- Source evaluation standards matter more than sourcing strategies.
- Stable definitions are essential for reliable measurement, not a flaw. (3/3)
@ucdp.bsky.social
World’s main provider of data on organized violence and the oldest ongoing data collection project for civil war. ucdp.uu.se
- Source evaluation standards matter more than sourcing strategies.
- Stable definitions are essential for reliable measurement, not a flaw. (3/3)
Some key findings:
- Most differences stem from how projects handle ambiguity & uncertainty in poor information environments.
- Auxiliary coding rules (e.g., counting "people killed" as 2 vs 10 fatalities) explain 90%+ of differences in some cases. (2/3)
A new article by UCDP's Magnus Öberg and Mert Can Yilmaz in Research & Politics reveals that differences between major conflict datasets aren't driven by sourcing strategies or inclusion thresholds as previously claimed (1/3)
Read the article: doi.org/10.1177/2053...
Bild av Magnus Öberg & erik Melander i Almedalen som presenterar utvecklingen av organiserat våld i världen
Presenterade den dystra omvärldsutvecklingen, de ökande konfliktnivåerna med data från Uppsala konfliktdataprogram @ucdp.bsky.social , och diskuterade framtidsutsikter med @erikmelander.bsky.social i Almedalen. #Almedalen
26.06.2025 07:19 — 👍 5 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0Want to know more about conflict deaths across the world? @ourworldindata.org has now updated their visuals with the latest data from UCDP. ourworldindata.org/war-and-peace
23.06.2025 08:19 — 👍 27 🔁 8 💬 3 📌 1The war in Gaza features one of the highest civilian-to-combatant death ratios of any modern conflict. UCDP's Mert Can Yilmaz elaborates on this in Dagens Nyheter (in Swedish) www.dn.se/varlden/sven...
19.06.2025 08:19 — 👍 1 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0Since 2010, the number of conflicts involving states has almost doubled, and the total number of deaths has increased five-fold. Read more about the new UCDP data in this @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social open access article:
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
🎙️ UCDP Research coordinator Therese Petterson discusses the @ucdp.bsky.social newly released data for the year 2024 in the latest episode of Researching Peace. She also walks us through how the team ensures the quality of the datasets.
🎧Listen:
www.podbean.com/eas/pb-9jgwa...
What does the latest data say about global conflict trends?
UCDP’s Therese Pettersson joined the launch of the @PRIOresearch Conflict Trends Report, presenting the most recent findings from UCDP that underpin the report.
Watch the event here: youtu.be/kJjY8xRXK_k
Photo: Kia Michaelsen
The full analysis by Shawn Davies, Therése Pettersson, Margareta Sollenberg and @magnusoberg.bsky.social (all @uupeace.bsky.social) is open access in Journal of Peace Research – read it here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
11.06.2025 09:38 — 👍 2 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0New UCDP data release! In the 2024 update from the @ucdp.bsky.social, organised violence remained alarmingly high, with 61 state-based conflicts and nearly 160,000 recorded fatalities.
11.06.2025 09:38 — 👍 7 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 1New data from UCDP shows the highest number of active conflicts ever recorded, press release found here: www.eurekalert.org/news-release...
11.06.2025 08:38 — 👍 4 🔁 6 💬 0 📌 0Right now at the #DemscoreConference:
Final panel - How to deal with uncertainty in #conflict data collection and forecasting?
@uupeace.bsky.social @ucdp.bsky.social
@viewsforecasting.org @uupeace.bsky.social
#SocialScience #Polisky #PoliSciSky #SocialScienceData #PolDataSky
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Ready to welcome you to the Demscore Conference 2025!
Check out the program at www.demscore.se/events/demsc...
#Polisky #SocialScienceData #PolDataSky #PoliSciSky
@qoginstitute.bsky.social @vdeminstitute.bsky.social @ucdp.bsky.social @repdem-org.bsky.social @viewsforecasting.org
We look forward to paper presentations on topics such as “Perception of Corruption Among Local Decision Makers,” “Civil Conflict and Malaria Infection,” “Ethnicity and Public Opinion in Autocracies,” and “Voter Reactions to Coalition Agreements.”
@ucdp.bsky.social @qoginstitute.bsky.social
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Yesterday, we celebrated the @ucdp.bsky.social upcoming annual data release, scheduled for 11 June. For the 2024 datasets the team coded 37 000 events using 60 000 sources to continue providing the best possible conflict data. An amazing effort by the UCDP team!
23.05.2025 11:11 — 👍 8 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0DEMSCORE version 5.0 includes additional datasets from UCDP: The Cities and Armed Conflict Events (CACE), Deadly Electoral Conflict dataset (DECO), and the Ethnic One-Sided Violence (EOSV) Dataset.
Explore at www.demscore.se/data/
@ucdp.bsky.social
#Polisky #PoliSciData #SocialScienceData
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Bra insats!
07.04.2025 18:56 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0📢 #DEMSCORE v5 is out tomorrow, March 28!
The update includes the annual updates from @vdeminstitute.bsky.social & @qoginstitute.bsky.social. #REPDEM Basic dataset has been expanded with countries outside Europe and new, additional datasets from #COMPLAB, @ucdp.bsky.social and #HDATA.
#polisky
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In their latest paper, @realmps.bsky.social and @corinnebara.bsky.social dive into the connections between different forms of war-related UCDP violence and specific civil wars. A valuable read for anyone looking to understand how various forms of violence intersect and impact conflict dynamics.
24.03.2025 09:56 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0📢 Data Update: Demscore v5.0 will be available March 28!
Free access to harmonized data on #Democracy #Environment #Migration #SocialPolicy #Conflict #Representation
@ucdp.bsky.social @qoginstitute.bsky.social @vdeminstitute.bsky.social @medem.bsky.social
#Polisky #SocialScienceData
If you are at #ISA2025, come visit the UCDP in booth #109 in the exhibit hall for a chat on conflict data and some Swedish chocolate.
04.03.2025 13:42 — 👍 10 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0Shawn Davies, a senior analyst at @ucdp.bsky.social was interviewed by Swedish radio P4. Shawn's work focuses on the war between Ukraine and Russia. Listen to his take on the current state of the conflict. 👇
www.sverigesradio.se/artikel/tre-...
⏰One month left to submit panel proposals and paper abstracts for the DEMSCORE Conference 2025, June 9-10 in Gothenburg.
📆 Abstract and Proposal Submission Deadline: March 16, 2025
www.demscore.se/events/demsc...
#PoliSky
@ucdp.bsky.social @qoginstitute.bsky.social @vdeminstitute.bsky.social
UCDP's Therese Pettersson talks conflict trends & the emotional toll of researching violence on Finnish Radio Yle Vega.
(In Swedish)
arenan.yle.fi/poddar/1-736...
UCDP Candidate Events Data are now available for the full year 2024 at ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ This map shows lethal events of organized violence at the PRIO-GRID level (download pdf for better resolution) tinyurl.com/2yrz97va
27.01.2025 08:06 — 👍 5 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0📢Call for Papers DEMSCORE Conference 2025
We invite submissions for research papers, panels, and workshop proposals for the #DEMSCORE Conference 2025, June 9-10 in Gothenburg.
📆Abstract Submission Deadline: March 16
See www.demscore.se/events/demsc...
#PoliSky #PoliSciSky #SocialScience
⬇️
The debate around the Swedish prime minister’s statement that Sweden currently is neither in a state of #war nor a state of #peace, highlights the importance of #definitions, such as the ones by @ucdp.bsky.social.
UCDP project leader Therese Pettersson comments in ETC. 👉 www.etc.se/inrikes/kris...
What do the UCDP and Taylor Swift have in common? Australian ABC summarizes 2024 as the year that shook the world: www.abc.net.au/news/2024-12...
31.12.2024 09:52 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0📅 Save the Dates: #Demscore Conference 2025, June 9-10 in Gothenburg.
📢 Call for Papers and Panels open now, learn more at www.demscore.se/events/demsc...
@ucdp.bsky.social @vdeminstitute.bsky.social
@medem.bsky.social @digitalsocietyproject.org
@sampol.bsky.social @prioresearch.bsky.social