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@newtonmarunner.bsky.social

Life Insurance Actuary, 8x NYC Marathon Finisher, Pasta Aficionado

259 Followers  |  234 Following  |  3,244 Posts  |  Joined: 09.11.2024  |  2.0533

Latest posts by newtonmarunner.bsky.social on Bluesky

It’s late.

I really don’t have the time for this “well, ackshually …” cuteness.

12.11.2025 04:23 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

You do that with running shoes, and you’ll blow more than your savings margins on injuries.

12.11.2025 04:11 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I’m even old enough to remember when the GOP voted against increasing the ACA subsidies in the ARP Plan.

So no, based on GOP policy positions this past decade, I don’t find what you wrote to be credible.

12.11.2025 03:59 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

I’m old enough to remember when the House GOP voted 70+ times to repeal the ACA in full.

I’m old enough to remember when Donald Trump (and Mitch McConnell) tried to repeal the ACA in full.

12.11.2025 03:59 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Reality is the public voted to take away the ACA subsidy increases in the 2021 ARP when they elected a GOP House, Senate, and WH on 5 Nov 2024.

Elections have consequences.

12.11.2025 02:34 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1

I’m a furloughed Fed employee. The biggest betrayal of all was by the voters last November, aided and abetted by the people who have done nothing but attack Democrats, drowning out the party platform and agenda over and over in a swarm of doomerism.

If you can’t be mad at the GOP, be mad at them.

11.11.2025 23:04 — 👍 64    🔁 33    💬 3    📌 2

Seth Moulton is our go-to person at TransitMatters.

I vowed never to vote for him statewide in Mass. after he challenged Nancy Pelosi for Speaker.

His political instincts — or lack thereof — have never disappointed me since then.

12.11.2025 02:21 — 👍 5    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Gosh feeding four boys sounds hard!

We had enough trouble with two boys and one girl (where one boy exercised vigorously and ate for two)!

Go mom!

12.11.2025 02:16 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I was going to say that Gavin Newsom under proportional allocation would lose VA/NC/AL by 30+ delegates each, GA by 50+ delegates, etc., and nobody has ever made up under proportional allocation that kind of net delegate loss.

You were more concise.

12.11.2025 02:08 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Schumer led Senate Democrats in fighting Trump over healthcare, period.

If you think Senate leaders can control members of their caucus, you don’t know much about the Senate. And before you say “McConnell,” remember why we still have the ACA when Trump and McConnell wanted it gone.

11.11.2025 15:27 — 👍 1499    🔁 374    💬 391    📌 70

Reality is voters on 5 Nov 2024 cast their ballot to repeal the ARP ACA subsidy increases by giving the GOP the House, Senate, and WH.

The easy way out was on 5 Nov 2024.

Elections have consequences.

11.11.2025 23:17 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

The Indivisible folks going after Schumer were always waiting for a reason, and they plan to use it to primary many Democrats and endorse certain candidates. It has nothing to do with the Republican shutdown.

11.11.2025 14:14 — 👍 7    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 1

Shapiro is likely under proportional allocation to lose VA/NC/AL by 30+ delegates each, GA by 50+ delegates, etc. Nobody since Dems adopted proportional allocation in 1992 has ever overcome those kinds of delegate deficits.

11.11.2025 18:47 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

You don’t have to worry. Like most other potential Democratic Presidential aspirants, Josh Shapiro doesn’t have a route to the majority of pledged delegates.

11.11.2025 18:47 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Exactly.

There’s some truth to Frank Sinatra’s quote about NYC.

If someone is successful in NYC, what are they going to do? Move to NH?

11.11.2025 18:32 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1
Archival photo of Hillary Clinton sitting next to Bob Gates and other military leaders

Archival photo of Hillary Clinton sitting next to Bob Gates and other military leaders

To all those serving, to all who have served: Your duty and sacrifice don't just represent the best of America. You make America possible as the land of the free and the home of the brave, aspiring always to be a light for democracy around the world. Thank you.

11.11.2025 13:59 — 👍 2205    🔁 445    💬 61    📌 22

No.

Telling federal civil servants that they are not every year expected as part of their job to risk going *weeks* without pay while their rent/mortgage is still present is what will prevent government shutdowns.

11.11.2025 16:17 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

The way I put it is that the American Rescue Plan ACA subsidy increases are repealed, and we’re back to 2014 ACA subsidy levels, but I feel like even that isn’t numerically accurate.

11.11.2025 15:56 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

And by giving the GOP the WH, Senate, and House they *still* voted on 5 November 2024 to repeal the Biden-Harris ACA subsidy increases. …

11.11.2025 15:51 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Okay, I can buy into ”roughly equal.” Given Spanberger’s margin of victory being the first double digit Dem VA-Gov victory in 40 years (and that by 11), I don’t buy that Sherrill is a ”superior” candidate to Spanberger.

11.11.2025 13:54 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Not *that* far left. Arlington and Alexandria still aren’t Hoboken and Jersey City. Fairfax and Loudon County still aren’t Montclair, etc.

And Spanberger herself in 2018 won Eric Cantor/Dave Brat’s old seat (which hadn gone D in 100+ yrs) in part by vowing not to vote for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker.

11.11.2025 13:50 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

I just balk at the idea that the quality of a candidate’s opponent is the *entirety* of getting elected.

The voting electorate is a factor, too.

Otherwise, Doug Jones should have had no problems whatsoever defeating Roy Moore a few years ago.

11.11.2025 13:30 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Heck, it wasn’t *that* long ago that we almost sent *Ollie North* to the Senate.

11.11.2025 13:19 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Virginia sends Democrats like Chuck Robb, Tim Kaine, Ralph Northam, Abigail Spanberger, etc. to the Senate and Governor’s mansion and Republicans like John Warner, George Allen, Jim Gilmore, Bob McDonnell, etc. to the same offices.

11.11.2025 13:19 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Based on Virginia’s voting history.

Virginia has never sent a liberal like Frank Lautenberg, Jon Corzine, Phil Murphy, or even a Bill Bradley to the Senate or Governor’s Mansion.

11.11.2025 13:19 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

We can walk and chew gum at the same time, no?

11.11.2025 13:08 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Spanberger has a much more difficult voting electorate than both Sherrill and Mamdani, though.

11.11.2025 04:31 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Preview
a woman wearing a red knitted hat and scarf is talking to another woman . ALT: a woman wearing a red knitted hat and scarf is talking to another woman .
11.11.2025 04:15 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Preview
Alanis Morissette And Isnt It Ironic Dont You Think GIF ALT: Alanis Morissette And Isnt It Ironic Dont You Think GIF

To which there would never have been a government shutdown if there were no filibuster.

11.11.2025 04:14 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

My gawd are you an a$$!

11.11.2025 04:07 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

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