Peter K. Enns

I’ve been working with @verasight.bsky.social on various AI projects (including this and some other experiments, results TBD) and here’s a standout quote:

"Fully one-quarter of executives told us they thought AI systems could replace all or most of their jobs"

report.verasight.io/ai-report-ju...

Two pertinent graphs from me tonight...

First, U.S. support for bombing Iran is very low — much lower than support was at the time for the American military attacking Afghanistan, Iraq, and ISIS.

Link: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/polls-amer...

The "Abundance Agenda" is broadly popular, per our new June Strength In Numbers/ @verasight.bsky.social poll.

The exception is for local zoning reforms.

Here’s our alternative to the other pretty obviously biased polls floating around on the subject: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trump-appr...

One huge upside of our independent poll with @verasight.bsky.social : Not having to publish in peer-reviewed journals or sell party strategy means we can publish null effects!

We tested economics and immigration messaging. Fx are too small to pick up.

More: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trump-appr...

🚨 Call for Abstracts!
I'm excited to announce the 2nd workshop on Directions of Polarization, Social Norms, and Trust in Societies
@ MIT on Dec 5-6
Keynotes from
@bgoldberg.bsky.social & @adamberinsky.bsky.social

🗓️ Deadline to submit: July 14, 2025
🔗 sites.google.com/view/polariz...

New poll: Trump and deportations unpopular with voters, Dems up 8 in House vote More: 60% see ethics/corruption problems in Trump administration, and the "Abundance Agenda" is popular (except zoning reform)

Some of the best, most creative public polling in America is coming from @gelliottmorris.com's substack. Everyone should be asking more open ends like this one.

This is a call to subscribe, and also to every other public pollster to up their game.

www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trump-appr...

Insights from @gelliottmorris.com on June Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll dropping Monday.

The great Upper Midwest standoff: Nation thinks Minnesota, Wisconsin and Iowa are all 'equally good' A national survey finally addresses the age-old question: “Which state is better? Minnesota, Wisconsin or Iowa?” The most popular answer? “All are equally good.”

My latest, via @mprnews.org, seeks to answer the question:

Which state is better: Minnesota, Wisconsin or Iowa?

www.mprnews.org/story/2025/0... cc: @apmresearchlab.org

data: @verasight.bsky.social's #aapor25 survey

What voters think about Trump, in their own words Republicans said the president is doing "great," while Democrats think he's "chaotic" and "treasonous"

Cool analysis from @gelliottmorris.com using latest Strength In Numbers / @verasight.bsky.social survey: What voters think about Trump, in their own words open.substack.com/pub/gelliott...

Indeed, striking how these over-time patterns align with the results from @gelliottmorris.com's clever survey experiment the May Strength In Numbers/@verasight.bsky.social survey!

Excited to see the contributions to this month's Strength in Numbers/@verasight.bsky.social survey.

Attending #ICA25?
Stop by Verasight Booth #219 from June 12th - 15th to explore #surveyresearch and #dataquality! Add a free question to our next national survey! @icahdq.bsky.social

Strength In Numbers | G. Elliott Morris | Substack Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion, and democracy. A community for thinking smarter with data. Click to read Strength In Numbers, by G. Elliott Morris, a Substack…

I'm starting to plan the questions for our second Strength In Numbers/Verasight survey, coming mid-June.

We want the poll to be collaborative and transparent, to increase trust in polling and help people understand the full process behind polls.

Send Qs here: www.gelliottmorris.com/survey/3050926

The @verasight.bsky.social Team is looking forward to presenting "Why Measuring Demographic Variables Is Harder Than You Think (And What to Do About It)" today at 4:15pm in Midway Suite 7/8. #AAPOR2025 @aapor.bsky.social Learn more here:

Great presenting on civic participation & elections at #AAPOR25, alongside
@masahiko-aida.bsky.social, Dino P. Christenson of Wash U
Oliver Corpus of Loyola Marymount,
@peterenns.bsky.social of @verasight.bsky.social, & my co-author Penn State's Eric Plutzer

@aapor.bsky.social @apmresearchlab.org

The Future of Election Polls How to increase accuracy and lower costs with online nonprobability surveys

Check out the @verasight.bsky.social team's recent research on the future of election polling: medium.com/3streams/the...

The Future of Election Polls How to increase accuracy and lower costs with online nonprobability surveys

New from @peterenns.bsky.social et al medium.com/3streams/the...

The panel includes an amazing lineup of experts on AI and Survey Research including @davmicrot.bsky.social, @soubhikbarari.bsky.social, @stephnie.bsky.social, and more!!: aapor.confex.com/aapor/2025/m...

I want to give a shout out to @verasight.bsky.social for working with us on this. They were easy to work with, professional, understood the survey design easily and programmed it very quickly. Very pleased and excited about the partnership! Releasing more from this over the coming days.

New poll: Americans oppose cuts to Medicaid, want Democrats to control the U.S. House ...and Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2024 rematch. Results from the inaugural Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll

NEW Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll out this AM. We find cuts to Medicaid deeply unpopular (58% oppose to 14%), Trump underwater on most issues (-16 net approval), Democrats ahead on the generic ballot by 6 points, and Harris leading a 2024 rematch

Full results in this thread

Subscribe to Strength In Numbers Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion, and democracy. A community for thinking smarter with data. Click to read Strength In Numbers, by G. Elliott Morris, a Substack publicatio...

First Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll coming at 8 AM tomorrow. Will have results on Trump approval, trust on parties to handle issues and prioritization, an experiment testing immigration messaging, House generic ballot, Medicaid, 2024 rematch + more

Subscribe! www.gelliottmorris.com/subscribe

Mean 2024 Election Error by Methodology Non-probability pollsters who are AAPOR Transparency Initiative members and/or Roper Center Data Providers have the lowest average election error.

Nonprob presidential election surveys conducted by firms that are @aapor.bsky.social Transparency Initiative members and/or who archive data w/ @ropercenter.bsky.social were the most accurate in 2024: datawrapper.dwcdn.net/rxlXh/8/

The Future of Election Polls How to increase accuracy and lower costs with online nonprobability surveys

Important one from @peterenns.bsky.social and colleagues on future of election polling -- just posted @3streamsblog.bsky.social medium.com/3streams/the...

Really excited for @verasight.bsky.social's partnership with @gelliottmorris.com & Strength In Numbers on a monthly survey!

Thanks to everyone who has subscribed to Strength In Numbers so far to support independent, data-driven political analysis. You have made it the second fastest growing publication on Substack!

Join almost 20,000 like-minded readers:
gelliottmorris.com/subscribe/

Great to see this article open access!

The Verasight Team is looking forward to presenting "Why Measuring Demographic Variables Is Harder Than You Think (And What to Do About It)"
aapor.confex.com/aapor/2025/m...
@aapor.bsky.social

The US crisis is political, not constitutional The Constitution provides instructions for how to resolve the crises generated by executive overreach, but partisanship thwarts the remedy.

Must read this morning from @jenvictor.bsky.social @misofact.bsky.social “US Constitution is imperfect, but it has clear instructions for resolving the current crisis.” misofact.substack.com/p/the-us-cri...

Great to partner with TrueDot.ai on survey research featured in this @politico.com article:

www.politico.com/news/2025/04...

Trump's executive order directing DOJ to investigate ActBlue makes clear we no longer a fully democratic country - my comments to the Associated Press
apnews.com/article/wisc...