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Andreas Ortmann

@impartialspectator.bsky.social

EconProf: I post occasionally on whatever tickles my fancy: Science, the Econ tribe, politics, music ...

437 Followers  |  166 Following  |  261 Posts  |  Joined: 15.11.2024  |  1.9053

Latest posts by impartialspectator.bsky.social on Bluesky

A shame that Demography did not go for an outright retraction. This imposes high cost on potential readers. Hopefully high enough that the original paper does not get read or cited.

11.12.2025 19:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Yup. Uneducated, ignorant, low-IQ for sure, without relevant skills, but with dementia.

07.12.2025 18:44 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump calling Kaitlan Collins β€œstupid” and β€œnasty” for asking a basic question about his over budget ballroom is exactly who he is, but it’s still shameful coming from a U.S. president.

A man with unlimited power, and money, yet he’s perpetually angry, petty, and allergic to accountability.πŸ‘‡

07.12.2025 01:45 β€” πŸ‘ 704    πŸ” 244    πŸ’¬ 80    πŸ“Œ 19

"journalist" ?

06.12.2025 04:26 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Pete Hegseth Invokes β€˜Fog Of War’ After Pissing In Break Room Refrigerator ARLINGTON, VAβ€”Describing the incident as a split-second operational judgment made under rapidly evolving conditions, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth invoked the β€œfog of war” Thursday to explain why he ...

β€œIn the heat of the moment, you’ve got to make a decision, and sometimes that decision is imperfect,” said Hegseth

06.12.2025 00:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1788    πŸ” 240    πŸ’¬ 31    πŸ“Œ 12

So Bondi and Kash make a big deal out of arresting the J6 pipe bomber then the guy confesses that he is a Trump supporter who thought the 2020 election was stolen and his lawyer is arguing that Trump’s broadly-worded J6 blanket pardon applies to him and he should go free. Poetry.

06.12.2025 00:50 β€” πŸ‘ 4636    πŸ” 1375    πŸ’¬ 183    πŸ“Œ 78
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The situation is tense in the Senate.. A lot of those people are up for election in less than a year.. #politics

05.12.2025 21:52 β€” πŸ‘ 355    πŸ” 93    πŸ’¬ 24    πŸ“Œ 5

Anyone defending execution as a reasonable punishment for drug smuggling is a Nazi. Pass it on.

05.12.2025 04:15 β€” πŸ‘ 4760    πŸ” 1209    πŸ’¬ 195    πŸ“Œ 38
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Rep. Crockett’s Statement on the Supreme Court’s Ruling on Texas’s 2026 Map

05.12.2025 02:47 β€” πŸ‘ 14714    πŸ” 4598    πŸ’¬ 509    πŸ“Œ 207
Ronny Chieng Investigates the Promises of AI, the Most Expensive Circle Jerk Ever | The Daily Show
YouTube video by The Daily Show Ronny Chieng Investigates the Promises of AI, the Most Expensive Circle Jerk Ever | The Daily Show

"So this is the most expensive circlejerk of all times?!"
www.youtube.com/watch?v=RcPt...

04.12.2025 21:35 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
The Flatlanders- Dallas
YouTube video by Gozmodon The Flatlanders- Dallas

Seems it's on youtube: www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z1mQ...

01.12.2025 18:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It was definitely the brain.

01.12.2025 04:37 β€” πŸ‘ 2908    πŸ” 478    πŸ’¬ 292    πŸ“Œ 36
The density of fraud | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

... wherein Andrew Gelman shows himself surprised about how wide-spread fraudulent practices are ... Surprised to read that he is surprised.

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/11/15/t...

29.11.2025 23:11 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is my β€œgame-theoretic” read of the leaked transcripts between Witkoff, Ushakov, and Dmitriev:

1. The US is steering the peace track and using a calibrated mix of pressure and incentives on Russia. 1/

27.11.2025 00:56 β€” πŸ‘ 28    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1

I hope Tymo is right.

25.11.2025 23:20 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Garcia is a future star.

25.11.2025 06:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
LIVE: DEMS Hold MAJOR SHADOW HEARING on Trump's Conduct YouTube video by MeidasTouch

Watch the full video here:

www.youtube.com/live/qcsjOoq...

25.11.2025 05:10 β€” πŸ‘ 476    πŸ” 174    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 12
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Waters: This is an important press conference that is being held to let you know what we're all doing: resisting this lowdown dirty no good filthy president

25.11.2025 05:09 β€” πŸ‘ 13242    πŸ” 3417    πŸ’¬ 424    πŸ“Œ 258
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DC jury acquitted the Sandwich Guy. Lindsay Halligan can’t even bring an indictment because she’s not legit. Jeanine Pirro couldn't get a conviction because she’s incompetent.

As the judge pointed out, incompetent Pam Bondi completely screwed up the appointment of Halligan in violation of the law.

24.11.2025 20:01 β€” πŸ‘ 12550    πŸ” 3119    πŸ’¬ 750    πŸ“Œ 254

Sen. Mark Kelly has released a statement.

"If this is meant to intimidate me and other members of Congress from doing our jobs and holding this administration accountable, it won't work. I've given too much to this country to be silenced by bullies..."

24.11.2025 18:45 β€” πŸ‘ 6411    πŸ” 2067    πŸ’¬ 198    πŸ“Œ 157
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This is how you do it

24.11.2025 19:07 β€” πŸ‘ 3354    πŸ” 513    πŸ’¬ 69    πŸ“Œ 27

More madness ... and, yes, likely to backfire like the Halligan shenanigans.

24.11.2025 18:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Celebrations are in order. In the grand scheme of things, a minor win but an important win all the same. Sets a useful precedent. Halligan is so cooked. Prediction: Trump will drop her like a hot potato. He does not like losers. Even losers with fabulous hair.

24.11.2025 18:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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DOGE has been doged. A colossal and entirely predictable failure.

www.yahoo.com/news/article...

24.11.2025 03:03 β€” πŸ‘ 1431    πŸ” 325    πŸ’¬ 122    πŸ“Œ 25

This kid is brilliant. Voice of a generation.

22.11.2025 21:22 β€” πŸ‘ 11071    πŸ” 3150    πŸ’¬ 408    πŸ“Œ 135
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King: According to Secretary Rubio, this plan is not the administration’s position β€” it is essentially the Russians’ wish list that is now being presented to the Europeans and to the Ukrainians.

23.11.2025 01:45 β€” πŸ‘ 6455    πŸ” 2074    πŸ’¬ 486    πŸ“Œ 205

Stupid and smug commentary. Disappointing. The Bulwark needs to do better.

22.11.2025 19:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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β€œGroveling all over him.”

22.11.2025 02:39 β€” πŸ‘ 1503    πŸ” 231    πŸ’¬ 79    πŸ“Œ 11

Too funny (if it weren't so friggin dangerous) ...

21.11.2025 22:42 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Putin has no plan for winning in Ukraine.

His losses are catastrophic – 984k-1.44m casualties, up to 480k dead and all he has achieved is expanding NATO and wiping out a generation of young Russian men, writes The Economist. 1/

20.11.2025 22:41 β€” πŸ‘ 78    πŸ” 24    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 4

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