DT-WxRisk

YouTube video by DT wxrisk THIS WEEK IN WEATHER FIRST CALL SNOW MAP for the JAN 31- FEB 1 SC NC VA NOREASTER

THIS WEEK IN WEATHER FIRST CALL SNOW MAP
for the JAN 31- FEB 1 SC NC VA NOREASTER
youtu.be/OMDWqzt7Ujw

YouTube video by DT wxrisk THIS WEEK IN WEATHER 1st GUESS MAP FOR JAN 31- FEB EAST COAST WINTER STORM

POSSIBLE BLIZZARD THIS WEEKEND in SE VA / central eastern NC ? winds to 70+ mph on the coast with 12" of snow

WED NIGHT VIDEO UPDATE ON JAN 31- FEB 1
1ST GUESS MAP HERE AS WELL
youtu.be/M6i4UzxJm1g

Trump losing on Immigration, consumer confidence now the worst then in the pandemic, Europe face down Trump's ridiculous plans for Greenland, Europe signing massive trade deals with INDIA , Canada is now selling Chinese EVs … the election is going HUGE DEM WAVE has to say something to distract

This looks like a miss for big snow in DC BAL PHL NYC

YouTube video by DT wxrisk SPECIAL FROM WXRISK: THE JAN 31- FEB 1 EAST COAST SNOWSTORM THREAT ; big hit for VA NC DEL

WED AM UPDATE ON FRI - SAT NC VA DELMARVA se New England SNOWSTORM

youtu.be/TP5lGA9wl24

last few runs GFS MODEL still has blizzard for Nc/ va / Delmarva - Thats is BS. BUT good chance of a significant snow -maybe 10" in NE NC / Norfolk metro ..several inches RIC LYH ROA GSO DAN.

18z OP gfs shows historic Blizzard for nc va md del southern NJ. I think this is bullshit but it is NOT totally impossible

18Z eps give 40% chance of 12 inches + in southside Hampton Roads and eastern Delmarva

✴️ALERT ✴️ 18z Global Model ensembles (GFS & EURO) take the JAN 31- FEB1 Ocean LOW CLOSER TO HATTERAS - IF CORRECT -major snowstorm for Eastern NC se VA DEL eastern MD
...IF CORRECT !! if

#wxtwitter #vawx #mdwx #wvwx #dcwx #pawx #phlwx #rvawx #ncwx #rduwx #njwx #mass #ctwx #nywx #nycwx

18Z EURO ensemble has significant cluster of LOWS further West /8

This would allow the surface LOW to the captured further to the east which would mean the big cities of I-95 from Boston to DC wouldn't miss out on the best snows while eastern VA / eastern NC and Cape Cod would get blasted. /7

See 18Z op EURO

Note on MAP C the 500 LOW tracks across NC then turns NE off the NJ coast and captures the surface Low.

THAT IS THE KEY- any variation causes a big change with how the LOW develops & which part of the coast gets hit.
The 18z Monday Euro; note the 500 LOW is in SC - NOT NC /6

The 500mb Low develops a negative Tilt ( NW-SE) and
" captures" the surface LOW off SC and pulls it NW. The surface LOW reaches max size /intensity FEB 1 when the 500mb LOW the surface LOW become vertically stacked off of DEL / 5

The first map shows a major s/w ( shortwave) running W-E from Iowa to the Great Lakes on Friday. This feature develops a closed 500 low that rapidly rotates as it heads SE. It swings around in SW- NE alignment, then a N to S, then NW-SE ( negative Tilt) alignment. /4

SEE IMAGE 2

Not surprisingly most of the GFS and GFS AI model runs have the MASSIVE Intense LOW somewhat further east (Typical behavior with th GFS mode and BIG East Coast LOWs) This image shows how this massive storm COULD develop in to bring about such an extreme snowstorm in the this weekend. /3

along with an incredible snow amount from Central NC to new England. BUT that is 1 **possible** outcome. The question is HOW does the Euro model do this ??

First It should be pointed out that other models are showing SIMILAR OVERALL solutions in various degrees. /2

LATE MON/ EARLY TUE UPDATE ON JAN 31- FEB 1 POSSIBLE SEVERE EAST COAST WINTER STORM THREAT /1

This is a discussion -NOT a forecast.
0z early Monday (1AM) op-Euro/ 6z op-EURO/ 6z Euro all develop a massive VERY powerful East Coast winter storm that deepens 975mb with winds over 45 mph.

All 10 shots were fired AFTER they removed the gun from Pretti’s waist. Every single shot was fired after he was disarmed.

It is but what makes the 0z Mon Euro so extreme is the 500mb LOW forming earlier-in the Ohio Valley & develop a severe negative Tilt in NC. This grabs the LOW off of GA coast pulling it NW towards the Delmarva. If the 500LOW Doesn't form in the Ohio Valley its too late to grab the GA LOW= fish storm

This grabs the Surface LOW off the GA coast and pulls NW to just off the DEL/ NJ coast where the L;OW bombs out to 975mb with 45+ mph winds. The result ACCORDING to the Model is a massive Blizzard (aka Jan 2016 Jan 1996 Feb1983)

The 0z Monday Euro forms the 500mb LOW n the Ohio Valley much sooner vs previous runs. It swings the 500 LOW around from a Positive (sw-ne) tilt to Neutral in the Ohio valley then to a severe Negative Tilt on the NC coast.

YouTube video by DT wxrisk THIS WEEK IN WEATHER WHATS NEXT ? -- The 31 JAN-1 FEB EAST COAST SNOWSTORM THREAT ?

THIS WEEK IN WEATHER WHATS NEXT ? -- The 31 JAN-1 FEB EAST COAST SNOWSTORM THREAT ?

youtu.be/lOPSDtrl958?...

NONE CARES WHAT THE ORANGE TURD THINKS and the USA economy would be severely damaged by such a move

SUNDAY MIDDAY UPDATE — 200pm JAN 24: SO FAR SO GOOD BUT NOW HERE COMES THE FREEZING RAIN THREAT 5–11PM

SO FAR SO GOOD BUT NOW HERE COMES THE FREEZING RAIN THREAT 5–11PM

medium.com/@wxrisk/sund...

not happening. M ark I don't mean to be critical but that is as bad as NWS. I don't know where this 4- 8" for Richmond / Central Virginia is coming - guess some are fixated with the Euro/ GFS and continue to ignore the RGEM NAM that barely have 2-3" Richmond metro like the name have nothing

NWS SNOW FORECAST LOOKS REALLY BAD

4 to 6 in Richmond are they drunk or they High.. 2:00 a.m. is barely one inch. 8 to 12 in in DC in Baltimore? that's ridiculous.

6 to 8 t inches in Roanoke where it's already sleeting? good luck with that

I'm just going to leave this piece of intellectual diarrhea right here

This

YouTube video by DT wxrisk *** WXRISK SPECIAL *** LATE FRIDAY NIGHT UPDATE ON EASTERN US WINTER STORM JAN 24 - 25

LATE FRIDAY NIGHT EARLY SATURDAY WXRISK VIDEO ON JAN 24 -25

youtu.be/cTpsYo1BQFA?...

YouTube video by DT wxrisk EARLY FRI AM - JAN 24-25 WINTER STORM UPDATE SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN ISSUE IN VA MD DEL WV

LETS TALK ABOUT SLEET VS FREEZING RAIN IN THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC ON SUNDAY

youtu.be/3kV9JG9mI6M