Jake Grossman

After last year's QB injury chaos and what some worried was a long-term trend, it's reassuring to see Tier 1 & 2 QBs (per @sandonfl.bsky.social's NFL QB tiers) missing far fewer games this season:

...No he isn't

The leaders in Kicking EPA so far this season:

The Justin Tucker decline is real.

Kicking and Screaming: A Data-Driven Look at One of the NFL’s Worst Weeks of Kicking in Recent Memory While enjoying my annual tradition of Thanksgiving leftovers and football this past weekend, I couldn’t help but notice the barrage of missed kicks. Naturally, I had to dig into the numbers. It tur…

Check out my new article about how Week 13 was one of the worst weeks of NFL kicking we have seen in a while— breaking plenty of records in the process. Also features an updated look at Kicker EPA so far this season.

mfootballanalytics.com/2024/12/06/k...

Explosive plays allowed in the NFL by defense through Week 12:

- Cardinals' defense 👀
- Browns' collapse from last year continues
- Bengals looking like the new explosive pass funnel

If you enjoy a good podcast, come check this out!!

Episode 8- Football: Penalty Analytics w/ Joseph Hefner Podcast Episode · Michigan Sports Analytics Podcast · 11/26/2024 · 1h 27m

Apple Podcasts:
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/m...

YouTube video by MFANS MSAP Episode 8- Football: Penalty Analytics w/ Joseph Hefner

Youtube:
youtu.be/aWuz0xUsoOA?...

Episode 8- Football: Penalty Analytics w/ Joseph Hefner Michigan Sports Analytics Podcast · Episode

New podcast episode!

@josephjefe.bsky.social and I discuss his QB accuracy metric, talk about the Chiefs are stacking up in their attempt to three-peat, and review some of Joseph's penalty data viz to see which teams have been (un)lucky so far this season.
open.spotify.com/episode/18Fg...

🚨 Introducing the NFL Injurybot @injurybot.nflverse.com 🚨

Since Bluesky is very open to bots, I have developed a new one. During the week it posts a report if something has changed in the injury information. But not more often than every 3 hours.
#NFL | #nflverse

Appreciating The Value of The Tight End George Kittle, Dallas Goedert, and Taysom Hill really make things happen for their team when they are on the field.

What specifically makes George Kittle, Dallas Goedert and Taysom Hill so valuable to their teams when they're on the field?

It isn't always what you think ...

www.sportsinfosolutions.com/2024/11/21/g...

Episode 7- Football: Creating A New Currency For Draft Pick Valuation w/ Josh Queipo Podcast Episode · Michigan Sports Analytics Podcast · 11/21/2024 · 1h 21m

Apple podcasts link: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/m...

Creating A New Currency For Draft Pick Valuation Allowing For Evaluation Across Different Types Of Assets

Link to Josh's article:
joshqueipo.substack.com/p/creating-a...

YouTube video by MFANS MSAP Episode 7- Football: Creating A New Currency For Draft Pick Valuation w/ Josh Queipo

Youtube link:
youtu.be/wfdWIppeNV4

Episode 7- Football: Creating A New Currency For Draft Pick Valuation w/ Josh Queipo Michigan Sports Analytics Podcast · Episode

Check out the newest episode the Michigan Sports Analytics Podcast!

Me and @joshqueipo.bsky.social discuss the concept of positional value, break down the NFL playoff picture and the Lenoir extension, and discuss Josh's new draft pick currency research.

open.spotify.com/episode/5J1f...

I get this song stuck in my head every time I think about the name of this app and it's getting worse the more I use it lol

Data from NFLfastR

(Touchbacks w/ penalties and kickoffs w/ less than 1 minute remaining in the half were excluded for purposes of this analysis)

Here is a look at expected points from each yardline with a larger sample size than just this season:

Avg. Expected Points (EP) at start of drive:

Return from 11-20: 1.45
Touchback: 1.45
Return from 6-10: 1.34
Return from 1-5: 1.31
Return from Endzone: 1.17
Rolling Touchback: 0.83

An update on the NFL Dynamic Kickoff through Week 11:

Avg. starting field position:

Return from 11-20: 31.2
Touchback: 30
Return from 6-10: 29.3
Return from 1-5: 28.8
Return from Endzone: 27.5
Rolling Touchback: 20

League-wide return rate throughout the season:

Some kick return data for each NFL team in the past 5 weeks...

Explosive plays made by NFL offenses through Week 11:

Explosive plays allowed by NFL defenses through Week 11:

NFL offense is still doing better than last year through Week 11 and it would be fair to say that the rise in efficiency is no longer best explained by improved performance on QB scrambles...

A starter pack for sports analytics, as promised.

Please share widely.

Very much incomplete. Suggest additions!

Biases: people I know, sports I know (Am. football, bball, baseball); health and injuries.

Much gray area, but goal is knows or shares sports data/analytics.

go.bsky.app/EE77VuY

Hamlin: quietly been a VERY good tackler this year! Great reps all around

W/ @mcqconor.bsky.social

Posted this while everyone's handles were invalid lol

Episode 6- Football: College Football Recruiting Rankings w/ Conor McQuiston Michigan Sports Analytics Podcast · Episode

New podcast ep w/ @handle.invalid

We discuss field goal probability models, whether the NFL has a QB development problem, and Conor's CFB recruiting rankings.

Check it out!

open.spotify.com/episode/2200...

Haven't posted this in a few weeks: the hardest defenses to earn QB Adjusted EPA against