David Karpa

Ja das ist sehr schade

Monte Carlo multiverses

Yeah all of this isn't great.. I sometimes think it would have been better if cGPT was never launched

I don't think it's worth the fresh water used for cooling. Not even to make a point about the necessity of humans in the loop

Such an important paper

What if reposting far-right takes in twitter screenshots helps them more than us? 🤔

Great episode, thank you!

A good moment to advertise this week’s Rethink where we discuss the promise of AI with proponents and skeptics alike and I make a bad stochastic parrot joke. With @emollick.bsky.social Rosalind Picard, Mike Wooldridge and more.

But, I think @damonberes.com is right.

www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...

In 2022, Michael Rochlitz and I designed a survey experiment about government surveillance tracking protesters. Back then it was hypothetical.
ICE is now doing exactly what we described.
New post on what our data showed and why privacy is a political question.

dkarpa.github.io/blog/2026/su...

Call for Proposals: Data Collection for Replication+Novel Political Science Survey Experiments Alexander Coppock and Mary McGrath January 27, 2026 We invite proposals for a survey experiment replication+novel design competition. Se- lected replication+novel design survey experiments will be conducted on large samples of American respondents, quota sampled to match U.S. Census margins and filtered for quality and attention by the survey sample provider Rep Data (repdata.com). Each proposal consists of two parts: (1) a replication study of an existing, previously published survey experiment, and (2) a novel experimental design on a topic of the authors’ choosing. The replication studies and reanalyses of the existing studies will be combined into a meta-paper to be co-authored by all authors of accepted proposals along with the princi- pal investigators (Coppock and McGrath). As a condition for acceptance, authors commit to sharing the data and producing a write-up of the findings from their novel design for submission to a scholarly journal, and public posting of a working paper pre-publication.

🎺 Call for proposals 🎺

1️⃣ replicate an existing experiment
2️⃣ run a novel experiment

on repdata.com

3️⃣ coauthor with Mary McGrath and me to meta-analyze the replications and existing studies
4️⃣ publish your study

details: alexandercoppock.com/replication_...
applications open Feb 1

please repost!

Girl are you NA? Because I'm missing you

Truly amazing

Not a single fork will remain

Austerity and Populism A large literature explains the rise of populist parties with the economic insecurities stemming from globalization and technological change. But despite the long-standing focus of the comparative and...

Very happy that our review article (with the @annualreviews.bsky.social) on „Austerity and Populism“ is now available as preprint: www.annualreviews.org/content/jour... - with @sattlersthomas.bsky.social

"the relationship between downward class mobility is only mediated by life satisfaction and income insecurity, suggesting that the class route to far-right voting is largely linked to existential and material issues. "

People misperceive their rank in the wealth distribution: the wealthy underestimate how much they have compared to others, and people at the bottom of the distribution think that they are doing better compared to others than they actually do. Our research shows that misperceptions shape for savings.

I find cats funny. They look so dumb, yet so cute

times are changing and many theories were just made for a time that has passed. this has to sink in

Very interesting thought. Analogously, the BBC staying on X might boost its value for users while also needlessly legitimazing it

🧵 PhD position (75%) in Political Behavior / Political Communication / CSS
📍 LMU Munich | ⏳ 3 years | 🗓 start March–May 2026

We’re hiring for DemocraGPT, a @bidt.bsky.social-funded project developing an AI-based training for difficult conversations in times of growing polarization

Great thread about the demand-side for non-democracy. Jacob unpacks a lot here and provides useful literature. Gather, folks!

I have a hunch that there are mostly conditional democrats. Outcomes always matter. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

The more they matter, the more motivated reasoning about the process (in this case democracy)

"However, executive constraints appear less central to citizens’ preferences, especially when set against the promise of economic prosperity."

😊🌞😊🌞😊morning ritual

Everyday at exactly six AM I get a new email from someone working for the publisher rejecting my already accepted paper for an arbitrary technical reason. This gives me the stability I need to get through the day

Terrific read!

Bros pay for this kind of coaching