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@newtonmarunner.bsky.social

Life Insurance Actuary, 8x NYC Marathon Finisher, Pasta Aficionado

264 Followers  |  236 Following  |  3,337 Posts  |  Joined: 09.11.2024  |  2.3908

Latest posts by newtonmarunner.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Weekly Volunteer Meeting: Bay Area Transit Funding Measure Your community is on the verge of losing transit service as BART, Caltrain, Muni, and AC Transit face HUGE cuts. For example, BART could drop from 4,200 trains/week to just 500. But we can save famil...

Tonight! Volunteer meeting about how we save our transit in the Bay Area. Tune in to get up to speed and plugged into the effort to help keep our communities moving
actionnetwork.org/events/weekl...

21.11.2025 01:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thatโ€˜s more local transit that ARC and Gateway are about.

20.11.2025 22:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

As a near lifelong Northeast Corridor resident, I obviously have done WAS/BOS-NYP so many times. Iโ€™m still a five hours max on the train, though I have done WAS to BBY/RTE.

European and Asian trips are similarly short trips โ€” 100-500 km is the sweet spot for intercity rail.

20.11.2025 22:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Much as I like Aaron โ€” went to junior high and religious school with him โ€” and know heโ€™s a prodigy, heโ€™s wrong here.

Elections, which are constrained, are a much better barometer of public opinion than elections, which are unconstrained.

20.11.2025 20:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

She is the best transportation governor in the country!

NYC is in a better financial position to prevent post-pandemic service cuts than anywhere in the country. And Phase II of Second Ave Subway (to 125th/Lex) has been approved, and IBX is pretty far along.

20.11.2025 19:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Eliminating fare parity between NYC buses and Subways is a bad idea. Itโ€™s bad enough here in Boston even when there are few buses going downtown, and would be far worse in NYC.

20.11.2025 16:51 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The ferry is the only free route I can think of in NYC, but next to no people both live within walking distance and have a destination within walking distance of both ferry terminals. So almost everyone who takes the ferry has to transfer and pay a subway/bus fare.

20.11.2025 16:51 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

My fear is we still have the dumbest voting electorate on the planet.

20.11.2025 02:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It would be a sophomoric move.

20.11.2025 02:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

AOC has read the room for the first time in her political career.

20.11.2025 01:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
โ€œTicking Time Bombโ€: A Pregnant Mother Kept Getting Sicker. She Died After She Couldnโ€™t Get an Abortion in Texas. Walker is one of several women ProPublica found with underlying health conditions who died when they couldnโ€™t access abortions.

Abortion bans have killed another woman in Texas.
www.propublica.org/article/texa...

19.11.2025 15:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2253    ๐Ÿ” 1287    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 138    ๐Ÿ“Œ 68

Yes.

20.11.2025 01:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

[Fwiw, the AP Calculus-based Physics is one of the few AP additional courses I really like โ€” particularly a good swap for a two semester AP computer science course, Computer Science AB.]

19.11.2025 19:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thatโ€™s how it was in Fairfax County Public Schools when I grew up (Class of โ€˜98).

Thatโ€™s not how it is here in Newton, MA, where kids take physics in the 9th grade.

19.11.2025 19:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Those are my thoughts as someone whose degree is in math (and is a member of the Society of Actuaries) โ€” much more is demanded of students than when I graduated from HS in 1998.

19.11.2025 19:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thatโ€™s hard to buy because HS physics demand it.

Granted, many CA schools do physics freshman year, which is also bad as physics is too abstract for many students to do in the 9th grade.

19.11.2025 19:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I donโ€™t see what what CA voters, knowing what they know now, would have done today is relevant.

The two most salient facts are CA voters approved CA HSR in a 2008 ballot initiative, and the contractors have been hired.

19.11.2025 18:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

"Punish people for being unhealthy. Born with genetic defects? Fuck you."

Of course, using Mullin's logic, anyone who comes down with COVID, measles, rubella, whooping cough etc. because they refused to get vaccinated had it coming, so...

19.11.2025 13:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 811    ๐Ÿ” 166    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 68    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

Specific circumstance A != Specific circumstance B.

Among the many specific differences, CA HSR is voter-approved, the contractors have been hired, etc. The cost of cancelling CA HSR is an order of magnitude greater than cancelling HS2, which is not in that stage of the process.

19.11.2025 16:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

HS2 is significantly more useful (as measured in ridership per km) and more important much easier politically to finish and sustain service than CA HSR โ€” the metrics that matter to voters, the people who have the last word in the matter.

19.11.2025 13:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Tell me you donโ€™t live in Boston without telling me you donโ€™t live in Boston.

19.11.2025 12:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Okay, I guess it means that if you add the 4th track at 12th and 19th, and de-interline BART (only Yellow and Orange), then you can save yourself the need for platform screen doors/automated trains on the Orange Line as demand on the Orange Line will never be more than 10-12 trains/hr peak.

18.11.2025 22:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

My math has it that Daly City to West Oakland currently runs 15 tph (in the Transbay Tube). Just BART branches a lot more than Metrorail, its average line length and stop spacing is longer & wider than Metrorail, and that makes automated trains harder for BART to do than WMATA.

What am I missing?

18.11.2025 22:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Caltrain outlines severe service cuts without regional measure โ€” Seamless Bay Area Funding shortfalls threaten to reverse Caltrain's dramatic ridership boom following the start of faster, more frequent electric train service. The agency could be forced to run only hourly service, ru...

Without a Bay Area transit measure, Caltrain would have to
- run 1 train/hour
- stop service at 9pm
- stop weekend service
- close 1/3rd of stations

These cuts would be a disaster for riders and undermine the faster and more frequent service that boosted ridership 47% YoY since electrification.

18.11.2025 18:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 35    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

For the first time in her political life, Rep. AOC has read the room.

18.11.2025 18:49 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Hakeem Jeffries represents NYC and is the first Black American to lead a major party in either chamber of the US Congress.

Rep. AOC and Mayor-elect Mamdani can read the room.

18.11.2025 18:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Which is why Mayor-elect Mamdani told Mr. Osse not to run. He knew he couldnโ€˜t endorse his own friend and political ally, and he knew Mr. Osse will cost himself and the DSA political relevance should he lose to the House Democratic Leader.

18.11.2025 02:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The appropriate metric for a politicianโ€™s popularity is the number of votes he/she/they get in their elections.

Jeffries is clearly more popular than most House Democrats โ€” including AOC.

18.11.2025 01:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Completely agree that itโ€˜s in Mayor-electโ€™s political self-interest and NYCโ€™s best interest to decline endorsing a long-shot bid against a fellow NYC MoC and the first Black American to lead a major political party in the US House.

Mayor-elect Mamdani can read the room.

18.11.2025 01:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

How many votes does Jeffries get every election cycle and how many does, say, AOC, get?

18.11.2025 01:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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