Nikos Askitas's Avatar

Nikos Askitas

@askitas.bsky.social

Mathematician/Technologist/Economist. Head IDSC - RDC of IZA, Coordinator Data & Technology at IZA. Fellow CESifo. Academic Editor PLOSONE.

207 Followers  |  529 Following  |  65 Posts  |  Joined: 25.11.2023  |  1.8129

Latest posts by askitas.bsky.social on Bluesky

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1219

17.10.2025 07:12 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

πŸ‘‹ Live from LISER's 'Society in Motion - Science & Tools for Impact' #PolicyLabLISER

πŸ—£οΈ @gathmannch.bsky.social, @askitas.bsky.social & Serge Linckels share insights on Panel #3 – #Upskilling for a Changing World: From Data to Decisions

πŸ”—Info www.liser.lu/events/socie...

#TalentAttraction #EconSky

23.09.2025 12:46 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1214

18.09.2025 12:38 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
8th KOF ETH Zurich and IDSC of IZA Workshop: Matching Workers and Jobs Online

On my way to ZΓΌrich for the 8th and last edition of the workshop Peter Kuhn and I have been running for the last years. This is my last "public appearance" for IDSC and for IZA before leaving at the end of October 2025.
Program looks fun.
conference.iza.org/DATA_2025/pr...

03.09.2025 11:32 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1200

24.08.2025 08:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Generative AI (GenAI) and Large Language Models (LLMs) are moving into domains once seen as uniquely humanβ€”reasoning, synthesis, abstraction, and rhetoric. Addressed to (labor) economists and informed readers, this paper <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1197

22.08.2025 06:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Notes on a World with Generative AI | ifo Institute Generative AI (GenAI) and Large Language Models (LLMs) are moving into domains once seen as uniquely humanβ€”reasoning, synthesis, abstraction, and rhetoric. Addressed to labor economists and informed readers, this paper clarifies what is truly new about LLMs, what is not, and why it matters. Using an analogy to autoregressive models from economics, we explain their stochastic nature, whose fluency is often mistaken for agency. We situate LLMs in the longer history of human–machine outsourcing, from digestion to cognition, and examine disruptive effects on white-collar labor, institutions, and epistemic norms. Risks emerge when synthetic content becomes both product and input, creating feedback loops that erode originality and reliability. Grounding the discussion in conceptual clarity over hype, we argue that while GenAI may substitute for some labor, statistical limits will preserve a key role for human judgment. The question is not only how these tools are used, but which tasks we relinquish and how we reallocate expertise in a new division of cognitive labor.

Some thoughts on generative AI coming for us white collar workers.
www.ifo.de/en/cesifo/pu...

21.08.2025 14:29 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

We examine the uptake and measurable effects of GPT-assisted writing in economics working paper abstracts. Focusing on the IZA discussion paper series, we detect a significant stylistic shift following the public release of <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1195

15.08.2025 12:56 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1190

22.07.2025 07:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1185

20.06.2025 08:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
8th KOF ETH Zurich and IDSC of IZA Workshop: Matching Workers and Jobs Online

The program for the 8th issue of our "Matching Jobs and Workers Online" workshop is now online

conference.iza.org/DATA_2025/pr...

This year co-organized with and hosted at KOF ETH in Zurich.

10.06.2025 09:56 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Inter-Agency Working Group (IAG) Workshop on the Trends and Impact of AI in the labour markets | ETF

Inter-Agency Working Group (IAG) Workshop on the Trends and Impact of AI in the labour markets | ETF www.etf.europa.eu/en/news-and-...

16.05.2025 15:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1180

16.05.2025 07:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1174

26.03.2025 07:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Employment for computer programmers in the U.S. has plummeted to its lowest level since 1980β€”years before the internet existed The job drop’s correlation with the rise of ChatGPT has led some to believe we’re seeing how AI will impact future coding jobs.

Employment for computer programmers in the U.S. has plummeted to its lowest level since 1980β€”years before the internet existed

fortune.com/2025/03/17/c...

18.03.2025 08:53 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Toll Index January 2025 | -2.6% year over year The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harf…

Toll Index in January 2025 (German border crossing activity of Long Vehicles) only marginally better than December 2024 and 2.6% down year-over-year. #NumbersDay

askitas.com/toll-index-j...

20.02.2025 11:40 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1169

20.02.2025 11:38 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Flash IZA/Fable SWIPE Consumption Index at over +7% in February 2025 The 14-day month-to-date data for February 2025 shows a 7% year-over-year increase in consumption. This initial β€œflash estimate” compares the first 14 days of February 2025 with the sam…

Flash IZA/Fable SWIPE consumption index at over 7% yer over year in February 2025 #NumbersDay

askitas.com/flash-iza-fa...

20.02.2025 08:59 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The 14-day month-to-date data for February 2025 shows a 7% year-over-year increase in consumption. This initial "flash estimate" compares the first 14 days of February 2025 with the same period in February 2024 and should <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1165

20.02.2025 08:57 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Flash IZA/Fable SWIPE Consumption Index at +6.5% in January 2025 Final January 2025 Consumption Data Shows Stronger Growth Than Initial Estimates On January 22, I reported a 5.31% year-over-year increase in consumption based on the first 14 days of January 2025.…

IZA/Fable SWIPE Consumption Index: Final January 2025 Consumption Data Shows Stronger Growth Than Initial Estimate. Notable rebound from December’s performance. #NumbersDay
askitas.com/flash-iza-fa...

06.02.2025 07:25 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Final January 2025 Consumption Data Shows Stronger Growth Than Initial Estimates On January 22, I reported a 5.31% year-over-year increase in consumption based on the first 14 days of January 2025. This "flash estimate" <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1158

06.02.2025 07:16 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Flash IZA/Fable SWIPE Consumption Index at +5.31% in January 2025 The 14-day month-to-date data for January 2025 shows a 5.31% year-over-year increase in consumption. This initial β€œflash estimate” compares the first 14 days of January 2025 with the sa…

Flash IZA/Fable SWIPE #Consumption Index in January 2025 at +5.31% year-over-year, based on a 14-day month-to-date comparison. askitas.com/flash-iza-fa...

22.01.2025 07:29 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The 14-day month-to-date data for January 2025 shows a 5.31% year-over-year increase in consumption. This initial "flash estimate" compares the first 14 days of January 2025 with the same period in January 2024 and should <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1153

22.01.2025 07:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Toll Index December 2024 | -2.6% year over year The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harf…

Toll index for December 2024 down 2.6% year over year
askitas.com/toll-index-d... #NumbersDay

21.01.2025 14:49 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1148

21.01.2025 14:34 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
December IZA/Fable SWIPE Index rests at -3.34% Recent recordings of negative consumer sentiment appear to be translating into consumption restraint this December, as our SWIPE index shows a -3.34% year-over-year change for December 2024. The un…

Recent recordings of negative consumer sentiment appear to be translating into consumption restraint this past December, as our SWIPE index shows a -3.34% year-over-year drop for December 2024. askitas.com/december-iza... #NumbersDay

13.01.2025 07:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Recent recordings of negative consumer sentiment appear to be translating into consumption restraint this December, as our SWIPE index shows a -3.34% year-over-year change for December 2024. The uncertainty surrounding the <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1144

13.01.2025 07:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
December IZA/Fable SWIPE Index at +9.9% The December flash estimate of the IZA/Fable SWIPE consumption index shows a 9.9% year-on-year increase in credit card spending in Germany for the first half of the month, compared to the same peri…

Boosted by a late Black Friday (November 29), which pushed part of the Black Friday splurge into December (e.g. Cyber Monday), the flash estimate of the IZA/Fable SWIPE consumption index shows a 9.9% YoY spending increase in the first half of December. #NumbersDay

askitas.com/december-iza...

20.12.2024 10:09 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The December flash estimate of the IZA/Fable SWIPE consumption index shows a 9.9% year-on-year increase in credit card spending in Germany for the first half of the month, compared to the same period in December 2023. The <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1132

20.12.2024 07:46 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Toll Index November 2024 – hovering around the mean The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harf…

A continuing and pronounced decoupling between border crossings of heavy vehicles and industrial production in Germany. Driven by value to weight ratio drop driven e.g. by energy intensive industry slow down?
askitas.com/toll-index-n...
www.destatis.de/DE/Presse/Pr...
#NumbersDay

19.12.2024 08:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

@askitas is following 19 prominent accounts