Carl Allen

Misleading poll data achievement unlocked

When they learned hating trans people was a more effective wedge issue, they stopped pretending to care about this one

If some doctors say something you don't agree with and you don't believe them, then some other doctors say something you agree with and you believe them, it wasn't the doctors saying it that mattered to you.

Appeals to authority are the crutches of a weak mind.

"Working harder" used to mean GETTING AHEAD

Now it means getting by

This is one of the simplest and most important distinctions between the two systems.

The year was 1969

Black people were not allowed to share pools with white people, so Mr. Rogers triggered a lot of "conservatives" by doing that on his show.

Today, he would be called "political" and "woke" for this

I know the secret code!

People who oppose the popular vote do so out of fear it would do exactly what the Electoral College does.

Can't make this up.

Vaccines again saving lives. Another triumph of science.

Source: www.nejm.org/doi/full/10....

People are saying JD Vance shouldn't have been heckled at Disneyland because he had his kids with him

Oh, boohoo, those poor kids

Why should they have to HEAR people being mean just because of the family they were born in?

It's not like they're being separated from their parents or deported.

Republicans move to block Democratic effort to force release of Epstein files White House has come under fire for not releasing documents related to late sex offender Jeffrey Epstein

Democrats want to release the #EpsteinFiles

Republicans voted to block it.

Imagine how bad it must be. Vote every one of them out.

www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

Democrats in office: make a lot of tough, imperfect decisions to make things better.

Rs in office: do nothing they campaigned on, cut taxes for the rich again lol get f**ked

Ds campaigning: a lot of tough, imperfect decisions to make things better, here's our plan

Media: here's why that plan is imperfect and therefore terrible

Rs campaigning: we're gonna do everything and it will cost nothing

Media: candidate says they will do everything and it will cost nothing

Capitalism breeds innovation...

Only if that innovation can be profited from.

That second part is important.

Everyone wants the world to be a better place.

The important detail is: "for whom"?

The Republican Party is so pathetic that their only accomplishments came when the party was run by liberals and progressives.

It'd be like asking someone from Los Angeles who the most important person from their city is, and them saying "Jackie Robinson"

Chart a few yrs old, point remains

Your wealth is closer to a billion than most billionaires are to Bezos

"Tax the rich" doesn't mean six/seven figure earners

Capitalism has no self-correcting mechanisms except guillotines and famine

Those are either/or propositions

Regulations can prevent that

Credit scores are poll numbers for finance bros

I will not be taking questions

Here @samwang.bsky.social put into his own words that he believed Hillary was basically certain to win because of "meta-margin"

A metric he made up, based on the already junk "margin"

People who don't know what they're doing should either fix their methods, or quit.

"A secretary of education so stupid she can't even spell AI"

Sounds like a punchline to a B-tier insult

Instead it's an A-tier description of reality

This has a lot to do with a multi-century head start

Thoughts and prayers to everyone impacted by the flooding in Texas, and extra superduper thoughts and prayers to families who lost loved ones.

Now is not the time to politicize this issue. This was a lone flood. Nothing we can do to prevent this. Thoughts and prayers.

#Texas

A fun brain teaser for you in my field, Steven.

Two competing polls: Poll 1 and Poll 2.

They conduct polls - same time, etc, all else equal

Poll 1:
Candidate A 46%
Candidate B 44%
Undecided 10%

Poll 2
Candidate A 44%
Candidate B 46%
Undecided 10%

Election:
A 51%
B 49%

Which was more accurate?

Here is one of the best, most accessible explanations for math or non-math people for how to grasp difficult probability concepts.. especially related to highly uncertain events like dice rolls...or elections.

And also how the margin of error works

PS I'm not saying my way is the only way (or even "best" way)

Just that it would be very effective

Gaining popular support for the enforcement of certain laws requires seeing people you don't like taking advantage of them

Mamdani is such a great candidate that they can't even argue against his policy, only question his ethnicity

I love it

Who will hold them accountable?

Yes, I would buy an @aoc.bsky.social perfume. Smells like Democracy.

Universal Basic Incense from @maxwellfrost.bsky.social

Reusable Tote Bag: "Redistribute Wealth, Not Plastic" from @sanders.senate.gov

A Blanket that Says:
"Cover Everyone." @warren.senate.gov

Who's got more? @democrats.org

I am absolutely serious when I say this

Currently elected Ds who are popular should do similar things

The next D President should also do it

Enormous strategic value in doing exactly what they do. Use the proceeds to boost underfunded races, worthy causes

As long as it's "legal" make Rs squirm