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Gustavo Diaz

@gustavodiaz.org.bsky.social

Methods at Northwestern Political Science. https://gustavodiaz.org/

205 Followers  |  129 Following  |  10 Posts  |  Joined: 25.07.2023  |  2.1108

Latest posts by gustavodiaz.org on Bluesky

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๐Ÿ†APSA's Experimental Research Section Best Paper Award๐Ÿ†
Did you present an experiment at APSA2026? Submit your conference paper for the Experimental Research Section's best paper award by April 15, 2026. @sumitra.bsky.social @talbotmandrews.bsky.social and I are excited to read your work!

28.10.2025 01:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Currently in FirstView: In โ€œBalancing Precision and Retention in Experimental Design,โ€ @gustavodiaz.org and Erin Rossiter study how experimental design choices can increase precision when estimating treatment effects. Specifically, they examine block-randomized and pre-post designs.

14.10.2025 16:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 19    ๐Ÿ” 9    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Just over one week to go before the September 16 deadline.

Excited to review the applications and engage with folksโ€™ work!

08.09.2025 16:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Check out this fascinating paper by my colleagues Erin Rossiter and Jeff Harden. Such a cool design and interesting findings. Plus, Taylor!

29.07.2025 03:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 15    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
โ€œBalancing Precision and Retention in Experimental Design.โ€
Political Analysis, 2025, 1โ€“10. 
https://doi.org/10.1017/pan.2025.10008

Gustavo Diaz and Erin Rossiter

In experimental social science, precise treatment effect estimation is of utmost importance, and researchers can make design choices to increase precision. Specifically, block-randomized and pre-post designs are promoted as effective means to increase precision. However, implementing these designs requires pre-treatment covariates, and collecting this information may decrease sample sizes, which in and of itself harms precision. Therefore, despite the literatureโ€™s recommendation to use block-randomized and pre-post designs, it remains unclear when to expect these designs to increase precision in applied settings. We use real-world data to demonstrate a counterintuitive result: precision gains from block-randomized or pre-post designs can withstand significant sample loss that may arise during implementation. Our findings underscore the importance of incorporating researchersโ€™ practical concerns into existing experimental design advice.

โ€œBalancing Precision and Retention in Experimental Design.โ€ Political Analysis, 2025, 1โ€“10. https://doi.org/10.1017/pan.2025.10008 Gustavo Diaz and Erin Rossiter In experimental social science, precise treatment effect estimation is of utmost importance, and researchers can make design choices to increase precision. Specifically, block-randomized and pre-post designs are promoted as effective means to increase precision. However, implementing these designs requires pre-treatment covariates, and collecting this information may decrease sample sizes, which in and of itself harms precision. Therefore, despite the literatureโ€™s recommendation to use block-randomized and pre-post designs, it remains unclear when to expect these designs to increase precision in applied settings. We use real-world data to demonstrate a counterintuitive result: precision gains from block-randomized or pre-post designs can withstand significant sample loss that may arise during implementation. Our findings underscore the importance of incorporating researchersโ€™ practical concerns into existing experimental design advice.

"We use real-world data to demonstrate a counterintuitive result: precision gains from block-randomized or pre-post designs can withstand significant sample loss that may arise during implementation."

@gustavodiaz.org & Erin Rossiter via @polanalysis.bsky.social doi.org/10.1017/pan....

23.07.2025 13:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
The image displays the text "POLITICAL ANALYSIS" in bold white letters on a red background, above the hashtag "#FirstView" in white text, set against a yellow background.

The image displays the text "POLITICAL ANALYSIS" in bold white letters on a red background, above the hashtag "#FirstView" in white text, set against a yellow background.

#OpenAccess from โ€ช@polanalysis.bsky.social -

Balancing Precision and Retention in Experimental Design - cup.org/44E5isE

- @gustavodiaz.org & Erin Rossiter

#FirstView

21.07.2025 10:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
BJPolS abstract discussing the potential influence of a politician's gender on voter expectations and perceptions in Argentina, focusing on responses from an online survey experiment about a hypothetical city mayor.

BJPolS abstract discussing the potential influence of a politician's gender on voter expectations and perceptions in Argentina, focusing on responses from an online survey experiment about a hypothetical city mayor.

From April 2025 -

Ignoring Womenโ€™s Performance: A Survey Experiment on Policy Implementation in Argentina - cup.org/4clGHLw

- @gustavodiaz.org, @viroliveros.bsky.social, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro & Matthew S. Winters

#OpenAccess

16.06.2025 08:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Postdoc Position Adaptive Structures Lab | Lucia Stein-Montalvo ๐Ÿ“ข Theย Adaptive Structures Lab (adaptivestructureslab.com)ย atย Northwestern Universityย (northwestern.edu) is hiring! Please share this post with your network. We are seeking aย postdoctoral researcherย t...

๐Ÿ“ข The Adaptive Structures Lab is hiring a postdoc! Learn more here: www.linkedin.com/posts/lsmont...

28.05.2025 22:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The Experimental Research section of the American Political Science Association (@experimentsapsa.bsky.social) invites research proposals from post-prospectus PhD students for its Experimental Research Early-Career Fellowship program. Share this post! @apsa.bsky.social, @poscresearch.bsky.social

26.05.2025 15:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 19    ๐Ÿ” 30    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

I'm super excited to be giving a tutorial at the useR conference (Duke) this summer!

Let me know if you're thinking about signing up, or if you'll be in Durham and want to chat over coffee.

I'd love to connect with other #Rstats enthusiasts!

20.05.2025 23:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 21    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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hermione granger from harry potter is wearing a black sweater and a red tie and looking at the camera . Alt: hermione granger from harry potter is wearing a black sweater and a red tie and looking at the camera .

Virtual and IRL in Ann Arbor seats still available for my @icpsrsummer.bsky.social workshop on Multilevel Modelling in the Social Sciences from July 7-11. It's 40 hours or a semester of content in just 5 days. Bring your project data! myumi.ch/JwM8e #SumProg25 #ICPSR

24.04.2025 20:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Thrilled to share my article โ€œThe Right Kind of (Gay) Man?โ€ was accepted @thejop.bsky.social I started it as a 1st-year grad student, it became my MA, then a dissertation & job market paper. Itโ€™s the piece Iโ€™m most proud of (and relieved to finally share) ๐Ÿณ๏ธโ€๐ŸŒˆ www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

16.05.2025 17:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 68    ๐Ÿ” 17    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 7    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Come work with me! McMaster is the best Canadian research university w/a medical school that you've never heard ofโ„ข!

Though there are areas listed, the field is actually wide open! These Research Chairs come with research funding.

universityaffairs.ca/search-job/?...

12.05.2025 14:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 17    ๐Ÿ” 10    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Hey, I'm on the Casual Inference podcast this week!

I've been a massive fan of @lucystats.bsky.social and @epiellie.bsky.social since Episode 1 of Casual Inference. Talking to great experts (and conversationalists!) like them was a ton of fun.

Thanks so much for the invitation!

25.04.2025 11:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 62    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

"It was derivatives all along"

24.04.2025 03:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Diaz, Gustavo, Virginia Oliveros, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro, and Matthew S. Winters. โ€œIgnoring Womenโ€™s Performance: A Survey Experiment on Policy Implementation in Argentina.โ€ British Journal of Political Science 55 (2025): e54. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123424000668.

Abstract 

How does a politicianโ€™s gender shape citizen responses to performance in office? Much of the existing literature suggests that voters hold higher expectations of women politicians and are more likely to punish them for malfeasance. An alternative perspective suggests that voters view men politicians as more agentic and are, therefore, more responsive to their performance, whether good or bad. Using an online survey experiment in Argentina, we randomly assign respondents to information that the distribution of a government food programme in a hypothetical city is biased or unbiased, and we also randomly assign the gender of the mayor. We find that respondents are more responsive to performance information โ€“ both positive and negative โ€“ about men mayors. We find little evidence that respondents hold different expectations of malfeasance by men versus women politicians. These results contribute to our understanding of how citizens process performance information in a context with few women politicians.

Diaz, Gustavo, Virginia Oliveros, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro, and Matthew S. Winters. โ€œIgnoring Womenโ€™s Performance: A Survey Experiment on Policy Implementation in Argentina.โ€ British Journal of Political Science 55 (2025): e54. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123424000668. Abstract How does a politicianโ€™s gender shape citizen responses to performance in office? Much of the existing literature suggests that voters hold higher expectations of women politicians and are more likely to punish them for malfeasance. An alternative perspective suggests that voters view men politicians as more agentic and are, therefore, more responsive to their performance, whether good or bad. Using an online survey experiment in Argentina, we randomly assign respondents to information that the distribution of a government food programme in a hypothetical city is biased or unbiased, and we also randomly assign the gender of the mayor. We find that respondents are more responsive to performance information โ€“ both positive and negative โ€“ about men mayors. We find little evidence that respondents hold different expectations of malfeasance by men versus women politicians. These results contribute to our understanding of how citizens process performance information in a context with few women politicians.

MUST READ new article from @gustavodiaz.org, @viroliveros.bsky.social, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro & Matthew S. Winters via @bjpols.bsky.social

Ignoring Womenโ€™s Performance: A Survey Experiment on Policy Implementation in Argentina

doi.org/10.1017/S000...

#openaccess #polisky #NUResearch

04.04.2025 21:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 14    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
BJPolS abstract discussing the potential influence of a politician's gender on voter expectations and perceptions in Argentina, focusing on responses from an online survey experiment about a hypothetical city mayor.

BJPolS abstract discussing the potential influence of a politician's gender on voter expectations and perceptions in Argentina, focusing on responses from an online survey experiment about a hypothetical city mayor.

NEW -

Ignoring Womenโ€™s Performance: A Survey Experiment on Policy Implementation in Argentina - cup.org/4clGHLw

- @gustavodiaz.org, @viroliveros.bsky.social, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro & Matthew S. Winters

#OpenAccess

02.04.2025 11:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Text describing a call for PhD applications at Western University in London, Ontario Canada

Text describing a call for PhD applications at Western University in London, Ontario Canada

Please share! Have an MA student or current PhD student who wants/needs to get out of the US (or not go there)? Western is accepting PhD late apps. Info here: politicalscience.uwo.ca/graduate/gra...
Apply here: politicalscience.uwo.ca/graduate/pro...
Or contact Grad Chair: Cameron.Anderson@uwo.ca

06.03.2025 17:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 11    ๐Ÿ” 9    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Put me in, coach!

20.12.2024 03:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thanks and sorry for the delay! It's a mix of topics ranging from causal inference to concept formation to fieldwork. There is already one discussant so you would split papers. If you email me at the address on my website I can tell you more.

14.11.2023 14:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Polisky! Still need one more!

10.11.2023 23:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Polisky! I'm looking for volunters for chair/discussant for a panel on fieldwork and qualitative methods for the next MPSA conference. Ping or email me if interested๐Ÿ‘€

09.11.2023 05:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 10    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

He grows the most when we are not looking!

29.09.2023 15:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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We here ๐Ÿ‘€

29.09.2023 14:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Assessing the Validity of Prevalence Estimates in Double List Experiments | Journal of Experimental ... Assessing the Validity of Prevalence Estimates in Double List Experiments

Hey polisky. My paper on double list experiments is finally out online at JEPS! I started working on this year 2 of grad school and it's finally out! This will come in print as part of a great special issue ๐Ÿ‘€

doi.org/10.1017/XPS....

18.09.2023 14:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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About Conference - Midwest Political Science Association

Hello Polisky. I'll be the Methodology section chair for MPSA 2024. I would love to chat if you have cool panel ideas!

Proposal deadline October 9: www.mpsanet.org/conference/

08.09.2023 13:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Hey Polisky, Illinois (UIUC) is hiring in IPE.
Political economy broadly defined (eg goods, capital, labor, services, climate change, human rights, migration). Expertise in statistical methods is desirable.
If you or anyone you know is interested, announcement here:
illinois.csod.com/ux/ats/caree...

28.08.2023 21:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 25    ๐Ÿ” 19    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Pick me, coach!

25.08.2023 11:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@gustavodiaz.org is following 19 prominent accounts