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JLRay

@jlray.bsky.social

Texas. Senior director of polling at YouGov. Adviser to Young Men Research Initiative. johnlray.github.io

4,770 Followers  |  1,833 Following  |  5,439 Posts  |  Joined: 26.07.2023  |  1.9136

Latest posts by jlray.bsky.social on Bluesky

Reports β€” Young Men Research Project

Check out the full report on the role of young men in 2026 battleground races at www.ymrp.org/reports . Contact information for YMRP included as we build out our efforts to engage this persuadable (and winnable) share of the electorate in pro-democracy, pro-equality efforts.

11.02.2026 14:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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What do these young guys like? Being able to afford stuff.

What do these young guys hate? Corruption and political overreach by the president.

How do they learn about it? Longform dudes-just-bantering videos they leave on at work, on break, while doing homework, while doing chores

11.02.2026 14:42 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Here in Texas, the rapid growth of the young Latino vote as a share of the electorate is a big part of the story. There are almost as many young Latino men as white men registered to vote in Texas, with the Latino share continuing to rise

11.02.2026 14:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Large swings in turnout and vote choice in key states like Maine and Michigan, for example, were coupled with a deepening education divide. We should be actively looking for ways to talk to young men in these states bearing in mind campus-based efforts are just part of the story

11.02.2026 14:38 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Young mens' support for Democratic candidates in their state can bounce around a lot. Between 2020, 2022, and 2024, a combination of electoral composition and persuasion produced significant swings in how young men participated in battleground state races

11.02.2026 14:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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An in-depth new report from YRMP using data from Catalist shows the swing in who young men vote for - and whether or not they vote - could make or break many key 2026 races.

Check out the report at www.ymrp.org/reports , which does a deep dive on the key 2026 battleground states

11.02.2026 14:35 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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We have received numerous credible reports of torture, killing, and inhumane treatment of detained individuals at the Camp East Montana migrant detention facility, located within Fort Bliss. #txlege

10.02.2026 18:46 β€” πŸ‘ 3330    πŸ” 1859    πŸ’¬ 73    πŸ“Œ 210
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The latest from YouGov (n ~ 7k) gives me some methodological concerns. They allowed people to rate their pun making as "outstanding" but, statistically, most are sitting indoors at the time

today.yougov.com/topics/socie...

10.02.2026 15:14 β€” πŸ‘ 132    πŸ” 22    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 9

I am so fucking sick of the "they're really nice off camera, they just say this stuff to rile their voters" schtick

What do you mean "they're really nice, they just stoke violence to benefit their political project"

Your "grievances" aren't just grievances when you turn them into incitement!

11.02.2026 00:51 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Sadly I did find "a fascist worked out today, did you?" to work superbly

11.02.2026 00:44 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Not the point but uh, "beers on me at training?"

11.02.2026 00:42 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This is the second time an ICE employee has been arrested in in a Bloomington, MN underage sex trafficking sting www.cbsnews.com/minnesota/ne...

10.02.2026 21:26 β€” πŸ‘ 5266    πŸ” 2193    πŸ’¬ 99    πŸ“Œ 109

Like I wish the story these guys always went with was not "ah that wiley GOP, cleverly finding another trick to wriggle out of an overdue election loss."

I wish they would just say, "national security cagastrophe: the party with unity control of our government needs violent racism to survive"

10.02.2026 17:27 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Amex is so amazed by my technical skills and code organization they say they're sending their repo team to my house!

10.02.2026 16:58 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

No no this is YouGov, you're thinking of Gallup

10.02.2026 15:35 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I would argue with how you characterize this scale but everyone already knows the Levy distribution is one-sided

10.02.2026 15:35 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The latest from YouGov (n ~ 7k) gives me some methodological concerns. They allowed people to rate their pun making as "outstanding" but, statistically, most are sitting indoors at the time

today.yougov.com/topics/socie...

10.02.2026 15:14 β€” πŸ‘ 132    πŸ” 22    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 9

Launching her campaign with a Bruce Poliquin bit is actually a pretty good metaphor for where she is now as a person

10.02.2026 14:29 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

"Of course they're 'enemies.' One is normal people minding their own business. One is the worst political party in the world. Real fork in the microwave situation that one"

10.02.2026 14:21 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

"With a terrible agenda and dogshit candidates everybody hates, the GOP turns to an old friend: gullibility"

10.02.2026 14:09 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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I know they write bad headlines just to farm clicks but they gotta know this story is not "Islam is an enemy of the GOP," the story is "bigotry is a friend to the GOP"

10.02.2026 14:06 β€” πŸ‘ 36    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Immigration Court Drops Case Against Tufts Student Rumeysa Ozturk The Turkish national had been arrested by plainclothes federal officers outside her apartment.

An immigration court dropped its case against Turkish graduate student Rumeysa Ozturk, a little less than a year after federal agents arrested her on a street near Tufts University

09.02.2026 23:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1241    πŸ” 355    πŸ’¬ 25    πŸ“Œ 81

Like, these are the guys they'd need 100 percent suicide-cult levels of loyalty from to try to steal a midterm election

10.02.2026 01:59 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

...so anyway, does anyone else believe Susan Collins may be in trouble this year

secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...

09.02.2026 23:31 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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β€œ.. He said he had no interactions with Epstein after 2005, yet we now know they were in business together,” Garcia said. β€œLutnick must resign or be fired.”

@financialtimes.com
www.ft.com/content/2264...

09.02.2026 23:14 β€” πŸ‘ 3107    πŸ” 950    πŸ’¬ 131    πŸ“Œ 52

Like, some people were made to believe there was a good-faith effort underway to prevent Donald Trump from stealing an election when actually there was just a herd of cranks with law degrees who wanted to collect a few more years' worth of checks for suing county governments

09.02.2026 21:27 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Good in-depth report. It never got anywhere near as bad on the left I don't think, but worth remembering that "Rockland County recount" shit from 2024-5 was underway not on behalf of Dems, but a La Rouche candidate aided by Republicans who basically ran the Maricopa playbook for a different audience

09.02.2026 21:26 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Roper Center is now accepting nominations for the 2026 Mitofsky Award, which honors excellence in public opinion research

Fill out form by April 6 to nominate someone (self-nominations welcome)

Call here, including past awardees and 2026 submission form: ropercenter.cornell.edu/events/2026-...

09.02.2026 19:59 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

The headline and the contents here felt a little at odds - this piece includes a good thorough review of the number of times these exact tactics have failed in the recent past!

09.02.2026 18:42 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

ICYMI before the weekend, here's our report on how conspiracy theorists helped inspire the Fulton County raid -- and how excited their fellow travelers are about Tulsi Gabbard

09.02.2026 17:47 β€” πŸ‘ 43    πŸ” 24    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

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