.2025 20:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

I mean this could easily just be a rebranded (better branded) push for renewables now that they are cheaper across the board per kWh

07.11.2025 00:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Or like seem confused that โ€œcommunismโ€ has only existed since at best 1848 and really since 1917 in the form he meansโ€ฆ

06.11.2025 22:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Incredible thread

05.11.2025 00:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

#EconSky #EduSky #PolicySky

04.11.2025 18:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 13    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The member level difference can be a bit noisy depending on how much the talk and what was most recent. Definitely imperfect since itโ€™s 100% model driven but usually the narrative is right

31.10.2025 18:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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This is what we see in our model of Fed member statements. The gap on either side of this debate has been fluctuating but the blocks are really the hawks, the moderates, Waller Bowman and some doves, and then Miran on his own. I would suspect Hammack would have been a third dissent.

31.10.2025 17:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image Post image 31.10.2025 14:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Ok some of these โ€œAIโ€ companies look like ML tech rebranded as AI. I mean if I was starting a startup that used ML/transformer model LMs I would 1000% call it AI

28.10.2025 21:51 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐Ÿ˜ข

28.10.2025 17:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
23.10.2025 21:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 246    ๐Ÿ” 57    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 12    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4

Anyone remember when they called on Chair Powell to go to jail because of changes to the Fedโ€™s renovations?

22.10.2025 22:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

*US SEEKS TO QUADRUPLE BEEF PURCHASES FROM ARGENTINA: POLITICO

22.10.2025 19:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

If only there was an MCP tool that gave Claude persistent hierarchical memory of your preferences ๐Ÿ‘€

21.10.2025 22:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This idea of a cognitive core memory system is exactly what I have been toying with recently

21.10.2025 22:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

While I generally agree with the point, Iโ€™m not sure the odds of any positive return should be the benchmark. If having all my money saved for a 20yr period earns me back a real return of eg 1% then was the opportunity cost worth it?

20.10.2025 20:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Openrouter integration is massive this has been my biggest issue

10.10.2025 19:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Am I insane? And people say prediction markets are a good measure of something?

10.10.2025 19:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Incredible self awareness

10.10.2025 14:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Restoring Gold Standard Science By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, including section 7301 of title 5, United

๐Ÿค”

09.10.2025 22:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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