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@kaypeapod.bsky.social

I read, comment, repost, like all sides - as long as writers are experts or can process data from those experts

701 Followers  |  1,680 Following  |  719 Posts  |  Joined: 19.11.2024  |  1.9037

Latest posts by kaypeapod.bsky.social on Bluesky

Basically, this:

03.12.2025 21:42 β€” πŸ‘ 40    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Roy is officially in (and will win)

*DEMOCRAT ROY COOPER FILES TO RUN FOR US SENATE

03.12.2025 19:13 β€” πŸ‘ 913    πŸ” 97    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 22
Preview
Pentagon knew boat attack left survivors but still launched a follow-on strike, AP sources say The Pentagon knew there were survivors after a September attack on an alleged drug boat in the Caribbean Sea and the U.S. military still carried out a follow-up strike.

NEW: Pete Kegseth's "Fog of war, we didn't see them" line is a load of BS. The Pentagon knew there were survivors and murdered them. apnews.com/article/trum...

03.12.2025 22:54 β€” πŸ‘ 2197    πŸ” 653    πŸ’¬ 185    πŸ“Œ 28

I’m kind of new to the Democrats, but I thought we were FOR respecting the legal process, and also that we were AGAINST political corruption. And that it was especially important to hold to these principles at this time.

But I guess there’s some insider memo I didn’t get that would set me straight?

03.12.2025 18:30 β€” πŸ‘ 2684    πŸ” 445    πŸ’¬ 216    πŸ“Œ 93
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GEORGE WILL: β€œ.. The killing of the survivors by this moral slum of an administration should nauseate Americans. A nation incapable of shame is dangerous, not least to itself.”

@postopinions.bsky.social
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

02.12.2025 23:13 β€” πŸ‘ 7831    πŸ” 2640    πŸ’¬ 317    πŸ“Œ 141

A push like this?

bsky.app/profile/atru...

03.12.2025 23:43 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
A tweet quoting a reporter asking Trump whether Americans are impatient about affordability. Trump replies that affordability is a β€œhoax” created by Democrats. The image shows Trump sitting in a cabinet room looking tired or annoyed.

A tweet quoting a reporter asking Trump whether Americans are impatient about affordability. Trump replies that affordability is a β€œhoax” created by Democrats. The image shows Trump sitting in a cabinet room looking tired or annoyed.

That’s Trump’s message to millions of struggling families. Your suffering isn't real. It's a hoax, just like the Epstein files!

03.12.2025 23:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1717    πŸ” 392    πŸ’¬ 120    πŸ“Œ 24

This is too much.

03.12.2025 02:15 β€” πŸ‘ 4630    πŸ” 1850    πŸ’¬ 195    πŸ“Œ 86

Five members of Congress from both parties and both chambers are asking Pam Bondi for a briefing and status update β€” by the end of the week β€” on the legally mandated release of the Epstein files.

Bondi has 16 days until the release deadline. tinyurl.com/59m8rnyk

03.12.2025 23:05 β€” πŸ‘ 1347    πŸ” 352    πŸ’¬ 42    πŸ“Œ 19
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β€œI think” is how a system run by a king or a dictator works. Here, we have a rule of law that says no one, and that includes the government, can murder people on a whim because it β€œthinks” they’re up to no good.

03.12.2025 23:06 β€” πŸ‘ 2778    πŸ” 868    πŸ’¬ 239    πŸ“Œ 51

A 🧡 on election results you may have missed yesterday, under the hood of Tennessee's special election.

Plus, what lies ahead... next week!

03.12.2025 22:13 β€” πŸ‘ 105    πŸ” 25    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2
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Several Ukrainian children abducted by Russia forcibly sent to North Korea, expert tells US Senate "12-year-old Misha from the occupied Donetsk region and 16-year-old Liza from occupied Simferopol were sent to Songdowon camp in North Korea, 9,000 km from home," Rashevska testified. "Children there ...

⚑️Several Ukrainian children abducted by Russia forcibly sent to North Korea, expert tells US Senate.

03.12.2025 23:19 β€” πŸ‘ 547    πŸ” 330    πŸ’¬ 34    πŸ“Œ 35
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Colorado Tells DOJ β€˜Take a Hike’ as It Rejects Demand for Statewide Voter Data Read more here.

NEW: Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold (D) is the latest state election leader to reject a request from the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) to share private, unredacted voter data with the federal government. www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/...

03.12.2025 23:23 β€” πŸ‘ 12162    πŸ” 3046    πŸ’¬ 311    πŸ“Œ 184
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Key West, Florida: a worldwide tourist destination is now an ICE immigration nightmare His name is Elvis Garcia, an 18-year-old senior at Key West High School.

In her latest newsletter, @gwenfilosamedia.bsky.social reports that the Keys are swamped with ICE and Border Patrol agents. She shares the story of Elvis Garcia, an 18yo senior at Key West Senior High who just graduated from the city's Firefighter Academy and who was taken by federal agents.

03.12.2025 23:21 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Hmm. Ghislaine Maxwell is filing a habeas petition challenging her incarceration PRO SE (no lawyers). I guess even David Markus has his limits? Incidentally, she's worried that the release of the Epstein files would be devastating to her case.

03.12.2025 23:07 β€” πŸ‘ 7253    πŸ” 2611    πŸ’¬ 596    πŸ“Œ 173
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Oh my god…

Via the New York Times.

03.12.2025 22:01 β€” πŸ‘ 381    πŸ” 89    πŸ’¬ 19    πŸ“Œ 13

The smallest county shift to the dems in Tennessee from last year appears to be seven points. The biggest was 20.

03.12.2025 22:17 β€” πŸ‘ 116    πŸ” 20    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
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Jeffries backs Trump’s pardon of Cuellar: β€˜Exactly the right outcome’ House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) on Wednesday backed President Trump’s decision to provide a preemptive pardon for Rep. Henry Cuellar, suggesting the corruption charges against the lo…

Unreal. Hey @hakeem-jeffries.bsky.social is this what you talk about when you celebrate pardoning criminals?

thehill.com/homenews/hou...

03.12.2025 22:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
"Captain Gains" on Capitol Hill
Shang-Jin Wei & Yifan Zhou
WORKING PAPER 34524
DOI 10.3386/w34524
ISSUE DATE November 2025
Using transaction-level data on US congressional stock trades, we find that lawmakers who later ascend to leadership positions perform similarly to matched peers beforehand but outperform them by 47 percentage points annually after ascension. Leaders' superior performance arises through two mechanisms. The political influence channel is reflected in higher returns when their party controls the chamber, sales of stocks preceding regulatory actions, and purchase of stocks whose firms receiving more government contracts and favorable party support on bills. The corporate access channel is reflected in stock trades that predict subsequent corporate news and greater returns on donor-owned or home-state firms.

"Captain Gains" on Capitol Hill Shang-Jin Wei & Yifan Zhou WORKING PAPER 34524 DOI 10.3386/w34524 ISSUE DATE November 2025 Using transaction-level data on US congressional stock trades, we find that lawmakers who later ascend to leadership positions perform similarly to matched peers beforehand but outperform them by 47 percentage points annually after ascension. Leaders' superior performance arises through two mechanisms. The political influence channel is reflected in higher returns when their party controls the chamber, sales of stocks preceding regulatory actions, and purchase of stocks whose firms receiving more government contracts and favorable party support on bills. The corporate access channel is reflected in stock trades that predict subsequent corporate news and greater returns on donor-owned or home-state firms.

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Figure 2: Estimated dynamic quasi-difference-in-differences coefficient, di, of equation(3), with vertical dashed lines representing 90 percent confidence intervals. The point estimate of the year in which the lawmaker became a congressional leader (Year 0) is normalized to zero. BHAR over the 250 days following each trade is the dependent variable and calculated using the Fama-French five-factor plus momentum as the benchmark model.

什 1 1 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 9 Year Figure 2: Estimated dynamic quasi-difference-in-differences coefficient, di, of equation(3), with vertical dashed lines representing 90 percent confidence intervals. The point estimate of the year in which the lawmaker became a congressional leader (Year 0) is normalized to zero. BHAR over the 250 days following each trade is the dependent variable and calculated using the Fama-French five-factor plus momentum as the benchmark model.

After becoming a congressional leader, a politician’s stock portfolio beats out those of peers by 47 (!!!) percentage points a year through trades timed around bills and firms that later get government contracts

www.nber.org/papers/w34524

via @florianederer.bsky.social

03.12.2025 01:42 β€” πŸ‘ 1396    πŸ” 611    πŸ’¬ 33    πŸ“Œ 83
Sir William Browder KCMG
@Billbrowder
Putin Meets With Witkoff and Kushner for Nearly Five Hours and the two sides did not reach any specific compromises, an aide to President Vladimir V. Putin said, as the United States pushes a plan to end the war in Ukraine.

Let me translate for you what this means. There was never any intention from Russia to settle this conflict (even when they released their 28 point β€œpeace plan”). This whole thing has been a well executed intelligence operation with two very specific objectives: 1) to derail the devastating oil sanctions that Senator Lindsay Graham has tee’d up and 2) to derail the EU plan to transfer the Russian frozen assets to Ukraine.

Sir William Browder KCMG @Billbrowder Putin Meets With Witkoff and Kushner for Nearly Five Hours and the two sides did not reach any specific compromises, an aide to President Vladimir V. Putin said, as the United States pushes a plan to end the war in Ukraine. Let me translate for you what this means. There was never any intention from Russia to settle this conflict (even when they released their 28 point β€œpeace plan”). This whole thing has been a well executed intelligence operation with two very specific objectives: 1) to derail the devastating oil sanctions that Senator Lindsay Graham has tee’d up and 2) to derail the EU plan to transfer the Russian frozen assets to Ukraine.

As a result of these so called β€œpeace negotiations” both of these serious consequences have been kicked into the long grass. Putin is happy and Trump will say β€œwe can’t impose sanctions on Russia while we’re trying to get peace”. And he will lean heavily on the EU to not confiscate the frozen assets so they don’t β€œderail these productive negotiations”. 

For anyone who understands what Russia cares about, this whole thing is so obvious. It’s a shame we let ourselves get played by Putin. 

Most importantly, the Russian terrorism against innocent Ukrainians will continue.

As a result of these so called β€œpeace negotiations” both of these serious consequences have been kicked into the long grass. Putin is happy and Trump will say β€œwe can’t impose sanctions on Russia while we’re trying to get peace”. And he will lean heavily on the EU to not confiscate the frozen assets so they don’t β€œderail these productive negotiations”. For anyone who understands what Russia cares about, this whole thing is so obvious. It’s a shame we let ourselves get played by Putin. Most importantly, the Russian terrorism against innocent Ukrainians will continue.

Bill Browder on how Kushner and Witkoff are being played by Putin.

03.12.2025 22:44 β€” πŸ‘ 242    πŸ” 109    πŸ’¬ 17    πŸ“Œ 6

🚨The Oversight Committee has received files related to Jeffrey Epstein from JP Morgan, Deutsche Bank & the U.S. Virgin Islands. Oversight Dems intend to release files to the public in the days ahead.

Mr. President, release the files, NOW.

03.12.2025 15:32 β€” πŸ‘ 756    πŸ” 250    πŸ’¬ 29    πŸ“Œ 23

Mark Warner, the top Dem on the Senate Intelligence Committee, says he reviewed the DOD IG's Signalgate report and Pete Hegseth either needs to be fired or resign.

03.12.2025 22:10 β€” πŸ‘ 1876    πŸ” 477    πŸ’¬ 48    πŸ“Œ 27
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Newsom warned the DealBook attendees that the US was tipping into authoritarianism.

β€œSome of you are probably fine with it,” Newsom said. β€œ.. state capitalism, crony capitalism .. A lot of you are doing extraordinarily well.”

@politico.com
www.politico.com/news/2025/12...

03.12.2025 22:44 β€” πŸ‘ 379    πŸ” 75    πŸ’¬ 13    πŸ“Œ 5
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Republican Anger Erupts at Johnson as Party Frets About Future

NEW: Nancy Mace is considering following MTG's lead and resigning from Congress before the end of her term. www.nytimes.com/2025/12/03/u...

03.12.2025 22:39 β€” πŸ‘ 2497    πŸ” 524    πŸ’¬ 357    πŸ“Œ 104
The Hill: House GOP exits mount as gridlock deepens

The Hill: House GOP exits mount as gridlock deepens

NOTUS: House Republicans Can’t Stop Fighting With Each Other

NOTUS: House Republicans Can’t Stop Fighting With Each Other

Politico: GOP frets β€˜dangerous’ result in Tennessee

Politico: GOP frets β€˜dangerous’ result in Tennessee

Newsweek: Mike Johnson Faces Revolt from Within His Own Leadership Team

Newsweek: Mike Johnson Faces Revolt from Within His Own Leadership Team

The vibes in the House are shifting

03.12.2025 16:08 β€” πŸ‘ 773    πŸ” 178    πŸ’¬ 26    πŸ“Œ 52

Incredible:

"Nancy Mace of South Carolina has told people she is so frustrated... that she is planning to huddle with Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia next week to discuss following her lead and retiring early from Congress."
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/03/u...

03.12.2025 22:43 β€” πŸ‘ 1235    πŸ” 262    πŸ’¬ 127    πŸ“Œ 108
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Trump Admin Lawyers Now Warn Boat Strike May Be Illegal, as Hegseth Passes the Buck β€˜If the Washington Post is right, then a crime was committed,’ a Trump admin lawyer tells Zeteo, as Pete Hegseth tries to pass the buck.

Good point from @swin24.bsky.social and team here: Trump and Hegseth suddenly refusing to take credit for the second strike, after they've spent weeks sadistically yukking it up over their killings, is a key tell:
zeteo.com/p/trump-hegs...

03.12.2025 02:38 β€” πŸ‘ 1436    πŸ” 390    πŸ’¬ 25    πŸ“Œ 17
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β€œTell us again how sleepy Joe is, will you?”

Watch: www.rollingstone.com/tv-movies/tv...

03.12.2025 17:25 β€” πŸ‘ 389    πŸ” 85    πŸ’¬ 15    πŸ“Œ 4
Preview
Pentagon knew boat attack left survivors but still launched a follow-on strike, AP sources say The Pentagon knew there were survivors after a September attack on an alleged drug boat in the Caribbean Sea and the U.S. military still carried out a follow-up strike.

BREAKING: The Pentagon knew a September boat attack in the Caribbean left survivors but still launched follow-on strike to sink the vessel, AP sources say.

03.12.2025 22:44 β€” πŸ‘ 273    πŸ” 116    πŸ’¬ 34    πŸ“Œ 19

Sens. Kaine, Paul, Schiff, Schumer filed War Powers resolution "to block the use of the U.S. Armed Forces to engage in hostilities within or against Venezuela unless authorized by Congress."

Privileged resolution, can be called up for a vote this month

03.12.2025 21:26 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

@kaypeapod is following 20 prominent accounts