C-Note

Ukraine rolls out the "red carpet" for Russian orcs.

The AFU has cut off most of the Russians' "rabbit's ears" salient north of Pokrovsk.

From Majakovsk73 Telegram channel:

Jake would never disrespect himself like that!

Yeah, who is this creamy? Sounds like a real douche!

Russia's increased focus on drone and missile strikes indicates that Russia sees diminishing returns from front-line offensives. This is a positive development for Ukraine. If Ukraine stands resolute and keeps innovating, Russia's capacity to inflict damage on Ukraine will continue to diminish.

What are the other versions?

This one's a classic! I saw it a few months ago, and it recently resurfaced. That well is tainted for sure.

If you think MS software is a danger, its dangers pale in comparison to "open source" Chinese software. Please beware!

Putin must be hoping for a dramatic change in military or political dynamics that favors him.

For Ukrainians and their Western supporters, we need to ensure no such change happens by maintaining and increasing resolve and military and humanitarian support for Ukraine. Слава Украïнi! 🇺🇦 6/6

In summary, even Russia's minimal territorial goals are almost certainly unachievable because a) Kherson and Zaporizhzhia west of the Dnieper are essentially unconquerable at any cost, b) land west of the Dnieper aside, it is doubtful whether Russia can sustain this pace until Feb-Oct 2028. 5/

Calculating similarly, Russia taking all of Ukraine east of the Dnieper (Kharkiv, Sumy, Chernihiv, Poltava, and the portions of Dnipropetrovsk, Cherkasy, Kyiv, and Kyiv city east of the Dnieper) would require 30-39 years and 10.5-22.6 million casualties. 4/

...31-39 months at a cost of 893,000-1,928,000 casualties, making simplifying assumptions (that are almost certainly not be true) about optimal directionality of gains and equal rates of progress over urban vs. rural terrain. 3/

2) While the portions of Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Oblasts west of the Dnieper are likely out of reach of Russia due to geography, at the past 15 months' average rates, the remaining 0.6% of Luhansk, 30.5% of Donetsk, and 21.8% of Zaporizhzhia east of the Dnieper could be taken in... 2/

I just did some analysis of Russian territorial gains and casualties in the Russo-Ukrainian War (2022-present) using open source data to project future costs and gains.

Results:

1) From 4/24-6/25, Russia gained an average of 325 km2 per month at an average cost of 150 casualties per km2.

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Murrieta, California, US

Who buys these things?

Tired of military aid delays, Ukraine has designed its own ballistic missile — and it’s already in mass-production Ukraine announced on June 13 that its short-range Sapsan ballistic missile would go into mass production, a major development in Kyiv's ongoing efforts to domestically produce the weapons it needs to ...

Ukraine has completed development and testing (on a Russian target) of its own short-to-medium range ballistic missile, the Sapsan, with a range of at least 300 km and a 480 kg warhead. It's now going into mass production, but the scale is unknown.

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3/

This city and this nation are waking up to the danger that a President who disregards the rule of law and governs like a dictator poses to everything that makes this country great!

For clarification, although we are in California, we are in a red county with 2 MAGA Representatives. 2/

We has an unprecedented turnout at today's #NoKings protest in Temecula, CA! The mayor's office estimates 3500-4000 and says it may have been the largest gathering at this location in the city's history! We were proud to be a part of it! 1/

@vladvexler.bsky.social absolutely nails everything that is wrong with Tulsi Gabbard's conspiratorial take on nuclear war. What DNI would ever message like this!? This woman is a Kremlin shill to the core!

You nailed the analysis, Vlad!

No Kings June 14 · No Kings on Mobilize Find events, petitions, volunteer opportunities, fundraisers and more with No Kings.

DISSENT IS OUR DUTY!
Join fellow patriots this Sat. June 14 for #NoKingsDay protests nationwide! REJECT AUTHORITARIANISM! REJECT THE 🍊 GUY!

Some advice: completely and vehemently disavow the current Russian regime and its genocidal actions toward Ukraine.

Lol!

of taking all of Zaporizhia and Kherson oblasts. And the parts of these oblasts west of the Dnieper River are essentially inaccessible. Russia's goals are unrealistic, and it needs to accept this and adjust its expectations. 2/

The "trends on the ground?" You mean Russia averaging 400 sq. km. in gains per month for 35,000 killed and wounded? At that rate, it'll take Russia 4 more years and 1.7 million more casualties to reach the outskirts of Zaporizhia city, and it STILL wouldn't have met its goal... 1/

Russia needs to clearly understand and fully internalize that its war aims are unrealistic and far exceed its capabilities to achieve them.

And sanctions will remain until you and every person in Russia who has orchestrated the above acts is no longer in power, and Russian society has completely abandoned its imperialistic mindset. Until then, face the Ukrainian "wall of drones", Western weaponry, and sanctions. 3/