Electoral Studies

Political violence and invalid voting: A case study This study explores the extent to which political violence influences levels of invalid voting, a common form of electoral protest. It also explores t…

New from me in @electoralstudies.bsky.social! Across municipalities (🇲🇽), more incidents of political violence lead to more invalid voting — a form of protest. But more so in tight elections, where the protest can be more effective. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

🚨 New research spotlight! 🚨

Check out this paper by Andrew Saab, which finds that candidates who narrowly lose to political allies are more likely to withdraw from future municipal races, renounce party memberships, and switch party affiliations.

Read here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

2/6 🧵In @electoralstudies.bsky.social, @fedetrastulli.bsky.social argues while left parties lost working-class votes between 2002-2020, those emphasizing cultural issues still attract working-class voters. Culture but not class explain workers’ support for the left. doi.org/qcs2

How a Prime Minister’s Popularity Shapes Party Support From Thatcher to Starmer, UK PMs remain the strongest signal of party support

🔍How does a prime minister’s popularity affect party support in the UK? 🗳️ A new blog on @3streamsblog.bsky.social explains research from @electoralstudies.bsky.social, finding that PM approval correlates with vote intentions for the governing party across four decades. medium.com/3streams/how...

Education and voter turnout revisited: Evidence from a Swedish twin sample with validated turnout data The association between education and voter turnout is well-established in almost a century of research. The causal status of this correlation, howeve…

In this @electoralstudies.bsky.social piece, @rafaelahlskog.bsky.social examines the causality between education and voter-turnout, finding that education does not affect voter turnout in Swedish elections but does matter for the #Europeanelections.

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Does poor health cause political passivity even in a Scandinavian welfare state? Investigating the impact of self-rated health using Swedish panel data Poor health is generally believed to cause political passivity. Prior studies that satisfactorily acknowledge the causality problems involved are main…

Per Adman uses Swedish panel data to examine whether poor #health causes political passivity, even in a Scandinavian #welfare state. @electoralstudies.bsky.social

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Left parties’ strategies and working-class vote in contemporary Western Europe (2002–2020) What should the left do strategically to retain workers' vote? This paper provides extensive empirical evidence on the relationship between left parti…

A new paper from @fedetrastulli.bsky.social published in @electoralstudies.bsky.social comes to an important conclusion: "[...] workers’ electoral support for left parties is higher when they put greater emphasis on cultural issues [...]"

See here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Left parties’ strategies and working-class vote in contemporary Western Europe (2002–2020) What should the left do strategically to retain workers' vote? This paper provides extensive empirical evidence on the relationship between left parti…

🆕 Latest article out @electoralstudies.bsky.social! Left parties' higher salience on cultural issues associated w/ higher support from working-class voters. Social democrats much more sensitive to different strategies, should pursue more left/salient economics www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Preaching to the converted: Misinformation and voter preferences in election campaigns Politicians frequently sponsor misinformation during election campaigns, but its effectiveness in shifting voters' policy preferences and beliefs rema…

🚨🚨🚨 New Paper Alert 🚨🚨🚨
Preaching to the converted: Misinformation and voter preferences in election campaigns, co-authored with U Daxecker, and published in the @electoralstudies.bsky.social.

Is misinformation an effective campaign tool — or just noise? See 🧵

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Affective polarization and habits of political participation Affective polarization, or relative dislike of opposing partisans, is associated with several negative outcomes for democracy. However, a number of st…

@electoralstudies.bsky.social If you’re interested in academic studies of political polarisation we have loads of great papers at Electoral Studies. Check out this one by Joseph Phillips www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

...and another by @pierre-lue.bsky.social and @alinazumbrunn.bsky.social who also identify a differential effect by municipality in the Swiss context.

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

...which neatly ties to research on the effect of prepaid postage in particular. We have not one but two papers here for you! One by Jenny Yin, Thomas Willi and @lucasleemann.bsky.social on the effect of prepaid postage on turnout in Switzerland

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

And if you are wondering what makes a voter choose the post to begin with, you should check out this study by @beluabdala.bsky.social on the impact of the costs associated with different voting methods

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

...in contrast to the study above, @miroslavnemcok.bsky.social @hannawass.bsky.social and Johanna Peltoniemi find that in Finland, the implementation of postal voting had a negligible effect on turnout across low-participation areas

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

But what about the impact of postal voting on turnout, you ask? Well check out this article by @adambonica.bsky.social, Jacob Grumbach, Charlotte Hill & @hakeemjefferson.bsky.social on mail-in ballots and turnout in Colorado

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

First up we have this fascinating study by Joshua Townsley and @turnbulldugarte.com
on parties campaign strategies to recruit postal voters
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Today is #WorldPostDay, marking the establishment of the Universal Postal Union—a UN agency coordinating postal policies globally. The post revolutionised communication and is an increasingly common voting method, so to mark the occasion, here are some of our recent articles on postal voting... 📫 ✉️

Assisting the vote? Disability as a cost of voting Tens of millions of voting-eligible Americans live with disabilities, many of whom need a form of assistance when casting ballots. Drawing on publicly…

Read the full paper here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

New research spotlight! 📢❗🚨

Check out this paper by Michael Herron & @electionsmith.bsky.social on disability and voter turnout. Drawing on Florida administrative data, they find that voters needing assistance are more likely to both abstain and have their postal ballots rejected.

New research spotlight! 🚨

Check out this recent paper by José Pedro Lopes on educational expansion, (the lack of) upward mobility, and radical left support in Europe.

Available open access here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

The myth of an EU-hating #countryside may be overstated.
Research by @pmaneuvre.bsky.social, @leoazzollini.bsky.social & Anne-Marie Jeannet in @electoralstudies.bsky.social shows that #EU structural funds investment has nurtured trust in the Union across #Europe's rural areas
doi.org/10.1016/j.el...

Our latest @chesdata.bsky.social dataset on party positions was announced in @electoralstudies.bsky.social. They have a great dataset section.

👉Check out our new publication in @electoralstudies.bsky.social (with Toth & Chytilek)! Using eye-tracking and surveys, we test whether framing political issues in moral terms attracts more attention than presenting them with facts. Surprisingly, facts hold a slight advantage doi.org/10.1016/j.el...

🚨 New publication alert! 🚨
Why do some people keep voting throughout their lives while others drop out? And how do authoritarian elections - even uncompetitive ones- shape citizens’ habits?
Ksenia Northmore-Ball and I tackle these questions in my new paper, now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social.

Issue congruence outweighs geography: Understanding the appeal of Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) in east and west Germany

New Publication 📖 with @aikowagner.bsky.social in @electoralstudies.bsky.social
"Issue congruence outweighs geography: Understanding the appeal of Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) in east and west Germany"
Full paper (open access)👉
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
What did we find? 🧵

My experiment on election outcomes, partisan identity & affective polarization is now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social.

Puzzle: From a group ID lens, outcomes could shift both perceived out-party threat & in-group status → ambivalent predictions for affective polarization.

New research alert 🚨

Check out this recent publication by @tiemanng.bsky.social on the impact of certainty, risk, and uncertainty on voters' choices. Available open access here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

The CHES EU team has published a new research note in @electoralstudies.bsky.social describing some trends across the 25 years now covered by our trend file and exploring two new items included in the 2024 wave of the survey: doi.org/10.1016/j.el...
Here’s a summary thread:
1/

‪Can one further improve the common (face-saving) turnout question in election surveys? Our new publication
@electoralstudies.bsky.social tested this w three alternative wordings & validated turnout data. Short answer is that the current version works already pretty good!

doi.org/10.1016/j.el...