FPL Palm🌴

@stoeten.bsky.social imagine how ridiculous it would be if you, a major telecommunications company, owned a baseball team in the World Series for the first time since 1993 and your app — that people pay you to use — just error codes out all over the place while the team you own scores run after run

@thestrategists.ca #allmealsatswiss

Holding on in the mid 300ks like a boss. Thinking of maybe starting a garden here.

Tiny green arrow means I just live here now in the 300ks. At this point I’ve been here so long it’s rent controlled.

Only question this week is do I keep Slot so I can get that elusive Inactive Manager: 1 on my Season Review.

Probability distribution graph comparing expected Assistant Manager points for GW26 between Mikel Arteta (Arsenal, red line) and Oliver Glasner (Crystal Palace, blue line). Arteta shows a mean of 8.29 points with peaks around 8-12 points, while Glasner averages 8.25 with notable spikes at 0, 8-10, and 18-20 points. Both distributions suggest significant variance in potential outcomes.

📊 GW26: Arteta vs Glasner
Similar means, vastly different distributions:

Arteta is much more consistent: ~70% to score 8-12pts. Glasner has a much higher ceiling thanks to the table bonus potential - if you can stomach the 45% chance to score 2pts or fewer.

Odds data via @robtfpl.com

And now on to GW (what is it again…checks notes…) Who Cares

Bringing in Bossard for Gordon. 60% of the time it works every time.

It’s not *that* often that a 120 will get you a red arrow. So I have that to add to my accomplishments this year.

No BB for me, but a -4 is probably on the cards for almost any of the cup results. I did think a -8 would be in line if Arsenal and Tottenham advanced, but now I’m not so sure

I honestly believed I’d never live to see the day

The best and nicest people in the FPL analytics space, all under one roof. Excited to see what the future holds.

Well they went and did it and guaranteed two DGWs in a 5-week span. Shows what I know. Transfer haemorrhaging continues. Now to hope Spurs do some business at Anfield and we get -12 and -16 lines top!

I am so annoyed by the UI that I am 🤏 close to boycotting the chip.

You should look at Silva 25. Table bonus and current odds on to win. If you’re fully committed to that chip plan, that is. I do like Iraola IRL…but I think there are some gains to be made here looking at bookies odds.

Leicester also possible there. Might still get a chance to AM Dyche? 😆

Green arrow yay.
Spending life mired in the mid 300ks…not yay.

Does it tell you when you block someone on BlueSky? Like a little butterfly shows up to let you know or something?

Greaves

No notes 😆

Buying DCL is one of life’s great pleasures. Selling Colwill is even moreso.

Premier League team progression odds for each FA Cup round.

GW34 blank probability: ARS CRY - 26% BOU MUN - 50% BHA WHU - 16% CHE EVE - 35% LIV TOT - 51% MCI AVL - 63% NEW IPS - 44% NFO BRE - 25% SOU FUL - 44% WOL LEI - 26% Average number of anticipated blanks: 3.8

Looking at the possibility of blanks in GW34. Used market odds for progressing from R4 and to win FA cup to guestimate progression odds at each stage (adjusted to 100% probability). Chart (but not numbers) exclude non-PL teams. R4 progression and R5 matchups will skew these numbers vastly. #FPLvis

Got to get rid of this Isak bum for somebody!

So you’re saying my plan to buy him is sure to provide a satisfying experience….

They should have remembered their Charlemagne.

I think I am prepared to pay up for VVD and can fit it into the budget without too much sacrifice on future moves.

FWIW that’s the most “exploring all options” fake bid I’ve ever seen.

Yes. But a new Dom can never replace your true love Dom.

Yep. Just in time to lose my beloved Dom 😭

GW22 — Don’t cry for me…I’m already dead

Finally

Yeah I think in the end I prefer Andersen here. It’s close anyhow between them and there is always *some* risk that Maresca could bring him on if he’s starting on the bench in some gamestates. I mostly think he’s 90/0 still, but it’s close enough that I don’t need to risk it.