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lorcs

@lorcs.bsky.social

FFC FPL Analytics FC

846 Followers  |  316 Following  |  446 Posts  |  Joined: 13.11.2024  |  2.1106

Latest posts by lorcs.bsky.social on Bluesky

Post image 21.05.2025 21:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1184    ๐Ÿ” 331    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 15    ๐Ÿ“Œ 14

nothing has quite annoyed me in fpl like that palmer yc

16.05.2025 21:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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NEW with @simonkuper.bsky.social:

The prevailing narrative around increased injuries and player workload in elite football is wrong.

Players donโ€™t play any more football than in the past. What has changed is a sharp rise in intensity of play.

Not more minutes, but each minute exerts more load.

15.05.2025 12:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 699    ๐Ÿ” 201    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 50    ๐Ÿ“Œ 65

End of an era. Pioneers

14.05.2025 19:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Imo, the most effective ways to gain leverage on FH is not to chase low EO punts, but to build team stacks - particularly in defence. It's such a powerful strategy that DFS (daily fantasy sports) tournaments have stacking penalties to combat this

There was only one def triple up in these drafts...

24.04.2025 22:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 75    ๐Ÿ” 11    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 11    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Amazing thank you

23.04.2025 07:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@elevenify.com hello good sir, do you know when gw34 numbers will be up on the site?

22.04.2025 12:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@fplreview.com hello sir, can i ask whether sess is currently modelled as a full back or a winger?

20.04.2025 20:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Line chart titled โ€œCan you still win your mini-league?โ€ showing the probability of overcoming a point gap in Fantasy Premier League depending on manager skill level. Three curves represent different matchups: โ€œPrime vs Randomโ€ (highest comeback chance), โ€œRandom vs Random,โ€ and โ€œPrime vs Primeโ€ (lowest comeback chance). X-axis shows point gap (0โ€“150), Y-axis shows probability of catching up (0%โ€“100%).

Below the main chart are three smaller histograms showing weekly point difference distributions between manager types, along with normal curve fits. The โ€œPrime vs Randomโ€ histogram is skewed in favor of Prime.

Prime managers are top 1000 most successful managers based on FPL finishes, while random sample is an overall sample among all FPL managers.

Line chart titled โ€œCan you still win your mini-league?โ€ showing the probability of overcoming a point gap in Fantasy Premier League depending on manager skill level. Three curves represent different matchups: โ€œPrime vs Randomโ€ (highest comeback chance), โ€œRandom vs Random,โ€ and โ€œPrime vs Primeโ€ (lowest comeback chance). X-axis shows point gap (0โ€“150), Y-axis shows probability of catching up (0%โ€“100%). Below the main chart are three smaller histograms showing weekly point difference distributions between manager types, along with normal curve fits. The โ€œPrime vs Randomโ€ histogram is skewed in favor of Prime. Prime managers are top 1000 most successful managers based on FPL finishes, while random sample is an overall sample among all FPL managers.

You're 40 points behind with 6 GWs to go. Can you still win your mini-league?
Depends who you're up against.
Based on past gameweek averages, here's what data says.
#FPL

18.04.2025 18:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 31    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

It's been a long couple of months for Premier League fans ๐Ÿ˜…

07.04.2025 14:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 15    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image 05.04.2025 19:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is HUGE

31.03.2025 13:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Skill
Issue

16.03.2025 15:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Well that's the last time I touch horses ๐Ÿ˜‚

14.03.2025 16:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

โค๏ธโค๏ธโค๏ธโค๏ธ

13.03.2025 10:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Awesome !!

13.03.2025 10:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is great, thank you so much.

I noticed that I cannot run solves with above 1 decay - is this possible? Very useful for wildcards!

12.03.2025 20:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Absolutely brilliant updates !!! Perfectly timed too.

12.03.2025 19:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Mo Salah broke the all-time FPL record last GW, with 10 GWs to spare

FPL community: We're all selling, right, maybe for a -4

10.03.2025 14:51 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 46    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 15    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Conny Hill when I get my hands on you

11.03.2025 16:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿ’น PL GW28 matchups

This weekend's PL projections via betting markets:
๐Ÿ”น projected goals & clean sheet odds
๐Ÿ”น top rated attacks & defences
๐Ÿ”น WDL odds
๐Ÿ”น #FPL assistant manager projections

05.03.2025 08:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 43    ๐Ÿ” 12    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

hollywood and the music industry were able to... not totally eliminate this but significantly reduce this by accepting where customers actually were and adjusting the business model with spotify, netflix et al.

is football going to whine about it or accept the new reality and adjust?

27.02.2025 11:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 60    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

JP Vs Beto Vs Dango my decision this week

Another fun one !

24.02.2025 11:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image 23.02.2025 16:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 35    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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A -25 game week.

However I stay at MD3 and real mins has gone up a lot (Trossard cap was good for something!)

23.02.2025 21:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The draw ----> away win trend continues!

23.02.2025 21:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Salah xgi of .58
Trossard xgi of .55

Not far from bookies projections

But an absolutely brutal swing

23.02.2025 19:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Welp. From my most favourite to my least favourite gw of the season. Brutal 70% red, Salah punishing me for a captaincy decision and process I wouldn't normally follow.

23.02.2025 18:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 11    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Watkins real mins have taken my real mins EV to the stars as well. Very fortunate, despite JP doing his best to sink all my ranks.

20.02.2025 17:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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