The new direction of travel: "securonomics"
02.10.2025 14:06 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0@sjrickard.bsky.social
Professor London School of Economics. Trade, subsidies, state aid, government procurement, industrial policy. Author of "Spending to Win". sjrickard.com/home
The new direction of travel: "securonomics"
02.10.2025 14:06 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0The African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), established by US President Clinton in 2000, expired yesterday at midnight. For 32 African countries, (even more) uncertainty now looms over #tariffs, exports, and jobs.
abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory...
#TombTuesday In Roscommon Ireland, this portal tomb is known as Tinnacarra ("Stone of Fire") or Ballynanultagh Dolmen. It has strikingly tall portal stones (~2.4 metres) . Estimated to date from between 4200 BC and 2900 BC.
πΈ My own
#TombTuesday #Prehistory #Ireland
Let me know if you see one like this in the US!
29.09.2025 14:16 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0If this price differential for a high-street brand skirt is due to US #tariffs, it suggests a tariff pass-through rate of 100%, controlling for the exchange rate. But of course, there could be other factors at play.
29.09.2025 10:43 β π 36 π 9 π¬ 3 π 1In the UK, 1 in 4 people aged 18 to 34 own crypto! π€―
26.09.2025 10:03 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0China opens way to WTO reform by ceding βdeveloping countryβ benefits - on.ft.com/3W7XutW via @FT
24.09.2025 18:45 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0True, Peter. But maybe it could help with discussions about reform of special and differential treatment? And/or US engagement? Maybe I'm just feeling optimistic on this sunny Autumn morning.
24.09.2025 07:44 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0This is big news. Could it unlock at least some of the stalemate at try WTO? π€
24.09.2025 07:30 β π 8 π 1 π¬ 1 π 1βThey did so by forming coalitions with like-minded countriesβ¦ a wider range of states can effectively participate in international negotiations than traditionally assumed.β
π―x 10 π
You did it, WTO!
20.09.2025 09:32 β π 6 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Which European country offers the most generous government #subsidies to buy EVs?
www.euronews.com/business/202...
The WTO has named Robert Staiger as its new Chief Economist.
Here is my @trade--talks.bsky.social podcast conversation in 2023 with Bob where he shared his thoughts about the WTO.
A taxi driver, unimpressed by my poor French, barked at me to "speak English". Then a barista demanded I continue in French after I switched into English. Linguistic purgatory. π€£
18.09.2025 10:01 β π 4 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0It took +20 years of negotiations.
It could change the future of our oceans.
The WTOβs Agreement on Fisheries Subsidies comes into force today.
Why it matters and how it happened: shorturl.at/EzvJx
After +20 years of negotiations, the WTOβs Agreement on Fisheries Subsidies enters into force today. This agreement represents a major step toward aligning global trade rules with environmental sustainability. Explore how this milestone was reached and what it means: shorturl.at/EzvJx
15.09.2025 07:58 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I did it. I turned the heat on.
14.09.2025 16:49 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0We need your help to find meteorite that crashed into Scotland. π π§ͺ www.bbc.co.uk/news/videos/...
12.09.2025 15:08 β π 97 π 42 π¬ 8 π 7AI deployed in an effort to reduce corruption in public procurement in Albania. The Prime Minister said: AI will be "entrusted with all decisions on public tenders".
www.france24.com/en/live-news...
Tube strike = 1.5 hour walk across London today. In the rain. But, as always, Londoners rise to a challenge. Saw many small acts of kindness today as everyone struggled to navigate the deluge, buses, sink holes, and rogue Lime bikes.
11.09.2025 14:13 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0In 2022, China had nearly 1800 ships under construction. The US has just five. π€―
11.09.2025 08:09 β π 3 π 2 π¬ 0 π 0More than 1,000 Greek farmers and agribusinesses are under investigation for the abuse of EU #subsidies
europeannewsroom.com/greece-probe...
We don't talk enough about sub-national #subsidies. They often account for a majority of a nation's total subsidy amount, particularly in federal systems.
www.seafoodsource.com/news/supply-...
Would love to see the full criteria for the UK's new EV subsidy scheme. Which cars qualify and why?
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
The Fedβs future hangs in balance after Trumpβs assault - on.ft.com/4lECVQ9 via @FT
26.08.2025 13:12 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Incredible gamble by Bayrou, calling a confidence vote in just a couple weeks when he has no majority in Parliament
Likelihood of French govt collapse is high
www.france24.com/en/live-news...
European wine is about to cost more in the US as a new trade deal adds a 15% tariff. Will EU member states step in with more subsidies to help winemakers? I dive into EU wine subsidies here: shorturl.at/PZ0Os
www.dw.com/en/eu-us-dea...
Thank you @sjrickard.bsky.social
The high (0.8!) positive correlation of USD and 10-year Treasury rates held unbroken since at least 2012 (I checked) and on average since at least 1982. Reversing sign is a BFD
More sophisticated analyses come to the same end e.g. @helene-rey.bsky.social
Lots of great stuff here. π One of my favourites: "Ever since the administrationβs April 2 tariff announcements, the correlation between U.S. interest rates and the dollar has reversed, indicating that something other than day-to-day economic news is driving the dollar down."
20.08.2025 12:29 β π 14 π 4 π¬ 1 π 0My article The New Economic Geography is out today in @foreignaffairs.com
Please read!
(Ungated link, suitable for sharing)
shared.outlook.inky.com/link?domain=...