Michel Nivard

reducing it to its most absurd could be an amazing way to highlight the silly...

I am in Berlin near the Max planck(s?) for a conference till thursday, LMK if any of you in the bluesky science-o-sphere want to meet (very limited availability, not cos I am cool and all booked up but just tired and old).

I was thinking Sam Altman’s Dutch Alt, “Simon Oudemans”… why aim low with Nature I was thinking NEJM…

I want to write this as a troll now… prob best under pseudonym…

someone is going to do the perverted inverse and try to replace RCTs with LLMs: “we prompted llama 3.3 71b with: ‘you have just taken a semaglutide inection; outline your meals for this week’ and proceeded to compute weight change as 1 kg loss/gain per 7000kcal under daily recommended intake”

It was a glorious 6 weeks for Old Navy Dads..

There is that quote about religion being the opium of the masses? (I am surely bastardizing it here…)

I was here with a 6 and 8 year old so they sprinted past and I had no time to dig into the what/why/how…

There is a Dutch museum about all religions, they also cover post religious pseudo religious play, including Warhammer (?) (cc @lastpositivist.bsky.social warhammer as post religion cosplay, could be a thesis is all I am saying..)

I have even seen really creative work using generative models. This is just about the dumbest idea possible…

Yes, I think many of the writeups of crucial AI critiques labor under the weight of wanting to pack in all the critiques into every writeup…. There is a very narrow, specific, obvious and transparent reason “silicon samples” are really fucking dumb, and it’s clearest when made to stand on its own…

;

ERC Advanced applications from the US up from 23 on ‘24 to 114 in ‘25. Up a lot, but at a high funding rate this would be 12-25 US scientists, that’s a handful per country. This is ERV advanced, these ppl are likely tenured, ERC starter could attack younger ppl who are on TT could be be way bigger

Yeah it is, if I try to graciously read it it’s about the bluesky wild comment section problem outlined in the first post. Good thing the protocol is open and you are seeing things like blacksky and north ky where ppl can be in community with all of bluesky, but with their own mods & on their terms

It starts in this thread. bsky.app/profile/jay....

Yeah I wish we could shear the models (within their limits) from the Silicon Valley hype train… compressing the joint probability distribution of language is kind of amazing…

You hand draw QR codes for the URLs I think…

as do I, but my institution hates it and I cant really run a life where thers cant invite me to meetings while I also see my fam and kids calendars in parrallel.... Is there something German about this where like with cash you all dont do digital event invites for everything?

Now I wonder what size "shove" the linkedin algorithm would need to actualy flip into like tumblr...

before you commit check if your institutions cal export/edit/etc permisisons, I cant use my msft office calendar in any phone app but outlook "for safety". Creating the insane situation where I broadcast my calendar over the open internet (which somehow is allowed...) to get it in my prefered app.

I carry gen-Z in me... (meant to write mild..)

the GWAS ppl would just be in a kind of "reply all like its 1998" esque nightmare...

Actually given how quick psychologists try to “kitchen sink covariate” their way out of confounding perhaps the better title is: “It’s not about U: successful causal inference through (natural) experiments, discontinuities or instruments”

I want to write a paper on confounding and title it: “It’s all about U”

Or a paper on confounding, M-bias and error titled: “It’s all about M,e, and U”

I want to write a paper on confounding and title it: “It’s all about U”

Clear we just need to intervene on U instead of trying to manipulate X and bring in all this extra dag nonsense…

Must. not. make. fertility. joke.

This was 8:30-6:30 by the way, 10:30-8:30 took way less effort (just consistently jogging 25/30min a few times a week for a few months)

About 8 months of 5 runs a week about 70-90km per week at peak… on top of weak base fitness…