Jonathan Wille

This persistent ridging/blocking will continue pushing subtropical/midlatitude moisture deep into East Antarctica throughout the week. A large expanse of +20C anomalies are expected. Not as extreme as March 2022, but noteworthy in the longevity of this heat event.

The result is a prolonged period of extreme temperatures and melting along coastal areas. For instance, Cape Denison on the coast has been at 2-3C the past couple days

And finally another atmospheric river forecasted for March 1st.

And today on the 23rd

And Feb. 20

Then another on Feb. 18.

The first atmospheric river was Feb. 12

East Antarctica has been the epicenter for unusually persistent blocking and atmospheric river landfalls that have resulted in some extreme high temperatures. From February 12-March 1, I've noted 5 distinct atmospheric river events observed/forecasted over Wilkes Land.

This is one of the bigger disaster amplifications I’ve seen from climate change. Putting this more bluntly, many more people had their livelihoods and homes destroyed because we can’t stop burning fossil fuels. I hope they sue the oil companies for damages

Photo showing a tall, jagged ice front of the Ronne Ice Shelf in West Antarctica rising above the calm surface of the Weddell Sea. Credit: Torsten Albrecht / PIK.

🔔🚨 New Publication Alert!

Research has shown that the Antarctic Ice Sheet is a climate tipping element.

We found: it’s not one — it’s many.

📄 Paper (open access): www.nature.com/articles/s41...

📢 Press release: www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/late...

Tread below 🧵👇

Always good to keep things in perspectives despite the headline news from the Trump administration about keeping coal alive.

I am impeaching Secretary Kristi Noem, who is an incompetent leader and a disgrace to our democracy.

She wreaked havoc in the Chicagoland area and has brought her reign of terror to Minneapolis. One of her rogue ICE agents shot and killed an innocent woman today. It must come to an end.

Antarctica had its warmest year on record. That seems fucking bad. 🔥🔥🔥

Protect the National Center for Atmospheric Research Write today and urge your members of Congress to oppose the Trump administration's plans to dismantle the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR.) Your message to Congress will help protect NC...

@ucs.org has released a letter you can write to your Congressperson to save @ncar-ucar.bsky.social

Share your voice on the significant value of this bedrock climate and weather insitution. Your story matters!

secure.ucs.org/a/2025-prote...

If you are spending the holidays with family and would like to talk to some climate skeptics, then I would show them this chart. Few things hit harder than the disappearance of the white Christmas they experienced in their childhoods.

Trump moves to dismantle major US climate research center in Colorado The Trump administration is breaking up the National Center for Atmospheric Research, taking aim at one of the world's leading climate research labs.

Exclusive: The Trump administration is moving to dismantle the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Colorado, according to a senior White House official, taking aim at one of the world's leading climate research labs.

🌧️ New study: the deadly Indonesian floods were made worse by climate change.

Present-day conditions in similar events are now up to 10% wetter (+7 mm/day) and windier, boosting extreme rainfall.
#ClimateChange #Floods #Indonesia #Attribution #ClimaMeter
www.climameter.org/20251123-25-...

Reflections on COP30 Global Mutirão final decision text:

Trump’s anti-climate agenda could result in 1.3m more deaths globally, analysis finds Fallout from increased emissions linked to president’s ‘America First’ policies expected to most affect those in poor, hot countries

The stakes: Trump’s anti-climate agenda could result in 1.3m more deaths globally, analysis finds

- Fallout from increased emissions linked to president’s ‘America First’ policies expected to most affect those in poor, hot countries

#COP30 #climatecrisis
www.theguardian.com/environment/...

You can also find a recording of the talk later on the same Youtube page.

International Cryosphere Climate Initiative International Cryosphere Climate Initiative (ICCI) is a network of senior policy experts and researchers aiming to spread cryosphere science and preserve the cryosphere's key role in Earth's climate s...

If you have some free time today, I'm helping to host a discussion, "Antarctic Tipping Points Outlook" happening at COP30. It's hosted by the International Cryosphere Climate Initiative and you can find the talk live at www.youtube.com/@iccinet/str.... The talk starts at 14:00 CET.

a century of glaciers melting 🧪🌐

So, I hate to be this guy, but as the director of Yale’s new program on attribution science (!?), uh, most of the commentary on Bluesky about Hurricane Melissa and climate change has been… not quite right

Latest update from the National Hurricane Center for hurricane Melissa right before it makes landfall in western Jamaica. Winds are 185 mph with a 892 mb pressure making it the third strongest Atlantic hurricane ever by pressure. The destruction that is about to happen is just unimaginable.

#Melissa is now the strongest #hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season, and it continues to deepen. Pressure has fallen to 913mb. There’s evidence to suggest it is already even stronger than 160 mph winds. It’s possible that will be adjusted upward soon.

YouTube video by CTV News Climate change was made up by ‘stupid people’: Trump

Trump says climate change predictions were made by "stupid people". I guess I'm a stupid person who now has a chip on my shoulder to make good climate science and show the real stupid people are the ones in the government who are actively trying to burn the world. www.youtube.com/shorts/hhax2...

The EPA is attempting to repeal its endangerment finding for GHGs—threatening decades of climate progress.

📢 Register by 12 Aug to testify at the virtual hearings (19–20 Aug): EPA-mobilesource-hearings@epa.gov

🗣️ Speak up. Science must be heard.

#ActOnClimate #AGU

10: How do we actually *know* Antarctica is melting? | Dr Michelle Maclennan Beyond the Ice · Episode

In case you need a podcast listen for the weekend, we recommend Beyond the Ice from the British Antarctic Survey. Check out the latest episode where Dr. Michelle Maclennan discusses the state of extreme weather over Antarctica and recent ice mass increases open.spotify.com/episode/30Tu...

DOE climate report response form We are collecting names to assemble a writing team to respond to the DOE climate working group report. If you'd like to contribute, enter your info below. At this point, there is no guarantee what we'll do (if anything), but we want to keep our options open by collecting names. If you have any further questions, feel free to email me. We are primarily looking for Ph.D. scientists at universities or government labs in appropriate fields. I realize that this will exclude some qualified people and I apologize, but we felt this was necessary for a variety of reasons.

🚨 If you're interested in working on a coordinated response to the DOE climate report, please enter your info on this google form 🚨

Please RT this so as many people see it as possible.

forms.gle/BL9xUAfRxA...

Motherfucking wind farms…